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Brad Swonetz/Redux
The cofounder of Microsoft talks energy, philanthropy, and management style.
Jason Pontin, the editor in chief of Technology Review, spoke to the cofounder and chairman of Microsoft and the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation at his offices in Kirkland, Washington, in July of 2010. This is the full transcript of their conversation. A version edited for brevity and focus on the subject of energy can be read here.
TR: Explain the moral imperative behind "The Pledge" [in which Gates and Warren Buffett have asked America's 400 wealthiest individuals to pledge half their wealth to charity]. What will it achieve that conventional philanthropic giving cannot, besides raising a greater supply of money? Or is that the whole point?
Gates: Well, I think the idea is pretty simple, and I wouldn't use the term "moral imperative." It's absolutely the case that the U.S. is the most generous country in terms of philanthropic giving. If you look at the large estates in the country, about 15 percent of the value goes to charitable causes, and there are more billionaires today, with more wealth on average, than ever before. And a lot of them may not know how much fun it is to get involved in giving, or know that it's kind of like starting a new career. And so we decided to create this group who had in common a pledge to give--not to all take one approach or pool money, but merely to find people who had things in common. How long should a foundation last, how do you staff, how do you involve your family? Different things will fit for different people. We did these dinners with some wealthy people, some of whom have done a lot of philanthropy, some of whom have done less. Another key factor is that the earlier in life you think about this stuff, the more opportunity there is for you to take your talent and get involved, or have associates that you know are talented through their work with you get involved. You're not going to do your best thinking about this if you wait until you're 92 years old and probably quite influenced by a small group who may have different thoughts. Starting earlier, giving earlier--that works. Those are the themes, and as this year goes on, hopefully we'll get more people to sign up, and we'll share that at various milestones. But so far we've had lot of good acceptances.
How many people have committed to making major--
We're not saying that. There will come a milestone, and we'll give people an update. We're going to have some more dinners, because that format worked very well. It's a very low-key thing--people who come to dinner don't necessarily decide to sign up, and we're not going to pressure them. But it's going pretty well. If it works reasonably well here in the U.S., a separate but similar thing will be done in China, and a separate but similar thing will be done in India. I'll pick people I know there. They'll get out in front and drive it.
Giving in China isn't particularly well established, is it?
Well, India's further along. China is just asking itself, "When you have billionaires, what are they expected to do?" In India, a lot of the tech billionaires are incredibly generous and are giving away the vast majority of what they've done. ... But we're very excited about what we learned at those dinners. We are smarter because of them.
The Gates Foundation has invested in solutions to big problems like infectious diseases in poor countries. Providing clean energy for the nine billion people the planet will hold in 2050 is a problem that's equally civilizational in scale. What can philanthropy contribute to energy research?
Well, basically not much. The energy market is an absolutely gigantic market, and the price of energy is a key determinant in improving lifestyles, whether for the rich, the middle-income, or the poorest. It seems slightly more intense for the poor: things like fertilizer and transport, or health care, are very expensive for them. You know, things like basic lighting are very expensive. But it's a big enough market that if you come up with cheap ways of making electricity, then that should be done with typical big-firm risk taking, small-firm risk taking. On the other hand, the way capitalism works is that it systematically underfunds innovation, because the innovators can't reap the full benefits. But there's actually a net benefit to society being more R&D-oriented. And that's why in health research, governments do fund R&D.
You are a member of the American Energy Innovation Council, the AEIC, which calls for a national energy policy that would increase U.S. investment in energy research every year from $5 billion to $16 billion.
Right.
I was stunned that the U.S. government invests so little.
Yeah, particularly when you look at the DOE budget, and it looks so big--but the biggest part of that by far is dealing with the legacy of nuclear weapons production at various sites around the country. I was stunned myself. You know, the National Institutes of Health invest a bit more than $30 billion.
The Gates Foundation is in that health area, and when we pick a disease to work on, we pick a disease where for some reason the market is not working. Like malaria: rich people don't need a malaria vaccine. They are rarely in malarial areas, and when they are, they can take prophylactic drugs and not worry about it. And yet for the people who live there, over a million a year, mostly kids in Africa, die. When we did our first $50 million grant for malaria, about a decade ago, we more than doubled the amount of money going into malaria research at the time. It's a horrific disease, but there's not a market reward for coming up with a malaria vaccine.
So you made a market.
Yes, you can create a market where there's no natural market. The biggest project, the one that's furthest along, is where GlaxoSmithKline is doing a vaccine called RTS,S, which is now in phase 3 [trials]. It's not a perfect vaccine. It reduces mortality a bit more than 50 percent. And then we're funding a lot of other things that aren't as far along that--either by themselves or in combination--would get us a perfect vaccine. There are some very novel ideas in the early stages.
But to go back to your question, the reason we're involved is because there's not a market. And so our investment is mind-blowing compared to anything else. And you do have that in diseases of the poor world. You know, in the rich world, the percentage of people with AIDS is fairly small, and so the cost of treating people with drugs for a lifetime is affordable. It's not perfect for those people, it's not perfect financially, but the difficulties of coming up with a vaccine are such that there's not a market incentive for it. So an AIDS vaccine is another one that is being funded by a combination of government budgets and philanthropy. The two biggest funders by far are our foundation and the U.S., the part of the NIH involved.
Hats off to Bill Gates.
If the rest of the world's billionaires had his mindset the world would be a decent place to live.
Bill Gates seems like an okay fellow, I think it's great what he's trying to do even if he doesn't always get it right.
Wow. What an amazing impact Gates has had. And quite a different interview then I would find on Fox or MSNBC.
Someone said if more millionaires were like Gates the world would be a better place. Ditto!!! Look at some other wealthy people Paul Allen, Bill Gates one time partner. What does he do with his money buy the football, basketball franchises, yachts, and try to start high tech companies that always fail. I don't mean to be a Paul Allen basher, but to point out how money can be used to help instead of play.
Bill,
If I may disagree with your contention that energy development cannot benefit by a government-led, blitzkrieg project approach. My dad was a co-inventor of radar at MIT's Rad Lab during WWII, a large project effort, and was later connected to large-scale nuclear defense (DEW Line). As a result of his entirely classified work I have kept personal lessons from such in the fore. I mention, too, on the micro scale I've designed and executed a highly successful solar hot water system for my home, running 5 years now, along with solar electricity. I have also developed proprietary insulation and installation systems for the retrofit of economical radiant heating, running here for years as well.
These are marvelous, beneficial energy toys, especially when not a member of the third world where my survival might depend on sunny days. As you correctly point out, none of these energy suppositions are easy, most especially the ultimate calculations of the end of oil.
From what I see with the crunching experts, final hope on a global basis lies solely in fusion energy. In a year where one of the primary labs, Princeton Plasma Physics Lab, has been budget cut, and consequently depriving itself of vital young talent, it painful to believe that a Manhattan Project effort would clearly produce the amazing results the world requires. It is an incredibly complex, expensive subject.
Unfortunately, it is by that nature a boring, plodding, basic science effort; the labs themselves don't have a clue to spreading the good word, nor do the politicians planning our science, and least of all the general public and the media feeding them. Fusion is the only power source capable of replacing oil, the windmills, silicon, and batteries just don't add up. I hope you'll give this direction more thought.
Thanks for your joining the energy initiative, and I look to your future, productive efforts.
Douglas Hopkins
http://bit.ly/DHwikiBio
Mr. Gates says that we need a miracle in energy and he is right. But there is no need for a super expensive and iffy Manhattan Project approach in order to achieve controlled over unity fusion. I think that a miracle is not only possible but it will happen in the not too distant future and for a lot less money. And here is why.
A new understanding of the causality of motion reveals that we are swimming in energy, lots and lots of clean energy, many orders of magnitude more than we'll ever need. Essentially, Aristotle was right to insist that motion does not happen for no reason: it requires a cause for the entire duration of the motion. As a result, we are immersed in an immense lattice of energetic particles without which nothing could move. IOW, Newton's laws are incomplete. Soon, physicists will wake up from their self-imposed stupor and realize that their understanding of motion is fundamentally flawed. Then they'll learn how to tap into this energy field for extremely fast propulsion and clean energy production.
Imagine traveling from New York to Beijing in minutes or earth to Mars in hours. Imagine floating above the rings of Saturn, the icy plains of Europa or the craters of Jupiter's moon Iapetus. Imagine floating sky cities and vehicles that can move at tremendous speeds and that can negotiate right angle turns without slowing down and without incurring any damage due to inertial effects. That's the future of energy and travel. It will not take billions and decades. It will simply emerge from a radical new way of looking at nature.
Read Physics: The Problem with Motion to learn about the exciting future of energy and transportation. You don't understand motion even if you think you do.
When you have a DeLorean car powered by this clean source of energy, let us know will you?
Mr. Gates sir your efforts and Mr. Buffett's have placed you both as a part as these generation's founding fathers in this technical age as much or more than the crisis in the 1700's. I have every confidence that we have a great future ahead of us.
I am full of admiration for the man.
I to am impressed with Bill Gates.I need a Grant please look at what I am doing and maybe the Baby was at fault?
Yes, I went to college in Albuquerque Circa 1970,and I was just amazed at all the solar technology that was invented, but not developed. Bluntly, the Reaganites were hostile. I have personally witnessed technological redlining, where tech like solar cookers,solar hot water, large scale wind turbines, PV etc tech was deliberately suppressed, and discredited. Frankly, if it wasn't for the Chinese you would not see a lot of this tech today in mass production. Innovators of renewable energy have been targets of campaigns by established big interest, I know, I am an inventor myself.
There is one technology so far not in mass production. Solar Smelters (that make 10,000 degreesF). What is not new is smelting with sunlight, that has been done for decades with Fresnel lens, lens, curved parabolics. What is new is making it safe, understandable, and economic.
I set up a web page to discuss the topic at www.solarsmeltersinternational.org I am absolutely amazed at how little work is going on in this field, even the Chinese aren't doing much. Just small scale backyard people. This is one area that has huge potential. My patented invention can for example also make hot air,hot steam and hot water...adding to the economics.The trick is making the invention out of local materials like "adobe" that way solar technology is "dirt cheap". Lack of funding for inventions like this, is really hurting people, but then again there are those who don't want people "making their own energy".
Martin Nix Solar Inventor.
I'm glad Bill Gates funds nuclear energy research. Now build me a nuclear rocket!
9 billion people by 2050. Doesn't that scare any of the readers here? That's the problem we should be focussing on.
Even if i don't think Microsoft OS is the best in the world,i actually admire the man-Gates-for his vision,energy and drive to make the world a better place.
Gates Right on energy, Wrong on CO2
Although I find Gates view on energy alternatives very sound, ie- more investment in energy research for sustainable energy, I think his fears on CO2's effect on global warming are just buying into the mantra. Gates need to do more research on global warming as probably 95% is natural. He needs to crack open the physics and chemistry books.
Martin Nix
Ah yea, things where so optimistic in the 70's, and gas and other things where so cheap back then. If solar and wind energy is so viable how come Europe is admitting the lack of sustainability from it? How come Britain is now looking at more nuclear reactors? How come Germany is still building more coal plants and expanding bituminous fields. The reason solar and wind aren't taking off is it's over hyped as to ROI and affordability. Without massive subsidies, as Gate implied by:
"The irony is that if you actually look at the amount of money that's been spent on feed-in tariffs and you properly account for it--tax credits, feed-in credits in Spain, solar photovoltaic stuff in Germany--the world has spent a massive amount of money which, in terms of creating both jobs and knowledge, would have been far better spent on energy research."
The technology is back in the 1800's in viability. It has nitch applications and those who can afford to implement thermal and passive solar on their houses. But for grid power it's just a ponzi scheme for ENRON like companies. It needs affordable storage facilities to overcome intermittancey otherwise it has to be backed up by conventional more power. And expanding the grid is a huge, costly gamble to shuttle intermittent power around. At the rate solar and wind is coming on line, by the time the 20% farm comes online the farms built back at the 5% level are past their lifespan and must be replaced. And at subsidies levels the taxpayer gets only a 20% return on investment. Some energy bailout!
The solution is Thorium Reactors for now:
http://www.thoriumenergyalliance.com/ThoriumSite/resources.html
And a mix of other fourth generation type reactors. then you'd probably have the power to derive gas from coal, wood methanol and perhaps biofuels from algae. Ethanol from cellulose may also become practical. i read where two auto companies are working on a flexfuel engine that is much more efficient then either a gas or diesel engine are.
So rather then messing with intermittent power that is labor intensive the mentioned above alternative look to be the immediate future. Fusion looks to be about 50 or more years away unfortunately.
Excellent Interview with Bill Gates
Interview with Bill Gates on wide issues is very interesting. Thanks for publishing this.
Dr.A.Jagadeesh Nellore (AP), India
Wind Energy Expert
E-mail: anumakonda.jagadeesh@gmail.com
Manufacturing in the United States is in trouble. That's bad news not just for the country's economy but for the future of innovation.
Mapou
357 Comments
Very Nice
Excellent interview. Bravo.
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