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Wednesday, March 14, 2007

The Precarious Future of Coal

Continued from page 1

By Kevin Bullis

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As a result, the MIT researchers recommend that governments not support the new gasification plants over conventional plants. Instead, they say that governments should focus on large-scale demonstration programs that would, for the first time, capture carbon dioxide from coal plants, transport it, and store it at a large scale. The project would need to handle a million tons of carbon dioxide. Such demonstrations would make it possible to compare different technologies, increase policymaker and public confidence that capture and sequestration technology can work, and pave the way for quick adoption of the best technologies in response to a price on carbon dioxide.

Without such a demonstration, warns the report, a rush to cut carbon emissions would lead to spiking costs and further delays, and that would make it difficult for power producers to meet energy demand.

Although the DOE does spend a significant part of its resources on developing cleaner coal technology, the researchers say the agency's efforts are underfunded and not focused on the most promising approaches. For example, the DOE strategy promotes advanced coal plants that do not include carbon-dioxide capture technology. And although the DOE's FutureGen project has the potential to be a large-scale demonstration of power generation and carbon sequestration, its emphasis has been on research, not on the sort of work that will reveal system costs, the MIT authors say.

The demonstration projects the MIT researchers envision will take years. Meanwhile, the researchers suggest that governments take action by establishing a carbon-control policy. That will include, among other things, closing a potential loophole that may encourage utilities to build coal plants now without carbon capture in the hope that they can avoid future regulations.

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Comments

  • using up the carbon ?
    VCRAGAIN on 03/15/2007 at 7:35 AM
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    why are we not working on a TOTAL solution which
    also uses up the carbon to create MORE energy ? none of the studies are getting where we need to go !!! check out www.brienergy.com - using up the
    carbon instead of storing it underground - or are we storing it so we can come back later and do the second pass to create energy FROM it - lets do it right guys !!!
    Rate this comment: 12345
    • Re: using up the carbon ?
      Daniel from SA on 01/09/2008 at 2:37 AM
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      The problem is - we ARE using up the carbon.  CO2 is the lowest form of energy in which carbon exists, so it is not possible to extract energy from CO2.  If carbon is used as energy source, we will always end up with CO2.  Renewable processes either use an external energy source to convert the CO2 to molecules of higher energy (like photosynthesis using solar energy), or use non-carbon processes (solar energy to electricity, nuclear energy etc.)  Irrespective of where the carbon comes from, we will release CO2 from a carbon-based energy process.  If we want to minimise CO2 emissions, we must either replace the energy source, or maximise the efficiency of the total process (i.e. minimise energy losses ALL THE WAY to final use).  The latter will not reduce CO2 per se, but will maximise the amount of usable energy per molecule of CO2 created.

      Currently, the main source of CO2 use is still photosynthesis, and ideally we need to reduce the amount of CO2 released only down to the amount of CO2 that can be processed by photosynthesis (sounds easy, but in fact this is a huge challenge!)
      Rate this comment: 12345
  • Sequestration costs
    bobhargraves on 03/15/2007 at 7:52 AM
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    The recent MIT report also projects carbon emissions costs (tax or sequestration) of $300-500 per ton, about $0.14 per KWH.

    The sequestration pilot project is proposed to handle one million tons of CO2, but this is only one month's output of one large coal plant.
    Rate this comment: 12345
    • Re: Sequestration costs
      bobhargraves on 03/15/2007 at 8:04 AM
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      The link to the report I read is
      uregina.ca/ghgt7/PDF/papers/nonpeer/139.pdf
      Rate this comment: 12345
    • Sequestration pitfalls
      Dr. Orbis on 03/15/2007 at 9:29 AM
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      We seem to be neglecting the volume issue.  Gases, even under extreme pressure occupy significantly more volume than the solids/liquids they replace.  It's still the same number of Carbon atoms.  Not to be too funny, but what happens when the ground "burps" and mass quantities are re-released?

      My money's still on bio-cycling with algae as a direct C-reduction vector back to usable oil.
      Rate this comment: 12345
      • Re: Sequestration pitfalls
        Reptile on 03/21/2007 at 3:21 PM
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        I agree that the fear of "burps" is a real concern.  Isn't that a chief reason to go with large-but-not-too-large tests/proof of concept, etc.?

        Obviously sequestration in some situations will likely prove safe, in other geological formations, methodologies it will be expensive of even unsafe.

        My suspicion is that a $5 billion series of pilot projects will answer some of these questions one way or another.  As well as develop the art, reduce costs, etc.

        Sequestration would surely be one of a suite of approaches finally adopted, at best. Not a magic bullet.
        Rate this comment: 12345
        • Re: Sequestration pitfalls
          Daniel from SA on 01/09/2008 at 2:43 AM
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          One of the bigger concerns I know about is the long term effect of long term sequestration.  If CO2 is stored in an inert facility, fine.  But what will happen (for instance) to the pH of sea water if the sea is used as storage facility?  (Not my own question - I remember reading this concern).  Similarly, are we just leaving another problem for our children to eventually SOLVE?
          Rate this comment: 12345
    • Re: Sequestration costs
      indref on 03/29/2007 at 7:29 PM
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      I am involved in driving mine shafts by freezing the soil around the shaft to form a temporary structure while a permanent structure is built.

      I am interested in carbon doxide as R-744 (a refrigerant).  At 2000 feet below ground  the pressure of a liquid column carbon dioxide is about 800 psi higher than it is on the surface and at this pressure it will not evaporate down the hole.  It should be easy and cheap to sequester liquid carbon dioxide at a depth where it will not evaporate.
      Rate this comment: 12345
  • More Nukes less Kooks
    SirLanse on 03/15/2007 at 9:16 AM
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    Even a founder of Greenpeace has come to understand that nuclear power is the best way to the future.
    We need more support and experience with fission
    before fusion becomes a reality.
    Rate this comment: 12345
  • Best options first: efficiency, renewables
    MarkShapiro on 03/15/2007 at 12:40 PM
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    Carbon sequestration, fission, and fusion are seductive indeed.  They promise unlimited, high tech sources of power.  But the externalities and security risks are equally unlimited. 

    Economists (and freedom lovers) prefer distributed sources of power (and wealth) over concentrated, centralized power; and for excellent reasons.  Efficiency, renewable sources like solar and biomass, and simple conservation can provide power, wealth, as well as security to all.  Let us heed Adam Smith, and the founding fathers.

    And clean local energy can be plenty high tech, too.
    Rate this comment: 12345
    • Re: Best options first: efficiency, renewables
      Tagamet on 03/17/2007 at 10:42 PM
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      "Economists (and freedom lovers) prefer distributed sources of power (and wealth) over concentrated, centralized power;"
      Does this refer to the pitting of the "haves" Vs. the "have nots"?
      Rate this comment: 12345
      • Re: Best options first: efficiency, renewables
        Reptile on 03/21/2007 at 3:34 PM
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        Efficiency should be first. Distributed sources of power production and/or substitution should be key elements of the mix, especially of solar pricing/kwh finally falls significantly. Energy storage, both distributed and centralized is also a key element in a green system of systems.

        Fusion???  I would love it, but still seems way in the future.

        No nuclear (fission) system solves two major show stoppers.

        1. nuclear proliferation of weapons (either explosive or some type of dirty bomb).  Obviously true of old style lightwater reactors, but I bet  all types fail this test.

        2.  Long-term storage of wastes.  Especially so that they can NEVER be accessed at some time in the future (10,000 years) and be "weaponized." Can anyone guarantee that a future government in the center of the Eurasian continent (now known as "Russia") or North America (currently known as Bush's brain) could at some date in the future not be tempted to start creating weapon's.  Which supposes, of course, that in the most optimistic short-term one could succeed in disarming and creating a nuclear-weapon-free world. 
        Rate this comment: 12345
  • Clean Coal, An Oxymoron if there ever was one
    Solar John on 03/16/2007 at 4:17 PM
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    Reducing stack emissions is only part of the solution.  Don't forget about the mercury-poisoned streams, coal dust, destruction of mountains, polution of ground water sources, etc.

    Coal should be phased out, replaced by non-polluting, renewable resources.

    solarjohn.blogspot.com
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    • Re: Clean Coal, An Oxymoron if there ever was one
      Reptile on 03/21/2007 at 3:59 PM
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      You may be right, in the end.  But cleaning up the stack emissions de minimus presumes that the other stuff, especially mercury, would be cleaned up too.

      The CO2 in my intuition is the stuff that would be really hard to get rid of because of volume.  But maybe I'm wrong.  Maybe using biological means, or catalysts, CO2 could broken down and then recombined in some form at leisure.

      Seems to me that carbon sequestration (also could apply to petroleum and natural gas combustion) could possibly be a significant element in a suite of low and high tech responses to the need to cut greenhouse gas emissions of all types.

      A big problem I see with coal is all those open pit mines.  And has anyone studied the contributions of methane gas emissions attendant to various types of coal mining opertions and THEIR contribution to global warming.  Especially now that it appears that the contribution of methane deriving from cattle farts--excessive concentration of corn in the diet of cattle (substituting for grass)--may actually be a significant contribution to greenhouse gases.  

      Also, off the subject, consider positive effects of niche markets for some technologies.  Thousand mile stretches of virtually uninhabited desert coasts (in Chile, for example, Australia, or perhaps the Arabian Peninsula) could be markets for small scale solar electrical plus desalination systems in very small communities, scientific outposts etc.

      Now they depend a lot on very inefficient generators and water trucked in, if that. In solar power/desalination systems a cistern can even be an energy storage device.

      Very high initial capital costs (unless one could mass produce standardized multifunction units) but relatively low operating costs.  To become common, however, such systems would need to be nearly maintenance free (A cousin--a mining engineer from Chile--just visited us in New York; that's why the energy needs of such environments is on my mind). Systems would need to function nearly unattended for maximum efficiency.  But maybe way too off the subject.

      A drop in the bucket to quench global warming?  Yes, but if combined with billions of others, an element of a fair start. 

      There are no silver bullets.
      Rate this comment: 12345
  • Hg & Fe
    vidya on 03/21/2007 at 1:19 AM
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    in coal iron & mercury both r found, though insignificant quantity, both can cost health. Can't we think over this fact ? Hg can b used for production of some precious & useful elements which r rarely available on the earth.(Pl bear with my sms text.)
    Rate this comment: 12345
    • Re: Hg & Fe
      Daniel from SA on 01/09/2008 at 2:51 AM
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      I know some big coal burning companies are looking into this.  Although the amounts of toxic compounds, like Hg, are small, due to the huge amounts of coal burned in some processes, and due to factors like reflux, these compounds are concentrated to amounts that become significant.  However, extracting them in economically vialbe processes still remains a technical difficulty, therefore one of the schools of thought is still to "make them inactive" (e.g.encapsulation in inert material) and dump them responsibly.  But I agree, finding a use for elements contained in toxic waste is far better than dumping toxic waste.  (This opens another debate - should one dump organic molecules, or oxidise them to CO2 and "dump" the CO2?  Which option will be the least harmful IN THE LONG RUN?)
      Rate this comment: 12345
  • Wrong issue is addressed here
    crab on 03/23/2007 at 2:22 PM
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    If you start with a wrong premise you can't get the correct answer. First take the test to see if you are qualified to address the issue of coal:
    http://www.geocraft.com/WVFossils/GlobWarmTest/start.html

    If you pass the test then post.

    China's oil demand may rise 29 percent by 2010 from last year's levels, said an official from China National Petroleum Corp................
    Oil demand may reach 455 million metric tons (about 9.14 million barrels a day), ....... Imports may increase to 250 million tons....
    The only near term solution to their(& our)energy problem is coal and that is why China is building coal plants as rapidly as possible.

    http://home.comcast.net/~rlester06/Sowell.html
    Rate this comment: 12345
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