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How Can a Civilian Plane Accidentally Be Shot Down?

It’s not certain whether Malaysia Airlines Flight 17 was brought down because of mistaken identity, but it is plausible.

Nearly 300 civilians were killed when the plane was shot down.

Pro-Russian separatists may have shot down Malaysia Airlines Flight 17 over eastern Ukraine on Thursday because they mistook the civilian plane for something else. While we don’t yet know whether that explanation is correct, it does sound plausible to experts on missile technology, who say the systems that were involved create ample opportunities for planes to be misidentified.

Crash site: Debris from Malaysia Airlines Flight 17 near Hrabove, Ukraine.

The weapon used to down the Boeing 777—which was carrying 298 people—is believed to be the Buk surface-to-air missile system—known in Western parlance as the SA-11 Gadfly or SA-17 Grizzly. There are some versions of the Buk system that can attack aircraft at over 80,000 feet and at ranges of over 30 miles.

The Buk system was originally designed to defend advancing columns of ground troops from air attack, says Steve Zaloga, an expert on missile systems at the Teal Group, a defense-consulting firm in Virginia. Because of its purpose as a tactical weapon designed to support frontline troops, it is not connected to national air defense networks and can be operated independently, using its own radar systems, Zaloga says.

The missile operators sit inside a very cramped launch vehicle looking at a basic radar screen that shows the various objects the system is tracking. But without the larger network, that information has very little in the way of context. That explains why its operators may not have had enough information to distinguish the civilian airliner from a military threat. “This definitely could have been an error,” Zaloga says.

Being a Soviet design, the user interface is fairly simple, says Michael Pietrucha, a former F-4G and F-15E electronic warfare officer and expert on air defenses. Pietrucha says he trained with German forces operating a similar Russian-built system during the 1990s.

Pietrucha says that the Buk variant that is likely to have been operated by the rebels might have been especially unable to distinguish between civilian and military air traffic because of a quirk related to aircraft transponders. The transponder is a device that broadcasts an aircraft’s identity when a radar “interrogates” it for information.

Military and civilian aircraft often use the same transponder modes and therefore that signal is not used as a “discriminator” for a military targeting system, Pietrucha says. The system has to be tied into the national air traffic control system to use that information effectively.

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