The planet could hit 1.5 °C of warming inside the next five years

Forecasts suggest that by 2022 there’s an outside chance we’ll experience temperatures that exceed a target of the Paris climate agreement.

Warming as usual: The Met Office, the UK’s weather and climate forecasting organization, says its latest forecasts suggest that annual global average temperatures are likely to exceed 1 °C above preindustrial levels over the next five years.

A troubling outlier: The forecasts also give a 10 percent chance at least one of the next five years will see a global average temperature 1.5 °C above preindustrial levels. Such an occurrence is likely to coincide with an El Niño weather event.