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Discovering the Surface of Greenland

Continued from page 1

By David Talbot

Thursday, January 25, 2007

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The technology makes use of existing Earth-observing satellites. But these aren't the only ones up there. Other satellites, notably NASA's Landsat and ASTER sensors, are also well-known for making sharp images of the home planet. The main advantage of Terra and Aqua, though, is the greater sensitivity to subtle light contrasts--a big help when the photographic subject is a vast white surface. Plus, Terra and Aqua are available more often. Landsat doesn't cross the same spot more than once every 16 days. Since many satellite images are unusable because of cloud cover, as a practical matter it would take many hundreds of Landsat images to make a similar map, Scambos says.

The new approach also allows rapid reevaluation of the entire sheet on Greenland to detect important short-term changes. In fact, the technology allows scientists to build a new high-res picture of the entire sheet every two months. And if scientists decide that they'd like another look at a small area, other satellites can potentially be brought to bear.

The subject is of more than academic interest, notes Mark Fahnestock, a geologist at the University of New Hampshire, in Durham, who collaborated with Scambos on the technology. "Basically, the Greenland ice sheet is putting out--in the last six, seven years--40 percent more ice than it was ten years earlier," Fahnestock says. "We are trying to understand why, so we can have some idea of how to project it into the future." Once this understanding becomes clearer, scientists will be able to tell the world how fast and how far sea levels might rise. This might even prod policymakers to reduce greenhouse-gas emissions and plan for receding coastlines and the inundation of populated areas.

One of the disturbing trends in Greenland is the growth of huge lakes of ice melt that form atop the ice sheet during summer months. These masses of water find cracks and drain deep into the ice sheet, to uncertain effect. The new imaging technology can see such cracks and how they are changing, Fahnestock says.

At a high level, the technology can show ice as a kind of slow-motion river. "In a river you can see standing waves and rapids," Fahnestock says. "It's the same sort of picture of the ice, even though it is moving much slower. You see this bumpiness because this ice is in motion." The rate of ice-sheet melting is poorly understood, and "knowing where it's bumpy lets us figure out why Greenland is changing as fast as it is today," he says.

Comments

  • Al's Event
    A Jan 16th New York Times article on Greenland ice contained the following: " Greenland is covered by 630,000 cubic miles of ice, enough water to raise global sea levels by 23 feet. Carl Egede Boggild, a professor of snow-and-ice physics at the University Center of Svalbard, said Greenland could be losing more than 80 cubic miles of ice per year. “That corresponds to three times the volume of all the glaciers in the Alps,” Dr. Boggild said."
    The numbers in the article provides a calculated annual sea level rise due to Greenland ice melting of 0.035 inches per year, about the thickness of a heavy sheet of paper.  Not much to worry about a mere annual 80 cubic miles loss per year, but will the ice slide off of Greenland in a catastrophic event as Al Gore warned in his more aptly named movie Inconvenient Truths?  Why would it?  It didn't slide off a thousand years ago during the Medieval Climate Optimum when the Vikings had vineyards on Greenland.  Could it slide off?  There is a miniscual probability that practically anything could happen, but if I don't find it productive to worry about a large errant asteroid smacking us, why should I worry about Al's event.
    Rate this comment: 12345

    tomklein
    01/25/2007
    Posts:4
    • Re: Al's Event
      That's almost a millimeter--awfully thick for even a thick sheet of paper. See http://www.paper-paper.com/weight.html

      You may not worry about such a small amount, but we don't really understand the process well enough to know that there won't be an "avalanche".
      Rate this comment: 12345

      ms
      01/25/2007
      Posts:130
      Avg Rating:
      4/5
      • Re: Al's Event
        I don't think anyone believes it will be a Hollywoodesque avalanche.  But there is great concern that some effects on the Greenland ice sheet may be synergistic. Leading to a rapid (in glacial terms) breakup of the ice sheet.
        Rate this comment: 12345

        Gurthang
        01/25/2007
        Posts:20
        Avg Rating:
        4/5
    • Re: Al's Event
      The talk of big melt lakes forming on the glacier's surface during summer and then draining down crevases will tend to have a positive feedback on the speed of glacier movement towards the sea (increasing the likelihood of Al Gore's worry of a 'catastrophic' deterioration of the ice sheets) as the water would act as a lubricant - freeing the massive amounts of ice from the friction that slows their progress.

      This means we would be reaching the point where massive icebergs calve from the glacier and float on sea currents into warmer water more rapidly than scientists have predicted using their climate models.

      This seems to be similar to the processes that recently liberated enormous masses of ice from Antartica and sent it towards the warmer climate of New Zealand - accelerating the rate of rising sea levels.

      This is a major problem that threatens the inhabitability of low lying island nations - like Tonga, Fiji, and Vanuatu.
      Rate this comment: 12345

      Cpt_Nemo
      01/25/2007
      Posts:16
      Avg Rating:
      3/5
  • And Now Something Entirely Different
    We have seen research for a number of years on ice melts and threats of sea level increases. Reducing human impact on global warming needs to be covered in a manner so that we, industry, and political structures know what specific kinds of action to take. Do we, for example, have a time frame to recover before identified catastrophic events? Are Katrinas more likely, as well as changes in weather patterns and strength of storms? Is a tsunami of historical size possible? The ice sheet melts more rapidly is mentioned, but is failure of a great ice sheet sliding into the sea and creating a great wave possible?
    Rate this comment: 12345

    hosro59@comc...
    01/26/2007
    Posts:6

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