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Market Forces vs. Traffic Jams

New research shows that making drivers pay higher tolls at peak times and tracking their location with RFID or GPS technology can eliminate traffic jams.

By David Talbot

Tuesday, August 29, 2006

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In a few places around the world--such as downtown London--drivers pay higher tolls for entering city centers at peak rush hour. The idea of "congestion pricing" is to reduce traffic and pollution by giving drivers an incentive to travel at off-peak times.

In a computer model showing hypothetical implementation of credit-based congestion pricing in the Dallas-Fort Worth area, the thickest lines show a 25 mph increase in average vehicle speed on certain stretches of road during the afternoon rush period. (Credit: Kara Kockelman)

Now a professor at the University of Texas at Austin has shown how a complex extension of this idea could greatly speed up rush-hour traffic flow throughout an entire network of highways and secondary roads in a U.S. metropolitan region. Using a computer model of driver behavior on the freeway system around the cities of Dallas and Fort Worth in Texas, University of Texas civil engineer Kara Kockelman showed that imposing highway tolls wirelessly--and increasing those tolls sharply on heavily traveled roads during peak times--would induce enough people to change their plans to increase average travel speeds by 25 miles per hour during rush hours on many key stretches of highway. The computer model takes into account everything from the frequency of trips to the value that drivers place on saving time.

Under the scheme, cars would be monitored with radio-frequency identification (RFID) or global positioning system (GPS) technologies that would track where and when they are driven. Drivers would pay mileage-based and location-based tolls on a sliding scale: up to 20 cents per mile for driving through bottleneck stretches at the busiest times.

Kockelman says such simple market mechanisms can solve traffic problems without requiring the construction of new roadways. "Meeting travel needs is largely a function of sending appropriate pricing signals to travelers," she says. "We can allow them to make their own decisions, rather than having to expand capacity in our nation's already extensive roadway networks."

Comments

  • Two points
    1. People are already demotivated to drive during peak periods due to the longer drive times. It is not clear how much economic incentives will matter.

    2. Some people will explode if they are forced into peak time due to a traffic accident, say.

    But it is worth a try.

    Bill
    Rate this comment: 12345

    davanzo
    08/29/2006
    Posts:1
    • Re: Two points
      We seem to be fixated on managing traffic and expanding the infrastructure when the emphasis should be on getting people off the roads. Today telecommuting could reduce traffic by 25 to 40% in some locales. Getting people out of the corporate hubs and distributing them to suburban offices or home offices should be a primary consideration, not lining the government's coffers with even more money.

      Dave
      Rate this comment: 12345

      demyhr
      08/29/2006
      Posts:1
      • Re: Getting people off the roads
        Telling people they should telecommute or figure out alternate ways of working doesn't seem to work - charging them if they don't do it might just be the added motivation that so many folks need.

        It might also be interesting if they did install this system if a company that refuses to allow their employees (who are eligible) to either work from home or work odd hours had the charges passed onto them, instead of on the individual.  At my company they just removed the work-at-home option from the entire corporation because the new President didn't like the feel of the partially empty office...nevermind the fact that productivity dropped quite a bit because of it.
        Rate this comment: 12345

        deirdrebeth
        08/29/2006
        Posts:25
        Avg Rating:
        3/5
        • Re: Getting people off the roads
          Folks forced to pay higher tolls will simply carry the costs onto their employers, customers, clients - that's us. Telecommuting is great for those not required to meet with other people, but it's bad for the overall social attitude of the city. What you need is clean & green mass transit that is built in RIGHT areas (not where political influence dictates) COUPLED with city planning with pre-war transportation aesthetics. You know, take it back to when buses and trolleys and taxis and pedestrians ruled the streets - push the personal automobile back to luxury item status and rural town necessity.
          Rate this comment: 12345

          cordero
          09/08/2006
          Posts:2
  • Pay as you go nowhere?
    Commuting in and around Washington DC is problematic. Recent surveys show that the busiest traffic time to be Saturday afternoon (not to mention M-F from 530am to 830am and 3pm to 630 pm)when congestion on I95 stretches from Richmond, VA all the way to Baltimore, MD. What a nightmare, but what a money maker. Hmm, let's see...20 cents times 3,500 cars an hour times 155 miles that's $108,500 per direction. Is that why the New Jersey Turnpike is so much more successful and less congested than the no-pay I95?
    Rate this comment: 12345

    dukeofshoe
    08/29/2006
    Posts:2
  • More factors
    AS the article states, this is preliminary.
    I think there are more issues that would have bearing on the traffic pattern.
    Some people have to travel at certain times, some people prefer to travel at a certain time.

    A more complex issue is what the money collected would be used for? The 'free' highways are funded via tax dollars or Gas taxes.  Most people would look for a reduction in some other highway tax to offeset this - otherwise it becomes an additional tax.

    I don;t see how this does not favor more affluent people. We've seen recently that the record high price of gas didn't change much  - either in vehicle choice or time spent traveling by car. People who can, just pay more. Here in the northeast, I don't think there would be enough people who would avoid the cost, they would just continue to drive during peak times.

    But, if you are on a limited or low income, you could be forced to drive at a time that is inconveinent or detremintal to their job or home life.
    And finally, what happens if some communters don't sign up for the system, or are from out of state? In high tourist areas, that would be common.
    Rate this comment: 12345

    rtx77
    08/29/2006
    Posts:1
    • Re: More factors
      I agree with rtx77's comment that this would hit the low income more.  Low income employees may have less flexible schedules -- fixed work shifts, school schedules, soccer practices, etc.

      Bottom line, this won't reduce the number of cars on the road.  It will redistribute those on the road in two ways.  As argued by the article, some drivers will change their driving schedules.  In addition, some drivers will move from the interstates onto local roads until the local roads are sufficiently clogged to make them unappealing.

      I like that people are thinking about this problem, and this might be in the right direction, but this isn't the solution.

      Brian
      Rate this comment: 12345

      joneswak
      08/29/2006
      Posts:1
  • A view from London
    At the margins a $10 charge has reduced traffic, but it takes so long (and hence costs so much) to commute by car into central London that I don't think it will make much difference in the longer term.  It's no use simply increasing charges for commuters by car unless you simultaneously promote alternative forms of transport (or homeworking), it just represents a (rather regressive) tax.

    BTW the US embassy refuses to pay the London congestion charge, viewing it as a 'tax'.  British embassy vehicles in the US are of course subject to road tolls like everyone else - go figure!
    Rate this comment: 12345

    chrisjmiller
    08/29/2006
    Posts:26
    Avg Rating:
    4/5
  • You're all missing the point
    This scheme isn't about the govt making money out of people (although of course it's a happy side effect for them).
    It's about tracking where every single car goes in the uk all the time. They already have a national network of number-plate scanners (what did you think those blue posts on the motorway were).
    They already tried to get this through parliament once and it was shot down, they'll keep trying till it gets in.

    Big brother has been with us for a long time, it's about time we tell him to stop. Write to your MP to stop our cars being constantly tracked by satellite. And that you oppose the ID cards linked to a database with all our records.
    Rate this comment: 12345

    idontcare
    08/29/2006
    Posts:1
    • Re: You're all missing the point
      After reading the article, including what was between the lines, you are absolutely correct. Now that IPv6 will be put into every new car, imagine your surprise when from your car radio you hear, "Pull it over. You're under arrest for not being where you are supposed to be!" Looking behind you there will be a big police office with a Blackberry.
      Rate this comment: 12345

      dukeofshoe
      08/30/2006
      Posts:2
    • Re: You're all missing the point
      Using wireless tolls to track our speeds and GPS keeping tabs on where we go AND all the while making us pay for it.

      A good aftermarket niche could crop up with an intent on disabling such systems for those who value their privacy (ie: individual freedom).
      Rate this comment: 12345

      cordero
      09/08/2006
      Posts:2
  • Perfect case: see today's WSJ - congestion-based pricing at work
    Perfect timing: see today's WSJ report on an experimental system implemented (not simulated!) in Stockholm - the key we've not touched on in this forum is "alternatives" - what's there as alternative transportation for people who don't have the option of telecommuting or flexible hours (like for shop-keepers) - the article talked about increased ridership in public transit systems as a result which, by the way, was beefed up locally there before running such a congestion-based pricing experiment.  Note the cost of their system also.
    Rate this comment: 12345

    slowfast
    08/29/2006
    Posts:1
  • Another abusive government cash cow
    This sounds like just another system to rip off drivers. As other people have noted here, in places where people get charged a tax (ex. London) the resulting traffic decongestion is minimal at best.

    Also, don't forget how the government abuses the US highway system. It was initially designed for travel at 70-75 mph, even considering the clunky cars of the '60s. Today's cars are far safer, and they could easily be used for safe driving at 80 mph. Yet as we all know, the speed limits have been ever more restrictive, even getting down to 55mph in some places. It is an open secret, that the gov. uses this as a cash cow, and it has nothing to do with "safety".

    This new "congestion tax" system would be abused in similar ways. And who is to say that congestions may not be artificially triggered, just to make some extra cash? If the incentive is there, they will invent something to make it happen.
    Rate this comment: 12345

    gabrielg01
    08/29/2006
    Posts:402
    Avg Rating:
    3/5
    • Re: Another abusive government cash cow
      If this is a means to reduce traffic flow, would there be a side benefit of reducing taxes since the community sees less traffic on the roads, and road building and maintenance becomes lower. If true - less traffic = less taxes eventually? Make it a mandatory provision of any government effort to make these systems a reality.
      Rate this comment: 12345

      mkogrady
      08/31/2006
      Posts:206
      Avg Rating:
      3/5
  • Second order impact
    Many have no choice but to pay.  Employees must pay the tax. Employers will have to pay me a subsidy or increase my salary.  They raise prices to compensate.  Customer pay the tax twice; their tax and in higher prices. I think the main effect will be to  raise the cost of living in big cities with some benefit in lower traffic count.  I do think we will see some city governments abusing this concept and driving business out of the city.
    Rate this comment: 12345

    Splinter
    08/29/2006
    Posts:1
  • Public transportation
    It is clear that this country does not know what public transportation is.
    Rate this comment: 12345

    helvecio
    08/30/2006
    Posts:1
    • Re: Public transportation - oh yeah baby!
      Unfortunately, some of us know very well what public transportation is, because we are forced to use it every day:(

      It is a mismanaged and ineffective gov. program (surpised?). The subways and buses are very often late. They are stinky, full of trash, and crowded with rude and crazy people - everyone knows the stereotypes: the guy(s) who did not take a shower in 3 months; the psycho woman who screams on the cellphone that you can hear her discussion from the other end of the car; the iPod zombies; the white-trash baseball fanatic who thinks everyone is their friend, and above all interested in the latest scores; the homeless who use the trains as their shelter; the lost tourists with their maps in their hand - they have the talent of blocking your way when the train is late, and you need to keep an appointment...and on and on it goes.

      Besides there is a never ending stream of breakdowns (and excuses on part of the officials)...if there is a torrential rain, then some wires get shorted; if it is too hot, then the rails are deformed; if it's snowing, then some godamn switch gets frozen or jammed.

      And they always seem to be in total financial crisis, always asking for more tax money, and more fare hikes...even though no one seems to be doing their job well.

      Finally, these public transportaion systems are the perfect sitting ducks for terrorists. Enough said.
      Rate this comment: 12345

      gabrielg01
      08/30/2006
      Posts:402
      Avg Rating:
      3/5
      • Re: Public transportation - oh yeah baby!
        BART, Chicago, NYC,Austria,French Metro, Shinkansen  Hong Kong & German public systems appear to work fine.
        Rate this comment: 12345

        flatwheel
        09/04/2006
        Posts:1
        • Re: Public transportation - depends on your personal standards
          The Japanese trains are world famous for being atrociously overcrowded...the white gloved station "managers" literally pushing and jamming in the last passenger...and doing this procedure door by door.

          NYC subway? Give me a break. Even after Giuliani's cleanup programs, it is still a mess.

          In the European subways you must watch out for hordes of pickpockets.

          Yes, subways are efficient at shuttling people around, but they are awful in terms of comfort and safety. I thought technology was supposed to make our lives better. It all depends on your personal standards - if the subway is good for you, go for it. I can't wait to get back to commuting by car.

          Watch this movie on YouTube: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kGsaaKMBJ2M
          Rate this comment: 12345

          gabrielg01
          09/04/2006
          Posts:402
          Avg Rating:
          3/5
      • Re: Public transportation - oh yeah baby!
        Your comments describe perfectly how disgusting public transportation can be - now how about your solution.
        Rate this comment: 12345

        thellon
        01/02/2007
        Posts:1

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