Jason Pontin's blog

Technology and Revolutions

Reactions to a conversation with the leaders of Egypt's "April 6" movement.

Jason Pontin 05/31/2011

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On April 6, I moderated an event, hosted by MIT's Center for International Studies, where I interviewed Ahmed Maher, the founder of Egypt's April 6 Youth Movement, as well as its principal spokesman, Waleed Rashed.

The event was intended to explore how the young people of April 6 had used social and telecommunications technologies to stir up a revolution that overthrew the government of Hosni Mubarak. That was, mostly, what we talked about (the entire video can be seen here); but at the event itself, and afterward in letters, a vocal minority told me that the conversation should not have been about the narrow, parochial subject of enabling technologies, but instead should have revolved around the experience of Egypt's Coptic minority since the uprising of last January, and the possible future relationship of a democratic Egypt with the state of Israel.

Some writers were more dismissive. I was a patsy, ignorant of Arabic, who was not "up to the task" of confronting the hard ethnic and political realities of the region. In a post titled "Extremists Can Tweet, Too, Jason," "dvz" wrote:

"With his obsession on how activists used Facebook and Twitter to achieve Mubarak's ouster, Pontin failed to ask some of the most basic questions about where the revolution is headed.

For example, Pontin failed to ask how Salafists and the Muslim Brotherhood are using the technologies that the April 6 Youth Movement used to achieve Mubarak's ouster ... Have the pro-democracy activists who initiated the campaign leading to Mubarak's ouster lost control of the events they set into motion? Regular and accelerating attacks on Coptic Christians seem to suggest they have."

The letter below, submitted by an Egyptian Coptic activist, was the most intelligent and thoughtful of those I received. Given its charges, we invited Ahmed Maher and Waleed Rashed to respond.

Dear Sir:

On April 29, I attended a conference hosted by MIT's Center for International Studies, "Egypt's Revolution," moderated by Jason Pontin, the editor in chief of Technology Review. The conference featured two leaders of the April 6 Youth Movement, Ahmed Maher and Waleed Rashed. I was delighted to meet these young heroes.

As a Coptic (Egyptian) Christian who left Egypt in 1979, I was happy to shake their hands and thank them for risking their lives to get rid of a very corrupt regime that was bad for all Egyptians. One of these two leaders, Ahmed Maher, was arrested and beaten multiple times by the former regime's police forces.

I expected to learn about their hopes for the future of my homeland.

It was interesting to hear these two young men speak about their admiration of Martin Luther King, Rosa Parks, and Mahatma Gandhi, and how they used nonviolence to achieve the freedom of their communities and countries. It was good to hear how the Movement was committed to change Egypt in a peaceful way.

I was pleased to hear the two leaders describe how they used the technology and the stupidity of a corrupt regime to remove President Hosni Mubarak after 30 years of governing Egypt. They described how they foiled Mubarak's effort to place his son in power. I was also waiting to hear their plans for rebuilding Egypt and the role of technology in the rebuilding process.

However, some of the phrases they used on and off the camera were very frightening. When I asked Mr. Maher about protests outside the Israeli embassy in Cairo, he claimed on video that there are things that cannot be ignored, such as the "genocide" of the entire (Palestinian) population. This phrase was not translated for the audience, but I heard the word (الابادة ) in Arabic, loud and clear. It's on the video, (1:14:29).

Is there a conflict between Israelis and Palestinians? Of course! Is there genocide in Gaza or the West Bank? Absolutely not.

In 1948, there were approximately 540,000 Palestinians living in the West Bank and Gaza Strip. Today there are approximately 4 million living in the same areas. They are not being eliminated. When he used the word "genocide," what was Maher trying to do? Was he trying to solve Egypt's problems?

Later, when I asked Mr. Rashed (off camera) about the attacks on churches in Egypt that afternoon by the extremists, he told me the attacks were justified because "Pope Shenouda" III, the head of the Coptic Church, "kills girls." I was shocked to hear this from someone who a few minutes earlier spoke to the audience about a harmonious relationship with Copts.

There was no substance to their plans to fix Egypt. I left the conference very concerned about the future of my homeland.

After three months, the revolution is being stolen by fundamentalists, and Egypt is nearly bankrupt. It seems that no one is in control of anything in the country. How did the April 6 Youth Movement lose control of such a great revolution?

You can't talk about the Egyptian revolution without talking about technology, but we also need to talk about who is using the technology and what they hope to achieve.

Sheikh Gamal Qutb, a prominent cleric from Al Azhar University, recently stated on Egyptian television that if it were not for modern communications technology, there would have been no way to gather that many people in a very short time. He was talking about a gathering of 8,000 who attacked the Virgin Mary Church in Imbaba, a suburb of Cairo, on May 7.

It wasn't always like this.

In 1954, there was an Egyptian movie titled Hassan, Marcus and Cohen. It was based on a stage play written by Naguib Al-Rihani and Badi' Khayri. The movie told the story of three businessmen—one Muslim, one Christian, and one Jew—who were able to work together despite their religious differences.

In 2009, there was a remake of Hassan, Marcus and Cohen, but this time it was called Hassan and Marcus. The name was changed because, in Egypt, Hassan had driven off Cohen. Sadly, Hassan is in the process of driving off Marcus, and he is using technology to achieve this goal.

Even though this movie was written in 1954, Hassan, Marcus and Cohen remains a beautiful invitation for Egyptians to rethink the world that the extremists are creating for them.

Can technology save the revolution? Yes, if it is used to promote tolerance and not hate.

Michael Armanious is the founder of Egypt Forward, which works to educate the American people about current events in Egyptian society.

Here is the response from Ahmed Maher and Waleed Rashed:

During our visit to the U.S., while lecturing at MIT, we were asked our opinion on several issues related to Egypt, including Christians, secularism, and the Israeli-Palestinian conflict. Our responses accurately conveyed how our movement values human life and seeks a better, more peaceful society, and that we seek to achieve these goals through nonviolent means. Our movement is not about war, but rather about respect for every human life. We believe in the rights of all individuals.

However, in the specific instance of this writer, we feel there has been misinterpretation regarding our views and what was said on and off camera. We absolutely stand by the translation as an accurate reflection of our views on this issue.

Regarding the attacks on Christian churches—we absolutely do not endorse the attacks. Violence has never been a solution we've endorsed. Further, we absolutely deny the comments you attribute to Waleed Rashed. We are working peacefully alongside Christians in the April 6 movement. In fact, we have organized and protected Christian churches both before and after the uprising. We are all together in this revolution, Muslim and Christian alike.

With regard to the future of Egypt, we spoke in great detail about the status of the revolution, which is still in progress, and our current and future initiatives to create an Egypt with opportunities for everyone. To claim that anyone "controls" the revolution is to deny the collective power of the people behind it.

Secrets and Transparency

What is Wikileaks, and what is its future?

Jason Pontin 01/26/2011

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"There is a mystery in the soul of the state ..." Troilus and Cressida (III.iii.202)


I.

How do we begin to make sense of Wikileaks, the Internet-based organization that publishes the secrets of governments and companies? What Wikileaks is, and whether it is good or bad for civil society, has become disputed terrain; and what has been written about Wikileaks has revealed more about the authors' feelings for the state and corporations than it has shed light upon the organization's innovations. But the innovations are real and disruptive, and, like those of any Web start-up, can be imitated by other, perhaps more sustainable ventures with better modes of business. In this essay I want to define Wikileaks, separate its technology from its mission, and say what it is not; and thereby sketch a likely future for Wikileaks and other organizations it inspires.

Begin with its guiding spirit and tutelary genius. People like to say that Wikileaks is "bigger than Julian Assange" (who describes himself as the organization's "editor-in-chief"), but they have interests that are parents to the thought. They are concerned to portray Wikileaks as a popular force, or else they are embarrassed or angered by Assange, who has a talent for alienating those with whom he works. But in unguarded moments, Assange himself is candid. In an online chat with one disgruntled Wikileaks volunteer—a transcript of which was leaked to the New York Times—he summarized the blunt facts: "I am the heart and soul of this organization, its founder, philosopher, spokesperson, original coder, organizer, financier, and all the rest." If we want to describe Wikileaks, we must start with its creator.

In 1997, Assange was all of 26: the product of a deracinated Australian childhood, and famous only within the computer hacker subculture. (The best account of Assange's backstory remains "No Secrets," by Raffi Khatchadourian, published by The New Yorker last June.) He seems to have earned his living as a freelance software developer and white-hat hacker, but he was then, as now, an activist. That year, he wrote a program for other activists who might want to protect their laptops' data if arrested. He called it "Rubberhose," because it would thwart what cypherpunks jokingly call "rubber-hose cryptanalysis"— that is, when the police beat the keys out of you. The software was a type of "deniable cryptography": anyone examining the encrypted computer's hard drive would know that it was encrypted, but never how much was hidden, so that the activist could convincingly deny that parts of the encryption existed. Rubberhose thus possessed a curious feature: it was still secure when the tortured cracked. In the program's documentation, "Julian" explains:

In Rubberhose the number of encrypted aspects (deniable "virtual" partitions)... is theoretically unlimited. Ordinarily [the] best strategy for the rubber-hose wielder is to keep on beating keys out of (let us say, Alice) indefinitely till there are no keys left. However, and importantly, in Rubberhose, *Alice* can never prove that she has handed over the last key. As Alice hands over more and more keys, her attackers can make observations like "the keys Alice has divulged correspond to 85% of the bits". However at no point can her attackers prove that the remaining 15% don't simply pertain to unallocated space, and at no point can Alice, even if she wants to, divulge keys to 100% of the bits, in order to bring the un-divulged portion down to 0%.

As the science fiction writer Bruce Sterling wrote in a much-admired blog post, "Hey, neat hack there, pal." Assange was preparing for jail, Sterling thinks: he "had it figured out that the cops would beat his password out of him, and he needed some code-based way to finesse his own human frailty."

I like this story because it is illuminates Assange's background as a hacker, his morbid preoccupation with coercion, his interest in technology as a "force-multiplier" for activism, his distrust of all human agency, and his brilliance and level strangeness.


II. What Wikileaks is

Nine years later, Assange founded Wikileaks. What was he thinking? Fortunately, we know, because two short essays he posted in late 2006 on his now blank personal Web page have been preserved on cryptome.org, a repository of cypherhacker documents. These essays are primary texts for any understanding of Wikileaks: they are, in Assange's own description, "motivational," and he wrote them before he became guarded and disingenuous. (Any discussion is indebted to Aaron Bady, who writes the blog zunguzungu.com, and his post, "Julian Assange and the Computer Conspiracy.")

"State and Terrorist Conspiracies" and "Conspiracy as Governance," are extraordinary documents: supple, logical, original, and, it must be declared immediately, nuts. They are written in a strange, epigrammatic, abstracted prose, as if Theodor Adorno had picked up network theory by hanging out with the comp-sci kids at the University of Melbourne. Assange begins by quoting that 17th century wit the first Lord Halifax to the effect that "The best kind of party is but a kind of conspiracy against the rest of the nation"—and goes on to define all authoritarian regimes, including the management of corporations, as conspiracies. Assange sees conspiracy as the "primary planning methodology behind maintaining or strengthening authoritarian power." How so?

Because "authoritarian regimes create forces which oppose them by pushing against a people's will to truth, love and self-realization. Plans which assist authoritarian rule, once discovered, induce resistance. Hence these plans are concealed by successful authoritarian powers..."

In imagining how conspiracies "compute," Assange draws upon the mathematical concept of "connected graphs," and explains the concept's application to conspiracies by asking us to imagine a board with nails and twine:

"First take some nails ("conspirators") and hammer them into a board at random. Then take twine ("communication") and loop it from nail to nail without breaking. Call the twine connecting two nails a link. Unbroken twine means it is possible to travel from any nail to any other nail via twine and intermediary nails ... Information flows from conspirator to conspirator. Not every conspirator trusts or knows every other conspirator even though all are connected. Some are on the fringe of the conspiracy, others are central and communicate with many conspirators and others still may know only two conspirators but be a bridge between important sections or groupings of the conspiracy."

Traditionally, a resistance movement employed assassins; but Assange insists that nothing so unsubtle could undo a modern conspiracy. Instead, he recommends activists degrade the conspiracy's ability to "think."We can, Assange writes, decrease a conspiracy's"total conspiratorial power...We can split the conspiracy, reduce or eliminating important communications between a few high weight links or many low weight links."

Although Wikileaks is often described as a "whistle-blower site," Assange cares less about the content of leaks than what leaking does to conspiracies. Still less was Wikileaks invented to further some Internet ideology of "radical transparency": Assange accepts that individuals have rights to secrecy. (Indeed, he can become quite energized by public "smears" about his own life.) Rather, he conceives of Wikileaks as an insurrection. He writes in the preamble to the two essays:

"The more secretive or unjust an organization is, the more leaks induce fear and paranoia in its leadership and planning coterie. This must result in minimization of efficient internal communications mechanisms (an increase in cognitive "secrecy tax") and consequent system-wide cognitive decline resulting in decreased ability to hold onto power ..."

Although (for reasons I shall shortly explain) Assange is now at pains to describe himself as a journalist and Wikileaks as a media organization, his big idea is unchanged. As recently as last April, he said, "We are an activist organization. The method is transparency, the goal is justice."

How Wikileaks works is more easily described. Assange himself, with obvious pride of authorship, has been forthcoming, if secretive about the details. At TED Global last July, he told Chris Anderson, the event's organizer:

"So we use just state-of-the-art encryption to bounce stuff around the Internet, to hide trails, pass it through legal jurisdictions ... We get information ... encrypted or not, vet it like a regular news organization, format it—which is something that's quite hard to do, when you're talking about giant databases of information—[and release it to the public ... Very rarely [do] we know [the sources of the leaks]. And if we find out at some stage then we destroy that information as soon as possible."

The technologies involved are complicated, but not new. (Technology Review has created a useful primer: "Everything You Need to Know about Wikileaks.") Wikileaks's primary website is hosted on servers managed by PRQ, the same nonjudgmental Swedish Internet service provider that serves the bit torrent site The Pirate Bay and various pedophiles' fora, and it is mirrored on around 1,400 other sites. Sources can upload documents to Wikileaks using a version of the TOR network, which permits the anonymous transfer of files, in combination with some undisclosed form of encryption, which disguises their content. It is this combination of an irrepressible Web site, TOR, and encryption that constitutes the innovation of the "secure drop-box": together, they make Wikileaks a kind of "platform" for leaking, whose leaks cannot be traced, and which cannot be censored. The suspected source of Wikileaks's most sensational material, a U.S. Army private named Bradley Manning, was only caught because he bragged to a former hacker, who turned informer.

Wikileaks has published a bewildering number of documents: to date, around 20,000 files, according to the organization. Nevertheless, those files constitute only a fraction of the documents Wikileaks claims to possess, but has not yet released. (The reason seems to be sheer incapacity. The organization is, for all its notoriety, small, under-funded, and struggling. It relies upon a handful of full-time staff and volunteers, none of them paid—too few to validate, evaluate, and format the flood of submissions.)

Most of the published documents are neither very secret nor newsworthy. They did not have to be, if we recall the goals of Wikileaks; it was enough if conspiracies were made to feel porous. From 2006 to 2008, Wikileaks published the U.S. Army's protocols at the Guantanamo detention center; the e-mails of U.S. vice-presidential candidate Sarah Palin; and allegations of malfeasance at the Cayman Islands branch of a Swiss Bank—and much more. In 2009, it released a report about an accident at the Iranian nuclear facility; instructions from the British Ministry of Defense explaining how to secure military computer systems from Wikileaks and foreign spies; documents from a bank deeply involved in the Icelandic financial crisis—and, again, much more. 2010 was the year Wikileaks began to live up to Assange's ambitions. The organization posted an highly-edited classified U.S. military video "depicting the indiscriminate slaying of over a dozen people in ... New Baghdad, including two Reuters news staff"; and it began to release over 391,000 reports from soldiers in the field in Afghanistan and Iraq and over 251,000 secret, confidential, and unclassified diplomatic cables. So far this year, Wikileaks has released yet more documents belonging to a Swiss bank, and Assange told Forbes magazine that his next target will be a major American bank, reported to be Bank of America. (Wikipedia, fulfilling its crowdsourcing mission, has a long and mostly accurate list of all "Information Published by Wikileaks.")

An abiding mystery about Wikileaks is the degree to which it was founded upon a hack, or is still a hack. The New Yorker's profile of Assange reported that, at some time before late 2006, an unnamed "Wikileaks activist" had owned a server that was a node in the TOR network. The activist noticed that hackers from China "were using the network to gather foreign governments' information, and began to record this traffic." This initial windfall of hacked documents allowed Assange to claim, at the site's foundation, "We have received over one million documents from thirteen countries." While it is technically possible to record an unencrypted data packet on the TOR network, Wikileaks stoutly denied the charge. But the suspicion that Assange has returned to his roots as a hacker in founding Wikileaks persists. In late January, Bloomberg reported that Tiversa, a computer security company, had "evidence" that Wikileaks was hacking peer-to-peer file sharing networks, in a fashion that the company's researchers called "both systematic and highly successful." Mark Stephens, Assange's London lawyer, denied this latest charge of hacking, too.


III. What Wikileaks isn't

Julian Assange doesn't want anyone to think of his creation as the world's biggest hack. Instead, and increasingly, he talks about Wikileaks as a "media organization" that publishes journalism.

In part, this is pretension. How much better to be the editor in chief of a news site practicing an innovative form of "scientific journalism"— an intellectual of world historical importance!—than a cyber-thief or digital pimp. Assange can become testy when reminded of his hacker background. He darkly told Forbes: "That was 20 years ago. It's very annoying to see modern day articles calling me a computer hacker. I'm not ashamed ... But I understand the reason they suggest I'm a computer hacker now. There's a very specific reason."

And in truth, Wikileaks has become more like a media organization as it has evolved. At its founding, there was some thought that ordinary people would organize and interpret the documents the organization published; anything could be submitted. This crowdsourcing suggested the name "Wikileaks." But since December, the Wiki-functions of Wikileaks have been turned off; its editor in chief decides what leaks are sufficiently important to publish. The crowd disappointed him, and Assange won't trust them again. At a seminar on the future of journalism at Berkeley last year, he explained:

"Our initial idea was, Look at all those people editing Wikipedia. Look at all the junk ... they're working on. Surely, if you give them a fresh, classified document about the human rights atrocities in Falluja, surely all those people ... busy working on articles about history and mathematics ... all those bloggers ... busy pontificating about the abuses in Iraq and Afghanistan ... surely those people will ... do something.

No. It's all bullshit. People write about things (if it's not part of their career) because they want to display their values to their peers. They don't give a fuck about the material. Very early on, we understood ... that we would have to at least give summaries of the material we were releasing to get people to pick it up ... In cases where ... the material is more complex, it's not even enough to do a summary. You have to do an article, or ... liaise with other journalists ... Otherwise it goes nowhere."

This is misleading. There are only two dozen such "articles" on Wikileaks.ch and they read less like journalism than corporate press releases: mostly short, self-aggrandizing, overheated documents that quote Wikileaks spokespeople. In fact, the organization relies upon large, professional media organizations such as the New York Times, the Guardian, Le Monde, El Pais, and der Spiegel to do the heavy work of reporting, analyzing, writing, and distributing the journalism the leaks suggest.

Assange has a powerful motive to represent himself as an editor and Wikileaks as a media organization. He doesn't want to go to jail. In countries that enjoy strong free speech and press protections, leakers can be prosecuted for crimes including espionage and theft, but the media cannot be punished for publishing leaks. In the United States, for instance, the 1917 Espionage Act provides sweeping powers that allow the prosecution of anyone who "willfully" communicates information "relating to the national defense" if it could give "advantage" to America's enemies. But in a celebrated decision in 1971, New York Times vs. United States, the Supreme Court ruled that the constitutional freedom of the press, guaranteed by the first amendment, could not be subordinated to the government's need for secrecy. The New York Times was allowed to publish the Pentagon Papers, a history of the Vietnam War prepared by the Department of Defense, which showed that the American government had lied to its citizens about the origins, scope, and progress of the war. By contrast, the leaker, Daniel Ellsberg, was tried in court under the Espionage Act (although acquitted because of government misconduct). Assange knows that the U.S. Justice Department is considering whether it can bring a similar case against him: at issue is whether Wikileaks solicited classified materials or hacked computer systems, or was a mere passive publisher of leaked materials.

Members of two other groups have felt the need to describe Wikileaks as some kind of media organization: New Media critics and journalists themselves. Jay Rosen, a professor of journalism at New York University, describes Wikileaks as "the world's first stateless news organization." Dan Gillmor, a columnist at Salon, told me, "Yes, Wikileaks is a media org. Defend them and you're defending yourself." The two groups have different reasons for their common definition, although it's probably the case that they recognize in Assange a fellow traveler. Rosen's definition is a misprision: it is part of his long-term project to traduce the "mainstream media." He says, "The watchdog press died; we have this instead." Gillmor's definition has a more genial impulse: he fears for his own freedoms. He writes, "Defend Wikileaks or lose free speech."

Wikileaks is not a media organization, except insofar as it publishes. But it publishes little original writing, video, radio, or any other editorial product, because it does no reporting, analysis, or criticism. It employs neither journalists, editors, art directors, nor any of the business people who develop audiences and sell advertising. Media organizations are institutions where professionals collaborate in laborious processes to make useful things. Their editors, howsoever ideologically committed, want to produce publications that surprise and delight. They are accountable to their audiences and to the laws and mores of the societies in which they are incorporated. What does Wikileaks make? What does Julian Assange want? To what is Wikileaks accountable, except to Assange's outraged rectitude?

Perhaps the best way to conceive of Wikileaks is like this: it is a stateless, distributed intelligence network, a reverse image of the U.S. National Security Agency (which Bruce Sterling called a vast, "crypto-empire"), dedicated to publicizing secrets rather than acquiring them.


IV. The future of Wikileaks

If Wikileaks is not a media organization, is it another example of the Internet overthrowing our settled habits? That question is legitimate—and more interesting. By this formulation, Wikileaks is to the state and corporations what Napster was to music or Google to media-as-a-business.

Shakespeare, Lord Annan recalled in his wartime memoirs, gave to Ulysses in Troilus and Cressida the haunting phrase "There is a mystery in the soul of the state ..." "That mystery is the intelligence services," Annan explained. Annan was thinking of his service on the United Kingdom's Joint Intelligence Committee seventy years ago. But the modern state has many allied organizations besides the intelligence services, including the management of large corporations and banks, who partake in its mystery. Julian Assange, who is the disordered soul of Wikileaks, wants to explode the soul of the state.

But the modern state with its monopoly on violence and covert, magical technologies is not like the music industry or media. It is properly jealous of its secrets, and more powerful and able than Assange understands. It will bitterly resent an attack by a crypto-utopian on its ability to "think." Assange has declared himself the state's enemy and he will, in all likelihood, be comprehensively destroyed. Wikileaks will vanish. There will be collateral damage to the press and our civil liberties.

But the technology of Wikileaks, once imagined, cannot be forgotten and is easily imitated. Other organizations, less radically activist, will create secure drop-boxes for anonymous leaking. Already, the disgruntled former Wikileaks volunteer, Daniel Domscheit-Berg, has said he will create a competing, less threatening leaks platform called OpenLeaks. It will, he says, publish nothing, but instead function as a kind of pipeline where sources designate the media organization to whom they wish to leak: "No single organization carries all of the responsibility or all of the workload. We want to be a neutral conduit. That's what's most politically sustainable ..."

Predictably, media organizations want to replicate Wikileaks's secure drop-box, too. Recently, Al Jazeera launched a "Transparency Unit," which encourages its audience to submit "all forms of content" for "editorial review and, if merited, online broadcast and transmission on our English and Arabic-language broadcasts." Their first product was stunning: in January, Al Jazeera published the "Palestine Papers," a decade's worth of secret documents, created by the Palestinian Authority, describing negotiations with the Israeli government. Al Jazeera, which is no friend of the Palestinian Authority, has described the concessions offered as unprincipled and craven; others disagree. But it's fair to say that the Palestinian people had little idea that so much had been offered for so little, or that the Israelis were quite so mulishly intransigent. The reality that emerges from the Papers is that the Israeli government is no longer interested in securing a Palestinian state: it is a scoop, and it could not have existed without the Transparency Unit's drop-box. Yet more publications are considering their own secure drop-boxes. Bill Keller, the executive editor of the New York Times, is pondering how he can make it easier for sources to leak to his journalists.

Is all this a good thing? Any answer necessarily reflects the writer's preferences, and I must therefore unburden myself and say "where I am coming from."

Personally, I distrust transparency. I am by birth and education a member of the establishment, and, politically, a Whig (that is, a sort of progressive conservative). I think the rights we enjoy are not natural but derive ultimately from the laws of a properly constituted state, and I am wary of attacks upon its institutions. I believe that states and corporations enjoy privacy rights like individuals and that any human system requires secrecy for its effective management. Neither innovations, nor art, nor contracts, nor representative government, nor marriages, nor anything valuable at all would exist without secrets.

More, I am confident that we know how secrets should be kept. The computer scientist Jaron Lanier wrote in "The Hazards of Nerd Supremacy: the Case of Wikileaks": "If the secret is of vital interest to other people, then secrets can be kept by those who are sanctioned and accountable to keep them within the bounds of a reasonably functional democratic process."

At the same time, as a journalist I am committed professionally to truth-telling, and oftentimes that means revealing the secrets of the state and of corporations. I cling to the formal protections that let me publish such secrets without risk. Lanier's reasonably functional democratic process requires for its operations that I should be free to practice a kind of licensed disrespect for the ordinary rules of secrecy. Justice Hugo Black, explaining the Court's decision about the Pentagon Papers, wrote, "Only a free and unrestrained press can effectively expose deception in government."

Secrets breed like weeds, and all over the world they have grown to occlude everything that is done by those who govern us or sell us things; technology has made it easier for states and corporations to keep such secrets; and a corrective toward transparency is long overdue. Therefore, I welcome the use of secure drop-boxes by recognizable media organizations, or neutral organizations that wish to work with them.

Like equality and freedom, we must balance the conflicting goods of secretiveness and transparency. I don't like Julian Assange's goals and methods, but corrective reformers are mostly unlikable weirdos. I am fairly sure that Wikileaks won't be with us for the long haul, and that those who imitate its innovations will be more constrained and responsible.

Jason Pontin is editor in chief of Technology Review.

A Decade of Genomics

On the 10th anniversary of the Human Genome Project, we ask: where are the therapies?

Jason Pontin 12/21/2010

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The Human Genome Project, whose results were announced in June of 2000 and published in full 10 years ago, took 13 years and $3 billion to complete. For biology, it was unprecedented in scale: it determined the sequence of three billion units, or base pairs, of human DNA. What life scientists wanted from the project was equally ambitious: they hoped sequencing our DNA would reveal the genetic causes of disease and lead to diagnoses, treatments, and cures for intractable illnesses like many forms of cancer.

In this issue of Technology Review, we explore what happened to those hopes.

Over the last 10 years, many advances in genomics have been made. As Jon Cohen explains in the introduction to our package of stories on the topic, "The price of sequencing DNA has dropped ... to mere thousands [of dollars per person]. The number of single-gene aberrations known to cause disease ... has jumped from 100 to nearly 3,000. The growing list of common diseases that have been traced to multiple genetic variants includes everything from types of blindness to autoimmune diseases and metabolic disorders like diabetes. Studies have linked more than 200 genes to cancer."

But taken as a whole, it was a long, hard decade for genomics. Researchers and clinicians will disagree about how quickly they imagined the Human Genome Project would bear fruit, but no one will contest that the genome has turned out to be bafflingly complex and that genomic information has yielded few new cures. Cohen describes some of the difficulties in his introduction, and Stephen Hall provides more detail in "The Genome's Dark Matter": "Large-scale genomic studies ... have mainly failed to turn up common genes that play a major role in complex human maladies. More than three dozen specific genetic variants have been associated with type 2 diabetes ... but together they have been found to explain about 10 percent of the disease's heritability ... Results have been similar for heart disease, schizophrenia, high blood pressure, and other common maladies."

In short, we have expended enormous energy on searching for disease genes, but it has become clearer that a variety of other factors, once thought minor, are in fact as important to our health as genes themselves. These include how much or how little of a protein is produced (gene expression); the degree to which gene expression can be influenced by mechanisms other than changes in the underlying DNA sequence (dubbed "epigenetics," because the field studies mechanisms above—"epi"—the genome); and whether we have extra or missing copies of genes (copy-number variation).

This "missing heritability" problem—the fact that individual genes cannot account for much of a disease's heritability—has significant implications for medicine. It turns out (as Hall explains) that "a person's susceptibility to disease may depend more on the combined effect of all the genes in the background than on the disease genes in the foreground." Therefore, mapping this complex nest of genetic relationships offers the best hope for turning genomics into therapies or cures.

Consider cancer. In "Cancer's Genome" Emily Singer, Technology Review's biomedicine editor, describes how research has proved that cancer genomics are "even more complicated than scientists had supposed." We now understand that five to as many as 20 mutations are needed to trigger cancer's cellular proliferation. But cheaper, faster sequencing technologies may, in the not-too-distant future, make personalized cancer medicine a real possibility. Singer reports on Foundation Medicine in Cambridge, Massachusetts, which wants to create clinical tests that reveal which mutations have caused a patient's particular cancer, how severe that cancer is, and what drugs will affect it. According to Singer, early results from Foundation "suggest that about half the patient tissue samples analyzed would yield plausibly 'usable' information, meaning that the analysis might suggest a particular class of drugs or better define the type of cancer." If readers are looking for hope that genomics can lead to cures for intractable diseases, companies like this are appropriate inspiration.

In Cohen's introduction, Eric Lander, who was one of the leaders of the Human Genome Project and now directs the Broad Institute (and who is also a founder of Foundation Medicine), says we should not be surprised that the genome is so complicated. He counsels a historically informed patience as we work on new genomic medicines: after all, 60 years passed between the development of germ theory and the creation of antibiotics. Genomics is harder. Lander asks, "How simple did you think it would be?"

Write and tell me what you think at jason.pontin@­technologyreview.com

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Jason Pontin is the Editor in Chief and Publisher of Technology Review.

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