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Cringely's creative proposal gained some unintended currency when financial powerhouse Bear Stearns repeated the Google Cube idea in a December 19 report. "Through recent conversations with a technology pundit, we think Google could be experimenting with new hardware endeavors that could significantly change potential future applications by Google, creating another advantage for Google over its competitors," the report said. "Investors may currently under-appreciate Google as a potential hardware company."
The report, which acknowledged that Cringely was the pundit in question, went on to say that "Through our conversations, we have learned that Google may be considering developing Google Cubes….Basically the device would be a small box with many connections ports on it, in addition to wireless (Bluetooth/WiFi). Its potential purpose: it could connect to your TV or PC, or PVR, or stereo."
The rumor mill ground on, as the Los Angeles Times picked up the Bear Stearns report in a January 1 article predicting major developments in the media industry in 2006.
The Times wrote: "Bear Stearns analysts speculated in a research report last month that consumers would soon see something called 'Google Cubes' — a small hardware box that could allow users to move songs, videos and other digital files between their computers and TV sets." The article did not link Bear Stearns' speculations to Cringely.
And the article went beyond the Google Cube, predicting that "Google will unveil its own low-price personal computer or other device that connects to the Internet." The Times based its prediction on a report from an unnamed source who claimed Google was in negotiations with Wal-Mart to sell an inexpensive Google PC. "The machine would run an operating system created by Google, not Microsoft's Windows, which is one reason it would be so cheap -- perhaps as little as a couple of hundred dollars," the Times wrote.
The newspaper's claims spread quickly across the Internet after Canadian student Manuel Diaz, a hardcore user of the popular social-bookmarking site Digg.com, posted a link to the Times article on January 3. The link received hundreds of "diggs" (votes) from other Digg users, and as a result, was elevated to the site's front page. Once it held such visible placement, of course, the link received even more votes, leading more Digg users to click on it, in a self-reinforcing cycle. (The story had racked up 2,756 diggs as of January 18, making it the 14th-most-"dugg" story of 2006).
Discussion of the Times article pervaded the blogosphere on January 3, with many bloggers apparently interpreting the newspaper's prediction as an established fact. (Information Week's website published a useful article surveying the buzz.)
January 3 also happened to be the first day of the International Consumer Electronics Show in Las Vegas. Google had a big presence at the show, which was scheduled to end on January 6 with a keynote speech by Google co-founder and president Larry Page. As the week went on, speculation swelled that Page would use the keynote to announce the supposed Wal-Mart deal -- despite a prompt and flat denial from Google. Company blogger David Krane called the Times report "wildly speculative" and stated "We have a number of PC partners who serve their markets exceedingly well and we see no need to enter this market; we would rather partner with great companies." [UPDATE, Jan. 23, 2006: Google's answer was the same when the company replied today to this writer's January 18 request for further comment. - WR.]
Guest (W. Anderson)
An interesting perspective of your story is the anxiety that exists primarily in USA about Google/Sun vs Micrsoft, when elsewhere (outside the USA) there is steady and growing movement of societies towards " an Open Standards" technology paradigm, i.e. away from Microsoft. This is good, and one can hope hope (if an American) that such clearer thinking will take pace here as well.
Guest (Tim Eubank)
Manufacturing in the United States is in trouble. That's bad news not just for the country's economy but for the future of innovation.
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Guest (Michael Dunn)
Paying for Google
"videos at the Google Video Marketplace are the first items Google has ever asked consumers to pay for"
Actually, some features of Google Earth you must pay for, although you could argue that those are not intended for consumers.
Other non-consumer things, like advertising, is paid for as well.
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Guest (Carl Kelly)
Fervently Waiting for Google
"But what's clear from the long, Internet-enhanced game of Telephone that led up to the rumors about Page's speech is that computer users fervently wish they would."
Fervently? That's a pretty broad and unsubstantiated claim. Perhaps some Windows users, but how about some numbers? And Mac users? I doubt that they would even give a Google PC a second look.
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Guest (jeremy)
More on Sun's plans
Sun already had plans to release a OS based on Java, it is sitting on Linux Core to work. I tryed a demostration CD for the Java OS but was not that impresive. They were also planning to release a 3D desktop OS based on Java. I haven't read lately what happened with that.
Linux is dismissed as "too geeky" by the author, but if any new OS has the chance to take away power from Windows, it would be Linux. More and more companies support the OS, and there are more "Wizards" on the OS that allow regular users to setup the computer. Lucrative companies like RedHat and Novel have added many user-friendly featues to Linux. And the dirt-cheep computer sold by Walt-mart runs on Linux too.
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