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Can GM's Volt Save the Company?

The planned plug-in hybrid car is at the core of the automaker's attempt to reinvent itself. But will the car be a commercial success?

By Kevin Bullis

Monday, April 06, 2009

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In the wake of harsh criticism from President Obama and his administration last week, GM is building a case that it's taking the steps needed to make its planned plug-in hybrid, the Chevrolet Volt, a commercial success.

European Volt: The Opel Ampera uses the battery and electric-drive system developed for the Chevrolet Volt plug-in hybrid.
Credit: GM

Last week, President Obama said that GM had failed to present a convincing plan to turn around its decline, and he warned that the automaker may face bankruptcy. Part of the problem, according to a report by his administration, is that the company is not producing the right mix of vehicles to compete with other automakers. For example, the Volt, the company's attempt to overcome Toyota's lead in green vehicle technology, "is currently projected to be much more expensive than its gasoline-fueled peers and will likely need substantial reductions in manufacturing cost in order to become commercially viable," the report said.

But the Volt is central to GM's plans for the "reinvention of our company," said Tony Posawatz, the vehicle line manager for the Volt, in a conference call with reporters last week. The car can be recharged by plugging it in, and will allow people to drive 40 miles without using any gasoline. For longer trips, an onboard generator that runs on gasoline or ethanol will recharge the battery to extend the car's range. GM plans to use the basic platform for the Volt in a range of vehicles. Indeed, it has already announced two derivatives of the car, one a Cadillac and the other a plug-in hybrid for Europe.

Posawatz acknowledged that the first-generation version of the Volt, due out at the end of 2010, will be more expensive "than one would want." But he said that the company is already developing the second generation of the car, which could be thousands of dollars less expensive. The company has also been working with local governments and utilities to help it sell more cars by creating various incentives.

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One way to save money is by improving the battery system. For the first version of the Volt, GM has taken extra pains to make sure that the battery will last, Posawatz said. A dedicated heating and cooling system will prevent the temperature extremes that can quickly degrade a battery. In addition, because discharging the battery completely can also shorten its life, control systems keep the battery from being discharged more than about 50 percent. But these measures could be overkill, Posawatz noted. "We have put in place a lot of extra fail-safe engineering solutions," he said. "So there are some opportunities [to reduce costs] as we refine the design."

Indeed, tests on similar batteries by the Electric Power Research Institute have shown that they can last for more than 10 years even if discharged over 75 percent. Using more of the energy in the batteries would reduce the number of cells needed. Posawatz said that the dedicated heating and cooling system might also be unnecessary.

Comments

  • The Volt is About Political Capital
    Can the Volt save GM? Not by its own merits. GM has publicly admitted it cannot sell the Volt profitably at less than $50,000.

    So why is a company that is circling the drain of bankruptcy spending billions it doesn't have on a car that can't make it any money for many years?

    The answer is simple. GM has given up on being a profitable company. Instead it will live permanently off of Government bailouts. The Volt is designed to ingratiate the administration and Congress, not to make money.
    Rate this comment: 12345

    knb01
    04/06/2009
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    • Re: The Volt is About Political Capital
      When our governments tried to get companies to use IT to improve productivity they gave them the ability to depreciate H/W and S/W costs over a short period of time. Why not do the same for cars bought in the next 2 years to get the battery industry up on it's feet. Once plants begin manufacturing high-efficiency batteries in quantities the price should drop dramatically. I say we should allow a 500$ tax credit / year for 5 years on any car using modern (expensive) battery technology. The US will begin manufacturing such batteries which charge remarkably fast, by this fall in Illinois or Indiana (read this recently). What is wrong with such an approach?
      Rate this comment: 12345

      davemtl
      04/13/2009
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  • Cost cutting
    I am confused how selling the used battery to utilities will reduce the cost of the car? That will only reduce the replacement cost of the battery pack. That is unless the car already comes with a guaranteed replacement battery pack.
    Rate this comment: 12345

    SimonHoer
    04/06/2009
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    • Re: Cost cutting
      By finding a company willing to purchase half expended batteries you can increase the time it takes to pay off those batteries. If the battery costs $8000, that's $8000 the consumer must pay. This is a simplification, but if GM makes a deal to sell the old batteries to utilities for $3000, then the consumer only needs to pay $5000 and $50000 car can be sold for $45000.

      I think the real up hill fight for GM in convincing utilities to do this is that they have to convince them that there will not be a cheaper more efficient alternative available 10 years up the road when they can receive the old batteries.

      You are also right in that in that it does little for the consumer in the long run because it doesn't help them unless they sell back their vehicle to GM or trade it in. GM seems to be counting on buying back the vehicles and probably certifying and reselling as a used vehicle with a new battery.
      Rate this comment: 12345

      aka_mythos
      04/06/2009
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  • Falling short
    Its amazing to me that this is the best a company like GM can come up with. How many people in todays (and both past and future) economy are going to buy a $50k hybrid? The Prius is stretch already for some. IMO a lot of the younger generations are the ones who are more likely to drive a hybrid (just my experience), and they're most likely not going to be able to drop 50k on one.

    This is why its amazing a company like Aptera, has an all electric and a hybrid version that has a much longer range and better overall mileage all for close to $30k with options. Take a look here: http://www.aptera.com/ . Some people may not like the design but its very aerodynamic which cars have been lacking for some time.
    Rate this comment: 12345

    Shoreliner...
    04/06/2009
    Posts:9
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  • Government should step in to help with uphill battle.
    Even if electric cars can be technically successful, they will still face major competition from gasoline powered vehicles. In fact, the more successful electrics become, the cheaper the gasoline will be. This then leads to stiffer economic competition. Why buy a $40k electric vehicle when you can buy a similar gasoline powered one for $20k? Add on to that cheap gasoline, and the consumers won't buy electrics because it makes no economic sense.

    Of course, "cheap gasoline" at the pump is a misnomer. The true price for society is much higher than the nominal gas price at your petrol station. Society has to carry the burden of massive pollution, and the associated gigantic military costs (wonder why we have to have all those military bases in the Middle East?). If those costs were to be factored into the true price of gasoline, then it would cost far more. Gasoline is not cheap.

    One could argue that because society is shouldering all these associated ecologic and military costs, these costs could be viewed as indirect government subsidies to the oil industry.

    We should calculate how much these subsidies are per gasoline powered car, and then provide equal (or higher) subsidies to electric cars.
    Rate this comment: 12345

    gabrielg01
    04/06/2009
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    • Re: Government should step in to help with uphill battle.
      True, only just take the war in Iraq.
      How much did the war in Iraq cost upto now? Like $2300 per American? The relation is a fact. This war would not have been if Iraq did not have any oil at all.
      Rate this comment: 12345

      spostma
      04/10/2009
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    • Re: Government should step in to help with uphill battle.
      You are correct sir/madamm! However government subsidies should only be a part time thing - The market must take over at some point. Unfortunately, money goes to where money is; we, as individuals must smack the horses ass to get it moving as we wish.

      "They say you want a revolution - well you know - are we doing what we can?"
      Rate this comment: 12345

      app1es
      04/10/2009
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  • Volt is a good car
    I'm not saying the Volt will save GM, but the Volt is the right path toward electrics. $50,000 has been thrown around, but it's not the cost of each car, it's the cost of the average estimated car.

    If it works, if it sells more it'll be cheaper. All that development money, not just for technology, but for molds and assembly equipment and all the new low energy items like wipers and window motors.

    I know you all know this is how mass production works. High expenditure up front is paid for by high production on the back side.

    GM's problems started because their quality was down in the 80s, they pay too much overhead in benefits and wages to their employees and executives, and they guessed the wrong path by pushing large vehicles. Not that stupid when you consider that we were buying large vehicles until gas spiked, maybe shortsighted I agree, but not stupid.

    It's pretty easy to jump on the bandwagon and act like GM was stupid. They led the world in sales until last year, that's a pretty good run.
    Rate this comment: 12345

    asdar
    04/07/2009
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    • Re: Volt is a good car
      fact 1 - GM was losing money for about a decade. I always wondered how is it possible to run a company this way?...Well, finally reality caught up with them.

      fact 2 - the Volt does not yet exist as a production car, so it's too early to declare it "a good car". We will see.
      Rate this comment: 12345

      gabrielg01
      04/07/2009
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    • Re: Volt is a good car
      Oh Please! Any one with eyes could see how the 1970's oil crisis (embargo & Hubbert's Bell Curve) would effect politics and energy commerce long into the future. The problem with Carter's Energy plan is that it, like all other government plans, was engulfed by bureaucracy. At that time GM was one of the strongest companies in the world and should have had the for sight that the Japanese had, instead of continuing with the status quo. At that time we heard rumors of cars getting 70+ mpg; arm in arm the BIG 4 and the oil companies led us astray while the oil companies gobbled up almost 90% of all H2 Tech.
      During WW1 & WW2 almost 1,000,000 cars, trucks, boats, tanks, tractors and trains were using at least a century's old technology of "Gasification" to fuel their mobile equipment, not to mention all the stationary units for home heat and power and industrial applications. Where is that technology today?
      Rate this comment: 12345

      app1es
      04/10/2009
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  • Long Term Volt
    I think many of you are missing the big picture.
       How much do you think the government (and the US people)will pay to be rid of Saudi Arabia, Hugo Chaves and all the other oil funded despots and terrorist?
       A lot. Once the Volt comes out I would not be surprised to see the government subsidy increase to keep US dollars in the US, and not funding Hamas and Islamic "schools" across the globe.
       What would I be willing to pay for a no oil car? 35K. And That is a 15 k more than I would pay for a gas car.
       Why? I am tired of my hard work (money) going to a bunch of a-holes who were born on a black pool of oil so they can spend it on palm shaped man made islands and Russian whores.
       Once we have cars like the Volt, I would be really surprised if we did not see a lot more government approved nuclear and solar power plants....
       You cannot export power production jobs to China.... 
      PrometheusGoneWild.com
    Rate this comment: 12345

    DennisBull...
    04/07/2009
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  • EV2?
    Did anyone watch "Who killed the electric car?" GM aggressively recalled the EV1 in 2003.
    Rate this comment: 12345

    fastpuppy
    04/09/2009
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  • It's a halo car
    The volt is a halo car like the corvette.  It was created for bragging rights only.

    GM noticed all the green press Toyota and others received for their hybrids and the bad press they got from "who killed the EV1?" and so they came up with a halo car to fix the problem.

    GM is a manufacturer for the masses and the masses are not going to pay $50k for a car.

    The cheap electrics are going to come from China. Too bad for GM. Ford has a chance.
    Rate this comment: 12345

    verdae
    04/09/2009
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  • 50 G volt
    I will stick with my 82 olds... so will others.

    Battery cars are a joke... and with a pending carbon tax, it might be more expensive to charge your Volt.

    We should wait till we develop an efficient fuel cell.

    Government mandates don't work. they didn't work for Russia's five year plans, nor China's great leaps forward.

    Let the market determine the future, not governments.
    Rate this comment: 12345

    rhansing
    04/10/2009
    Posts:63
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  • Battery issues
    I can't understand why car manufacturers even have to worry about battery packs and hybrids at all.
    If the administrations of countries properly push an infrastructure where delivery of energy is handled by the companies that actualy want to sell the energy, hybrids or "recharging your battery" wouldn't be of a concern of car makers nor car drivers.
    Just drive into a refuel station, like you drive into a carwash, and plug your credit card into a slot. Have an underground robot pull out one of more battery casettes from your car and replace them with charged ones, so you can step on your paddle and be on your way one minute later.
    If the energy supplier wants to/can cram more energy into one casette because they save or earn money on it, that's their issue.
    This is not rocket science, it's just a matter of will/determination.
    Rate this comment: 12345

    spostma
    04/10/2009
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  • GM's Volt?
    A car costing $50K with $8K Batteries? Maybe we could build a kit car using 2 Reversible PEM 5KW Fuel Cells with a Solar PV Nano-Paint, Regenerative Braking/Acceleration System, a 2000psi 50L Carbon Wisker Tank and built in Wind Drag Turbines FOR LESS!
    THANKS ANY WAY... Think it's time to let GM go get some new engineers and less of our tax dollars.
    Rate this comment: 12345

    app1es
    04/10/2009
    Posts:6
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    4/5
  • Who killed the electric car?
    didnt gm produce an electric car that could get 100 miles on a charge and cost way less then this? oh yea thats right they did but for some reason crushed and melted them all. hmm maybe if they had had some prudence they wouldnt be going down the crapper, they deserve what they get, and they should get off the governments tit.
    Rate this comment: 12345

    camdaddy09
    04/12/2009
    Posts:38
    Avg Rating:
    3/5

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