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Potential Energy


Kevin Bullis is Technology Review’s energy editor.

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  • Cheap... : I think this is so true, Electric vehicles are a great idea, but like most new advances in tech,...
  • RD : No. Cap & Trade taxes Americans for energy use and redistributes it to political supporters like...
  • RD : Those you call AGW, ARE in favor of nuclear energy. It's the Progressives who have been blocking...
  • RD : CO2 isn't the problem.  In Maryland, a new study in the International Journal of Climatology – by...
  • kstauff : The only agreement I recall us not upholding recently is the ABM treaty, for which we informed...
  • kstauff : Kevin:  You're either unaware or glossing over recent history.  The House climate bill BARELY...
  • cheadrick : Where did that 1% number come from? There have been no accurate measurements of atmospheric CO2...
  • colinnwn : "We fly planes so much that on 9/11 global temperatures dropped a large amount more than usual as...
  • wcfloyd : Is this the same climate treaty I heard about that calls for the industrialized nations to pay...
  • devassocx : I for one, welcome failure of such an ill-conceived and costly(for no reason) piece of...
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Friday, November 06, 2009

U.S. Congress Considers Geoengineering

Plans to purposefully re-engineer the world's climate got their first serious committee hearing yesterday.
By Kevin Bullis

The idea that we might be able to "geoengineer" the planet to purposefully change the climate has clearly moved from the fringes into the mainstream. Momentum has been building in recent years: an essay in an academic journal by a Nobel Prize winning scientist in 2006, articles in the Wall Street Journal and Foreign Policy, a largely private gathering of researchers at Harvard.

Recently things have really broken out. In addition to multiple articles and books in the popular media, the United Kingdom's Royal Society, the authoritative national academy of science there, issued an in-depth review of geoengineering and President Obama's science advisor, John Holdren, has repeatedly stated that geoengineering must be on the table as a possible approach to addressing climate change.

Yesterday, the House of Representatives' Committee on Science and Technology held a hearing that its chairman, Bart Gordan (D-TN), said was, "the first time that a congressional committee has undertaken a serious review of proposals for climate engineering."

Gordan was quick to say that this doesn't mean he supported geoengineering, and that the consensus at the hearing seemed to be that no one should deploy geoengineering until we've done a lot more research. But the very fact of the hearing confirmed that influential people are starting to take geoengineering very seriously. It's no longer just a subject for gee-whiz fascination, with science-fiction-like scenarios such a vast parasol launched into space to shield the earth from the sun. Now scientists are formulating detailed research plans, start-ups are inventing new geoengineering technologies, and politicians and foreign policy experts are considering what all of this might mean for international relations.

So, why the sudden enthusiasm for proposals to tinker with the climate? These ideas aren't new, but until recently they've been largely kept under wraps while attention has been focused on reducing greenhouse gas emissions. There are probably three main reasons for the change. First, some view geoengineering as a cheap way to avoid costly conversions to zero-emissions technology, a potential technological fix that could help them stave off climate legislation. With geoengineering as an option, they argue, there's less of a rush. We'll just cool the planet until we can get around to switching to cleaner forms of energy.

But this could be mind-blowingly stupid. One of the most popular geoengineering approaches--shading the earth with a haze of sulfate particles in the upper atmosphere--would very likely lead to severe droughts. There are other potential side effects, but a purposeful act that causes the failure of crops for potentially hundreds of millions or billions of people could also lead to international conflict. Even geoengineering enthusiasts have admitted there's a chance of war.

The second reason why geoengineering is getting a serious hearing is that scientists are growing increasingly concerned that, even if we commit to drastically cutting emissions, we've already waited too long. By the time we actually reduce emissions, enough greenhouse gases will have accumulated to cause serious climate disasters. We may need geoengineering, then, in addition to fast cuts in emissions.

The third reason is that geoengineering is cheap, so cheap that a wealthy individual could do it. There's growing concern that unless we develop a science-based international consensus about the real dangers of geoengineering, someone will go off and do it on their own.

These last two reasons seem to have been in the back of Gordan's head during his opening remarks. "Geoengineering carries with it a tremendous range of uncertainties, ethical and political concerns, and the potential for catastrophic environmental side-effects. But we are faced with the stark reality that the climate is changing, and the onset of impacts may outpace the world's political and economic ability to avoid them," he said. "This issue is too important for us to keep our heads in the sand. We must get ahead of geoengineering before it gets ahead of us."

Not everyone is taking things seriously though. Just before the committee got underway, the ranking Republican on the committee, Ralph Hall (Texas), turned to Gordan and asked, "You can stand a little fun about that outrageous thing we're going to talk about today?" Then, during the hearing he compared geoengineering to "flying elephants."

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Tuesday, November 03, 2009

The Climate Bill Is Doomed

The question is, could that be a good thing?
By Kevin Bullis

Last week researchers and policy experts gathered at MIT to talk about geo-engineering--a subject that's becoming more popular in the face of concern over inaction on climate change.

The upcoming United Nations climate change convention in Copenhagen seems unlikely to produce the binding and stringent agreement needed to sharply curtail greenhouse gas emissions. Meanwhile, greenhouse concentrations continue to mount, driving scientists who were once opposed to the idea of tinkering with the planet to reconsider it.

Now they've got another reason to be worried. Earlier this year a climate bill that would've limited greenhouse emissions and helped renewable energy sources compete with fossil fuels seemed well on its way. In June a version passed the House. But then other matters--mostly health care reform--distracted Congress, and a Senate version of the bill got bogged down. The Senate recently took up the bill again, but yesterday a report in the Washington Post declared that "there is almost no hope for passage" of the bill.

Democrats are divided over the bill, and Republicans have been vocally opposing it. If the report is right, countries meeting in Copenhagen will have even more reason to criticize the U.S. for inaction, and to use that as a reason to delay a climate treaty or water it down.

That's one way to look at it, at any rate. Here's another: Copenhagen is probably doomed already--why the rush to push legislation through? That's essentially what Republican Senator George Voinovich (Ohio), who opposes the current bill, reportedly said last week, "Wouldn't it be smarter to take our time and do it right?"

It certainly is hard to be against getting something right. But will slowing things down lead to a better climate bill? Probably not, as long as the chief objection is that the bill will make energy more expensive, something that seems unavoidable. But if the delay can lead to a better system for distributing those costs equitably, and if along the way inefficient subsidies can be weeded out and emissions caps tightened (wishful thinking?), it could be worth the wait.

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Friday, October 30, 2009

Fast-Charging Buses

High-power batteries could provide a way to make electric vehicles more affordable.
By Kevin Bullis
Batteries that recharge in 5 to 10 minutes could help make electric vehicles more competitive. Credit: Proterra.

The high cost of batteries is one of the biggest reasons why electric vehicles aren't widespread. We recently wrote about an interesting solution to this problem--rather than equipping an electric vehicle with enough batteries for a day's driving, use a minimal amount of energy storage but provide a way to recharge quickly. This way you can spend a lot less on energy storage and bring the cost down to something competitive with conventional vehicles. In the case we wrote about, Sinautec Automobile Technologies has equipped buses with ultracapacitors with a very limited range--just a few miles--but that can be recharged in 30 seconds or so at bus stops.

Here's another approach from Proterra, a company based in Colorado. Instead of ultracapacitors, the company uses batteries from Altairnano that can recharge in 5 to 10 minutes at a special overhead recharging station. The solution doesn't seem as elegant as using fast-charging ultracapacitors--presumably you'd want a larger range between charges, so you'd need more batteries. But it might be good for some situations where you need a bus to travel further than a few miles between charges.

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