Scientists say that fighting climate change will require pumping billions of tons of carbon dioxide underground. But will it be possible to monitor such large-scale sequestration to make sure it’s not leaking? Evaluations at a remote CO2-burial site in Saskatchewan suggest that the answer is yes.
“We have demonstrated fairly convincingly that you can monitor the CO2 underneath the surface using seismic technologies,” says Don White, a research scientist at the Geological Survey of Canada, who presented the latest analyses of the site in Weyburn, Saskatchewan, at a conference in Washington, DC, this week. “The results have been positive so far. If we went to regulatory hearings and were asked, ‘How do you know it’s safe?’ we’d say, ‘We’ve demonstrated that it works and that we can monitor it.’”
Weyburn is one of the leading facilities in the world for studying underground CO2 storage. Located just north of North Dakota, it consists of two old oil fields that use carbon dioxide pumped underground to increase oil production. The site also accepts carbon dioxide piped from the Great Plains Synfuels Plant.
To date, Weyburn has buried 11 million tons of CO2, most recently at a rate of three million tons per year. To put this in perspective: an intermediate-size coal plant emits about two million tons of carbon dioxide each year–and there are about 600 coal power plants in the United States. So the annual amount that Weyburn accepts is equivalent to roughly one-quarter of one percent of the CO2 emitted by U.S. coal power plants.
Once underground at Weyburn, the carbon dioxide sits under a bedrock formation 1.5 kilometers below the surface. There it settles in layers of porous limestone, changing the densities of these layers in ways that are visible during seismic tests–planned explosions and sensitive measurements of how vibrations propagate. The resulting images clearly show the expanding CO2 deposits with an area of roughly 20 square kilometers. “This seems to give a pretty good representation of where CO2 is moving in the reservoir,” White says. And this will allow engineers to monitor any changes, including any leakage, he says.
Pumping CO2 underground is conceptually simple–oil companies have been doing it for years to force more oil to the surface. And various geologic formations are known to be capable of accepting carbon dioxide. But adapting these practices for permanent and large-scale greenhouse-gas mitigation will require long-term monitoring. A release of carbon dioxide would defeat the purpose of avoiding greenhouse-gas emissions. And if it occurred in a populated area, it could be deadly to humans and animals.
Larry Myer, a geophysicist at Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, who is developing sequestration plans in California, says that the Weyburn experience is showing the way toward broader implementation of accurate monitoring technologies. “In these early stages, one of the most important questions we have to answer is, what techniques work best under what conditions?” Myer says. “Certainly one of the key things they showed was the value of seismic technologies for mapping where the CO2 is going. It provides tremendous confidence that we can apply this broadly for monitoring.”
White says that the Canadian agency is hoping to install a permanent seismic array and a new sensor-laden monitoring well to further improve the tracking of the CO2, and ultimately develop a computer model that can be used by future projects around the world. “We want to understand the different [geologic] trapping mechanisms that will be active and the applicability and usefulness of different monitoring techniques, and how they should be applied over time,” he says.
Ultimately, CO2 sequestration will require more than just knowing the fate of the carbon dioxide: it will require understanding the full range of impacts on everything from groundwater to natural-gas deposits. “No one has injected 10 million tons of CO2 for 50 years–anywhere,” John Bradshaw, CEO of Greenhouse Gas Storage Solutions, an Australian petroleum consultancy, pointed out at the conference. “How we model that, how we regulate that–on groundwater, oil, gas, CO2–is something we will have to work together on how to handle.”