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MIT's Energy Agenda

The institute's energy council co-chair Ernest J. Moniz describes a sweeping agenda to meet a "remarkable challenge."

By David Talbot

Wednesday, May 03, 2006

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Satisfying a possible doubling of global energy demand while supplanting fossil fuels is "perhaps the greatest single challenge facing our nation and world in the 21st century," a Massachusetts Institute of Technology panel wrote today in a draft research strategy report for the institute.

Ernest J. Moniz, an MIT physicist and former Under Secretary of the U.S. Department of Energy, is co-chairman of MIT's Energy Research Council. The council today released a report calling for a sweeping array of multidisciplinary research programs at MIT to address the global energy challenge. (Image courtesy of Donna Coveney.)

The MIT Energy Research Council, appointed by MIT President Susan Hockfield last year, is calling for a sweeping array of multidisciplinary research programs. Its report covers everything from oil extraction to carbon dioxide sequestration, from nuclear fusion to efficient freight management systems.

Its co-chair, Ernest J. Moniz, an MIT physicist and a former Under Secretary of the U.S. Department of Energy, explains the council's thinking and recommendations.

Technology Review: Headlines these days are full of talk about $3-a-gallon gas. What are the fundamental energy issues facing the world today?

Ernest Moniz: As we cast it in our report, there are three major drivers. The first is simply the supply and demand equation, particularly driven by developing and emerging economies. One sees in most projections a doubling of energy use and a tripling of electricity use by mid-century. This is a staggering problem, or challenge, particularly when you realize that today 86 percent of primary energy comes from fossil fuels and conventional oil production may be peaking.

The second driver is security -- the security of oil supply and also nuclear proliferation.

And third is environmental, especially climate change. If society gets serious about controlling greenhouse-gas emissions, this would be the most profound challenge to the structure of our energy supply, because that supply is based on fossil fuel. Controlling carbon dioxide, while also doubling energy use, is a rather remarkable challenge to contemplate.

TR: What is the timetable for R&D and deployment to get the job done?

EM: It's useful to think in terms of a 50-year timetable. For doing something about climate change, these next 50 years are critical. Fifty years is also the characteristic time for major changes of the energy supply system, if you look at the transition from wood to coal -- then oil coming in, then gas coming in. Well, if we have a challenge we need to meet in 50 years, and it takes 50 years to turn over the energy system, that defines a challenge that you must begin to meet today. The energy challenge is -- if not the primary area -- certainly one of the primary areas for the application of science, engineering, and policy to meet real human needs.

Comments

  • dah we knew that already.
    Only zinc-air batteries will solve the problem
    Rate this comment: 12345
    Guest (dan)
    05/03/2006
    Posts:1
  • High Temperature Gas Reactor
    Check mit.edu/pebble-bed to learn about pebble bed reactor technology. Licensing doesn't need to take 20 years. Check users.adelphia.net/~bobhargraves/solvingtheusenergycrisis.ppt to see how to use this technology effectively.
    Rate this comment: 12345
    Guest (Bob Hargraves)
    05/03/2006
    Posts:1
  • Thermodynamics
    There is a really big problem which is not addressed here.  How does one persuade the politicians and the media pundits that the First Law of Thermodynamics is inviolable; i.e. fuel cells and the hydrogen economy does not tell us where the energy will come frm.
    Rate this comment: 12345
    Guest (JA Gunawardena)
    05/03/2006
    Posts:1
    • Re: Thermodynamics
      The energy can come from anywhere. There are hundreds of hydro, wind and solar sources that are of no use to humanity right now simply because we have no way to store the energy. One application of hydrogen fuel cells would be to collect that energy and use it only when we need it. If we had a battery that could store a gigajoule of energy for months at a time, we would have no energy problems, period.
      Rate this comment: 12345
      Guest (Chris Wilmer)
      05/03/2006
      Posts:1
    • Thermodynamics
      There will be no need to persuade or educate politicians on the laws of Thermodynamics if the politicians are engineers.  I know the academic programs are in place to do just that, but it would be nice to see more of a push from public figures in that direction.
      Rate this comment: 12345
      Guest (Grant Gary)
      05/07/2006
      Posts:1
  • MIT's Energy Agenda
    To me it sounds as a transfer of hot air and dry bones from Mr. Muniz's previous job, namely the most dysfunctional government department-Energy, to a new cemetery. Hydrogen, CO2 sequestration, etc. The best thing MIT can do is to educate our opinion makers and the public regarding the laws of thermodynamics. See pprevious correspondent. All the rest is fluff.
    Rate this comment: 12345
    Guest (M. Shelef)
    05/03/2006
    Posts:1
    • Re: MIT's Energy Agenda
      I appreciate your comment on GOE engine research programs very much and would like to discuss with you further about current GOE engine research programs. My email address is paopien@hotmail.com. Thank you very much.
      Rate this comment: 12345

      PAOPIEN
      11/11/2006
      Posts:1
  • Pure Vapor
    I read all 3 pages of his article and  if I understood correctly, what he DID NOT say was far more important than what (very) little he DID SAY.

    nada. zip. zilch. pure vapor and not one solution!
    Rate this comment: 12345
    Guest (Chris)
    05/03/2006
    Posts:1
  • Hydrogen, Nukes, & Lawyers
    What can't be said is that the solution is nuclear energy.  And that just like the "hydrogen bubble" at Three Mile Island, new nuclear reactors will produce "hydrogen" for transportation when they're not producing electricity.
    Lawyers run the White House & Congress.  They don't want Iranians and would prefer not to see Indians, Pakistanis, or the Chinese not to use fast breeder reactors.
    But India will build them and sell them.  Likewise Pakistan and China will do the same.
    Only the US and Europe will lag behind, as the lawyers seek to extract their pound of flesh from the citzenry.
    Love that new USS Ronald Reagan.  Based on its 50 year life, it will only need to be refueled once.  Wow!  25 years for a fill up on its two nuclear reactors.  Too bad the public can't get the same technology.
    Rate this comment: 12345
    Guest (Home_at_my_pc2468)
    05/03/2006
    Posts:1
  • Taking the positive step
    I'd like to think that the idea of the program is to really create a center of engineering energy technology.  MIT is a respected institution.  Working to improve the conditions within which our society progresses is in the finest traditions of teamwork that we profess as Americans.  Here's hoping that the detailed plans and eventual discoveries bear the fruit that comes close to the idealism of the dream.
    Rate this comment: 12345
    Guest (John Zoll)
    05/03/2006
    Posts:1
  • Energy agenda -
    He is right about the need for multidisciplinary research - which is exactly what the Nexial Institute has done for decades. see : http://www.nexialinstitute.org to read about a practical energy solution that is here right now.  Sadly he has fallen into the PC global warming trap. read www.sepp.org to see what 76 nobel prize winners say. It will open your eyes!
    Rate this comment: 12345
    Guest (Larry Stiers)
    05/04/2006
    Posts:1
    • Nexial what?
      A .org with a business plan to make profit. Sounds like a very sound idea to bet on. Haha!

      And you should perhaps read up on global warming, I can give you some pointers if you would like. Betting on fossil fuels as a long term strategy is foolish.
      Rate this comment: 12345
      Guest (M. Walker)
      05/04/2006
      Posts:1
      • Oil, Global Warming, Reality
        My Institute's chief scientist and I have the following position on the subject: www.nexialinstitute.com/globalwarm.htm
        Nexial's site also has the internet's first maps showing the results of flooding if all the ice and permafrost were to melt.
        Regarding your offer to supply pointers - I have a very open mind and am willing to learn new facts. If yours is open you'll possibly even enjoy reading what www.sepp.org has to say.
        Fossil fuels and all of Mankind's " CO2  emmissions ", by the way, amount to less than 2% with 98% Nature caused. The real threat is underestimating natural cycles, and the role of water vapor and clouds.
        Regarding the soundness of the oil extraction technology - It turned out that a multidisciplinary approach and rigorous use of the Scientific Method made finding the solution almost easy.
        Rate this comment: 12345
        Guest (Larry Stiers)
        05/04/2006
        Posts:1
        • believability
          I'd like to see your calculations. Since you say manmade is less than 2%, show me how much CO2 mankind put out last year. I've calculated it from public data - let's see your numbers.
          Rate this comment: 12345
          Guest (virtualguy92107)
          05/07/2006
          Posts:1
        • Surprise, Surprise
          Now let me get this right - Exxon/Mobil which made the most profit last year of any company EVER hasn't figured out how to get every last stinkin drop of oil out of the ground yet, but two guys in Texas can? I see nothing on the website that provides answers, just alot of information on how much startup capital is required. BTW- your global warming link doesn't work either.
          Rate this comment: 12345
          Guest (Steve)
          05/09/2006
          Posts:1
          • Surprise, surprise
            Its kind of funny how so many technological improvements come from a couple guys working in their garage, or wherever. Perhaps having a PhD in Chemical Engineering, three earned Master's degrees, and a post doctoral M.Engr. helped the discovery process. Sorry about the link. Please try www.nexit.org to find more details.
            Rate this comment: 12345
            Guest (Larry)
            05/09/2006
            Posts:1
        • Re: Oil, Global Warming, Reality
          Could you please supply links to data supporting CO2 origins that support the statement you made that only 2% of the CO2 emissions are man made
          Rate this comment: 12345

          caruv
          04/05/2008
          Posts:1
  • The toughest issues are social, not technological
    MIT's Energy Agenda is an admirable focusing of brainpower on the technological issues.  But aren't the economic/political/institutional issues the tougher nut?  Shouldn't MIT analyze some of these?  As an example, a favorite "solution" of mine is to tax socially undesirable activity, in this case, greenhouse gas emissions.  What if, as a matter of social policy, we were to shift much-despised income taxes, property taxes, sales taxes to undesirable emissions of greenhouse gasses?  What would be the consequences, the side effects?  How long would it take for adjustments to occur?
    Rate this comment: 12345
    Guest (John Freidenfelds)
    07/27/2006
    Posts:1
    • Re: The toughest issues are social, not technological
      You may want to research PM Blair's tentative plans in Great Britain.  He is proposing rationing.  The best example is that each citizen is rationed X in airplane travel.  If citizen A is a school teacher, s/he may sell his/her rationed airplane travel rights to a salesperson.  This would assure a cap on airplane use within the country - commoditization, if you will.
      Rate this comment: 12345

      Seattle
      01/31/2007
      Posts:2
    • Re: The toughest issues are social, not technological
      Here's a link to a current update about Britain's rationing strategy:  http://www.thisislondon.co.uk/news/article-23383454-details/Britain%20could%20go%20back%20to%20rationing/article.do
      Rate this comment: 12345

      Seattle
      01/31/2007
      Posts:2
  • Energy
    It will be useful to consider the total energy cost of each technology and each variant within a technology class.  It takes energy to set up an energy producing technology.  Also, we need to consider the environmental issues, of which there are a number associated with each technology class.  Within each class it will be a good idea to not bet on a single horse but to examine multiple technology variants.  We need to continue to ask hard questions of each technology class and each variant therein.  These hard questions need to be backed up with hard data obtained by reliable measurements.  One issue that I noticed recently is the question of the global warming effect of water vapor.  Does this mean that a hydrogen economy which will burn hydrogen to form water (vapor) is a double edged sword?  I do not know, and that is precisely my point.  There is still a great deal to learn and we must devise experimental measures that will teach us.  We must also act according to the best available current knowledge, although if possible we should spread our bets so that the winner will be apparent as time goes by.  One principle I know to be valuable is to do it right as early in the energy production process as possible.  Many, many detailed answers to detailed questions remain unavailable.
    Rate this comment: 12345

    JAJansenJr
    08/30/2006
    Posts:7
    Avg Rating:
    3/5

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