November/December 2007
Sea-Level Riddle
Determining how fast ice sheets are melting is critical to future policy.
By Richard Alley
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| Credit: Harry Campbell |
Are the Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets our friends, which will moderate sea-level rise over the next century as polar snowfall increases? Or are they ticking bombs, soon to unleash floods on the world's coasts? The uncomfortable fact is that while the ice is looking less and less friendly (see "Measuring the Polar Meltdown"), we're really not sure. The United States has joined almost 200 other countries in seeking "stabilization of greenhouse gas concentrations in the atmosphere at a level that would prevent dangerous anthropogenic interference with the climate system" under Article Two of the U.N. Framework Convention on Climate Change. Exactly what constitutes "dangerous interference" can be debated, but substantial ice-sheet shrinkage causing meters of sea-level rise is a strong candidate.
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