Skip to Content

Elon Musk May Go to Mars, but Would You?

Don’t bet against SpaceX’s ability to land a capsule on Mars. But colonization probably remains further off than it seems.

My nomination for best phrase of the week is “Red Dragons will inform overall Mars architecture.”

That’s what Elon Musk’s SpaceX put in a tweet announcing that it will try to land an unmanned capsule on the red planet “as soon as 2018.” That in itself is admirably ambitious. But like a space-bound rocket, the idea really gets going in the second stage, as we wrap our minds around the possibility of something you could call an “overall Mars architecture.”

That’s because getting to Mars is not the hard part—the hard part will be landing there over and over and keeping people alive there, as Musk dreams of doing. I’m not talking solely about the physical difficulties of overcoming the low gravity, radiation, dust storms, and unbreathable air. I’m also wondering how SpaceX will fund the architecture of a Mars settlement.

A rendering by SpaceX of a capsule after landing.

NASA plans on sending astronauts to Mars in the 2030s. Surely along the way the agency, which will work with SpaceX on the upcoming Mars capsule without providing funds, and other governments could give the company some big Mars-related contracts. But NASA talks about exploring Mars—it’s Musk who talks colonization. Just how you might cover the costs of that far more expansive endeavor still needs to be explained. SpaceX promises some more details in September.

(Read more: Wired, Aeon, “10 Breakthrough Technologies 2016: Reusable Rockets,” “The Deferred Dreams of Mars”)

Keep Reading

Most Popular

Large language models can do jaw-dropping things. But nobody knows exactly why.

And that's a problem. Figuring it out is one of the biggest scientific puzzles of our time and a crucial step towards controlling more powerful future models.

The problem with plug-in hybrids? Their drivers.

Plug-in hybrids are often sold as a transition to EVs, but new data from Europe shows we’re still underestimating the emissions they produce.

How scientists traced a mysterious covid case back to six toilets

When wastewater surveillance turns into a hunt for a single infected individual, the ethics get tricky.

Google DeepMind’s new generative model makes Super Mario–like games from scratch

Genie learns how to control games by watching hours and hours of video. It could help train next-gen robots too.

Stay connected

Illustration by Rose Wong

Get the latest updates from
MIT Technology Review

Discover special offers, top stories, upcoming events, and more.

Thank you for submitting your email!

Explore more newsletters

It looks like something went wrong.

We’re having trouble saving your preferences. Try refreshing this page and updating them one more time. If you continue to get this message, reach out to us at customer-service@technologyreview.com with a list of newsletters you’d like to receive.