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March/April 2008

TR10: Reality Mining

Continued from page 1

By Kate Greene

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This relationship information could have much broader implications. Earlier this year, Nathan Eagle, a former MIT grad student who had led the reality-­mining research in Pentland's lab, moved to the Santa Fe Institute in New Mexico. There, he plans to use cell-phone data to improve existing computational models of how diseases like SARS spread. Most epidemiology models don't back up their predictions with detailed data on where and with whom people spend their time, Eagle says. The addition of relationship and proximity data would make these models more accurate. "What's interesting is that you can see that a disease spreads based on who is infected first," Eagle says.

Taking advantage of other sensors in cell phones, such as the microphone or the accelerometers built into newer devices like Apple's iPhone, could even extend the benefits of reality mining into personal health care, Pentland says. For example, clues to diagnosing depression could be found in the way a person talks: depressed people may speak more slowly, a change that speech analysis software on a phone might recognize more readily than friends or ­family do. Monitoring a phone's motion sensors might reveal slight changes in gait, which could be an early indicator of ailments such as Parkinson's disease.

While the promise of ­reality mining is great, the idea of collecting so much personal information naturally raises many questions about privacy, Pentland admits. He says it's crucial that behavior-logging technology not be forced on anyone. But legal statutes are lagging behind our data collection abilities, he says, which makes it all the more important to begin discussing how the technology will be used.

For now, though, Pentland is excited about the potential of reality mining to simplify people's lives. "All of the devices that we have are completely ignorant of the things that matter most," he says. "They may know all sorts of stuff about Web pages and phone numbers. But at the end of the day, we live to interact with other people. Now, with reality mining, you can see how that happens ... it's an interesting God's-eye view."

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Comments

  • Stalker Tech
    "could predict where they would meet on any given day" Wow. I really feel great about my daughters going off to college now. Mix in cheap gps phone and tracking software and you know where the car is all the time and when they have not gotten a call in a while.
      Who really benefits from knowing these things?
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    SirLanse
    02/21/2008
    Posts:43
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    • Re: Stalker Tech
      Obviously limits would have to be put in placed on this type of technology. I agree privacy is a real issue hear and we should be careful in using this tech. However I feel that it could be highly beneficial for people. I guess you could think of it as a more advanced Facebook.
      Rate this comment: 12345

      MrPrez
      02/21/2008
      Posts:2
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      1/5
      • Re: Stalker Tech
        I'd be willing to bet that our Government, in particular its "security" services, will place no limits whatsoever on its use of such techniques.  This adds weight to the argument that it is the duty of individuals everywhere to use every artifice to deliberately thwart such methods as a matter of routine.
        Rate this comment: 12345

        notjim
        02/21/2008
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        • Re: Stalker Tech
          Would technology of this nature not ultimately lead to the total predictability of every cell phone user within the global cellular network? Is this not an extreme form of personality profiling?

          If one can predict an individual's behavior, could one then not introduce variables to alter such predicted behavior? Hence, would it not be possible to introduce controls over each of the individuals within the global cellular network?

          Over time, would it not be possible to develop an acceptable profile for a each given role within society? Therefore, couldn't acts deemed to be outside acceptable limits of the individual's given role (i.e politically incorrect) create negative repercussions for the individual who performed the act? In other words, could this not lead to an extremely granular system of "sticks" and "carrots?"

          How difficult then would it be to extend these limitations to entire populations and/or societies, as once the algorithms are created it is simply data collection and processing horsepower?

          So, given the above, I'd like to ask those at MIT, who are implementing this project, if they have asked the funders of this project what their long term plans are for this technology. Who is asking the moral questions? Who is making these long term societal choices?
          Rate this comment: 12345

          onepersonsop...
          03/15/2008
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  • Weather forcasting help?
    I remember reading in one of Dr. Stephen Baxter's works, about how around 2040, Weather forcasting, started to get extremely accurate, by incorporating weather sensors into new TVs. That in turn sent back basic weather data for that particular location. Thereby giving NOAA (for example) more and more data.

    I was wondering a) would that really work (I've read that one of the biggest problems with forecasting, is there's not enough sensors and data) and b) could you do the same with cell phones? GPS, is in a lot of phones now. That with real-time basic weather data, and a simple date/time code also added to the data packet.

    Just an idea. Good magazine, BTW.

    - Kc
    Rate this comment: 12345

    kcredden
    03/13/2008
    Posts:1
  • tyranny
    Is this really a box that they want to open? Do you really think that this will not be abused? How are you going to keep the Chinese government or the Iranian government from requiring that all phones sold in the country have this technology, so that they can keep tabs on there people. Obviously you cannot hold back technology indefinitely, but I would not want all that blood on my hands.

    Two thirds of the world’s population still lives in tyranny.
    Rate this comment: 12345

    zig158
    04/10/2008
    Posts:64
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  • Genie meet Bottle
    Few people have thought about how this should be regulated in real life yet. It was nonexistent until now. The same occurs with any new technology. First it is created. Then it is regulated. Generally regulations only pop up to solve problems or perceived problems. The moment this technology becomes widely implemented, there are groups already in place likely to challenge it on grounds of privacy concerns. There are two main options for the regular person opposed to new technologies, help one of the groups opposing it or just opt out of using it yourself.
    Rate this comment: 12345

    desolation0
    04/21/2008
    Posts:13
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  • 1984
    mmmm, i completely disagree with the everyday personal life applications suggested that this kind of technology can have. what striked me was the phrase: "basically, to help you live your life". very dangerous idea. if someone need this stuff to "live his life" than he is dead already. maybe i sound harsh but some kind of effort that we have to put in our life is very useful and this efforts made possible for the human brain to evolve or at least not to atrophy. if you help the chrysalis to break out from the wrap you think you're doing right and helping but what you're actually doing is condemning the chrysalis to never fly. i like technology(that's why i'm reading this)but when rightly and wisely applied. what we see lately is just technology development with the basic and perhaps the only incentive being the economic revenues.
    this article reminded me the great book of Orwell "1984".
    Rate this comment: 12345

    techboy
    12/15/2008
    Posts:1

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The 10 Emerging Technologies of 2008
Technology Review presents its annual list of the 10 most exciting technologies.

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