The Chinese Solar Machine Layer by Layer Fire in the Library The Mystery Behind Anesthesia
Tommy McCall
The popular impression of the U.S. electricity grid, often promoted by politicians and industry, is that it is maxed out, constantly on the verge of overload. In fact, the system is grossly oversized, built to handle extreme power demands that occur for only a few hours on the hottest days of the year. In New York City, peak demand is about 35,000 megawatts of electricity. Most of the time, the city's demand is about 9,000 megawatts less--equivalent to the output of about nine nuclear power plants. To cope with minute-by-minute changes in electricity supply and demand, grid operators must maintain large reserves of generation and transmission capacity.
Reducing the need for these reserves will mean that fewer power plants have to be built to keep up with increases in demand for electricity, saving $100 billion in construction costs and curbing future greenhouse-gas emissions. Emissions can also be reduced by replacing fossil-fuel plants with zero-emission technologies, such as solar and wind farms.
In the United States, achieving these goals will require tackling an antiquated transmission system. Half of the grid is more than 40 years old. Most of the grid is operated manually and without any real-time knowledge of what's going on in the field. If one of the aging transformers fails, the local utility may not even know until a customer calls to complain. Such slow responses have already led to cascading power failures, such as one that blacked out 45 million people in the northeastern United States in 2003.
The solution is to construct a network of sensors and controls that will give a detailed picture of the state of the grid in real time and allow rapid reactions to variations in electricity supply and demand--a so-called smart grid. These innovations will reduce the amount of excess capacity that grid operators require and make it easier to integrate renewable sources of energy. [
Sensors on transmission lines will determine how much power the lines can carry, something that varies with temperature. (For now, operators rely on conservative estimates that squander grid capacity.) Monitors installed on transformers will warn operators of problems before they occur, avoiding costly breakdowns and outages. Automated controls on transmission and distribution systems will maintain the grid's stability, even after intermittent sources such as wind and solar have begun making large contributions. In the part of the grid dedicated to long-distance transmission, most mechanical controls have already been replaced by digital ones that can be operated remotely--a significant step toward a smart grid. All the same, more can be done to speed up response times and further improve sensing.
A handful of demonstration projects are under way to modernize local distribution networks and extend the reach of the smart grid into homes and businesses, helping to smooth demand. Utilities already work with many industrial customers to curtail energy use during times of peak demand. With smart residential power meters, utilities can alert customers as electricity prices rise and fall with demand. Going a step further, automated appliances could respond to price signals from the meter by turning themselves off or switching to low-power mode. If, for example, 250,000 smart clothes dryers were installed in a city, during periods of peak demand, they would offset the output of an entire coal-burning power plant.
Eventually, these technologies could manage the load that plug-in hybrid and electric vehicles place on the grid when they charge. And the smart grid could make it easier for people who install solar panels and micro wind turbines to get paid for the power produced. "Over the long term," says David Mooney, director of the Electricity, Resources, and Building Systems Integration Center at the National Renewable Energy Laboratory in Golden, CO, "it's cheaper to put in microprocessors than transformers and power lines."
Mr. Bullis confuses the demand of New York City (maximum demand of about 12,000 MW) with that of New York State (maximum demand of about 34,000 MW)
I do not disagree with the base premise of this article that adding intelligent sensing and control to the grid will create efficiencies and reduce outages. I do however disagree with some of the lead in statements to the article:
1. The grid is not grossly oversized, it is precisely oversized. It is oversized to handle failures in redundant paths in the grid to prevent outages. As in my forte, communications, we provide a redundant path to prevent outages. Building a 100% redundant system is expensive but we would not do this if it was not cost effective (keeping our customers).
2. Grid and power operators and vendors know with a considerable degree of precision the peak demands their systems must meet, and plan accordingly. They provide base load and short term peaking capacity to meet these demands.
3. I do not see a connection between reducing the need for grid reserves and the need for power plants. There is a known base load demand and a known peak demand, generation and grid capacity must meet those demands. Grid reserves serve peak demand and system redundancy and do not factor into source capacities.
4. Emissions can also be reduced by replacing fossil-fueled plants with zero-emission technologies, such as wind and solar. ... and nuclear.
5. Natural gas base load production will reduce carbon emissions by ~40%. Nuclear base load production, while more expensive, will provide ~100% reduction in carbon emissions. Wind and Solar, according to the chart provided, are ~4x more expensive, are intermittant and location specific.
Future power requirements and emmission reductions need to be met with a combination of conservation, production and efficiencies. I am convinced that we can meet production and emission needs by deploying nuclear generation on a large scale. Solar, wind and other renewable production technologies will ramp up to meet some of these needs in the future but they are not ready to be deployed at sufficient capacities to supplant emmissive technologies and reduce carbon emmissions in time to avoid or reduce predicted climate change.
Manufacturing in the United States is in trouble. That's bad news not just for the country's economy but for the future of innovation.
Silacon
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Missing links
The topics in editorial about CO2 free electricity generation is missing links in the 'read more' listings.
In 2005 Silacon presented to Governor Schweitzer (Montana) an intelligent grid solution using artificial intelligence tools to monitor and learn optimization of use of energy on the grid. Simple neuro-fuzzy controllers linked to a grid computing network with safety and redundancy solves the problems when integrated with solar PV and wind. This turned out to be a 'hard sell' effort. The chief technical officer for the Governor appreciated the concepts we presented however later a VP of one of the nations largest utilities said, "Charles, we use real human intelligence not artificial intelligence". May Colorado live in the dark ages of energy abuse forever as long as its utilities company leaders share such a dim view of optimization of our resources using higher mathematics. Steven Chu is our best chance of breaking the ice on this issue.
Good editorial!!
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