Hello,

We noticed you're browsing in private or incognito mode.

To continue reading this article, please exit incognito mode or log in.

Not an Insider? Subscribe now for unlimited access to online articles.

Why America’s Middle Class is Vanishing

Why the middle class is shrinking.

For many people in America, being middle-class isn’t what it used to be.

Consider: In 1971, the middle class—households with incomes ranging from two-thirds of the national median to double the national median—accounted for almost 60 percent of total U.S. earnings. But in 2014, middle-class households earned just about 40 percent of the total national income. And adjusted for inflation, the incomes of goods-­producing workers have been flat since the mid-1970s.

This story is part of the May/June 2017 Issue of the MIT News Magazine
See the rest of the issue
Subscribe

“We have a fractured society,” says MIT economist Peter Temin. “The middle class is vanishing.”

Now Temin, an emeritus professor at MIT and a leading economic historian of his generation, has written a book exploring the topic. The Vanishing Middle Class: Prejudice and Power in a Dual Economy, published in March by the MIT Press, examines the plight of middle-income earners and offers prescriptions for changing our current state of affairs.

The “dual economy” in the book’s title also represents a bracing reflection of America’s class schism. Temin draws the term from Nobel laureate W. Arthur Lewis, who in the 1950s applied the model of a dual economy to developing countries. In many of those nations, Lewis contended, there was not a single economy but a two-track economy, one part inhabited by upwardly mobile, skilled workers and the other by subsistence workers.

Applied to the U.S. today, “the Lewis model actually works,” Temin says. “The economy can grow, but it detaches from the [subsistence] sector. Simple as it is, the Lewis model offers the benefit that a good economic model does, which is to clarify your thinking.”

In Temin’s updated version of the model, America now features what he calls the “FTE sector”—people who work in finance, technology, and electronics—and the “low-wage sector.” Workers in the first sector tend to thrive; workers in the second sector usually struggle.

There are multiple reasons for the stagnation of middle-class earning power, Temin thinks, such as the decline of unionization, along with “new technology, globalization, and public policy—it’s all of these things.”

In The Vanishing Middle Class, Temin insists that the interaction of racial politics and economics matters, too. “Race plays an important part in discussions of politics related to inequality in the United States,” he writes.

Incarceration policies have also exacerbated inequality, Temin contends. He notes that today about one in three African-­American men will serve jail time—“a very striking figure,” he says. “You can see how that would just destroy the fabric of a community.”

As one possible remedy, Temin advocates for greater investment in education at all levels, writing that education “provides a possible path that children of low-wage workers can take to move into the FTE sector.” He also calls America’s public education system “the wonder of the 20th century” and hopes readers will agree that it is a worthy investment.

“The people in this country are the resource we have,” Temin says. “If we maintain the character of our fellow citizens, that is really our national strength.”


Recent Books
From the MIT Community

Quantum Fuzz: The Strange True Makeup of Everything Around Us
By Michael S. Walker ’61
Prometheus Books, 2017, $28

Tokyo Boogie-Woogie: Japan’s Pop Era and Its Discontents
By Hiromu Nagahara,
associate professor of history
Harvard University Press, 2017, $35

Domesticating Drones: The Technology, Law, and Economics of Unmanned Aircraft
By Henry H. Perritt Jr. ’66, SM ’70, and Eliot O. Sprague
Routledge, 2016, $145.50

Democracy in Decline: Rebuilding Its Future
By Philip Kotler, PhD ’56
SAGE Publishing, 2016, $27

Failing in the Field: What We Can Learn When Field Research Goes Wrong
By Dean Karlan, PhD ’02, and Jacob Appel
Princeton University Press, 2016, $29.95

What Do Science, Technology, and Innovation Mean from Africa?
Edited by Clapperton Chakanetsa Mavhunga, associate professor, Program in Science, Technology, and Society
MIT Press, 2017, $36

Architecture + Advocacy
By Robert Traynham Coles, MArch ’55, and Sylvia Coles
Buffalo Arts Publishing, 2016, $32.95

Mapping the Heavens: The Radical Scientific Ideas That Reveal the Cosmos
By Priyamvada Natarajan ’90, SM ’11
Yale University Press, 2016, $26

American Conservative: Reclaiming Conservatism from the Right
By Augustus P. Lowell ’84
Algora Publishing, 2016, $20.95

Please submit titles of books and papers published in 2016 and 2017 to be considered for this column.

Contact MIT News
E-mail mitnews@technologyreview.com
Write MIT News, One Main Street, 13th Floor, Cambridge, MA 02142

Technology is changing. Are you keeping up?
Discover the latest in emerging tech at EmTech MIT.

Learn more and register
Next in MIT News
Want more award-winning journalism? Subscribe to Insider Plus.
  • Insider Plus {! insider.prices.plus !}*

    {! insider.display.menuOptionsLabel !}

    Everything included in Insider Basic, plus the digital magazine, extensive archive, ad-free web experience, and discounts to partner offerings and MIT Technology Review events.

    See details+

    Print + Digital Magazine (6 bi-monthly issues)

    Unlimited online access including all articles, multimedia, and more

    The Download newsletter with top tech stories delivered daily to your inbox

    Technology Review PDF magazine archive, including articles, images, and covers dating back to 1899

    10% Discount to MIT Technology Review events and MIT Press

    Ad-free website experience

/3
You've read of three free articles this month. for unlimited online access. You've read of three free articles this month. for unlimited online access. This is your last free article this month. for unlimited online access. You've read all your free articles this month. for unlimited online access. You've read of three free articles this month. for more, or for unlimited online access. for two more free articles, or for unlimited online access.