Is the Recovery Act Working?
Two reports out Tuesday argue it is, but what's most important--from an energy perspective--is what comes next.
Kevin Bullis 08/24/2010
- 13 Comments
On Tuesday both the United States Vice President's office and the nonpartisan Congressional Budget Office issued separate reports about the impact of the Recovery Act of 2009.
In general the CBO report was favorable. Its estimates of how much the Recovery Act will increase deficits over 10 years increased by some $27 billion compared to its original estimates (issued when the law was passed), but it concluded that the economy would be worse off without the stimulus package. It also estimates that the law increased gross domestic product by between 1.7% and 4.5% in the most recent quarter (from April to June). And that the law lowered the unemployment rate by between 0.7 percentage points and 1.8 percentage points and increased the number of people employed by between 1.4 million and 3.3 million.
The Vice President's report was even more positive. It claimed, for example, that because of Recovery Act investments the US is on track to cut the cost of solar power in half by 2015. It also claimed that, "With $8 billion dollars in funding, the Recovery Act is beginning to make high-speed rail reality across the country." That might be a stretch. High-speed rail will require billions more in non-federal investment to become a reality.
The Recovery Act has indeed helped kick start significant research projects and led to the groundbreaking on several factories for advanced energy products. But to meet its long-term goals of creating a strong and vibrant economy based on clean energy, what's most important is not necessarily what's happened so far, but what will happen in the next couple of years. Will the investments started with the Recovery Act continue? Or will they dry up under budgetary pressures? What's more, will incentives be put in place, such as a price on carbon, help drive market adoption of new green technologies?
For a close analysis of the impact of the Recovery Act, check out this review in the current issue of Technology Review magazine.



gblaze44
97 Comments
CBO?
After the CBO's fiasco over healthecare, I would never call it "nonpartisan" nor would I trust what it says anymore.
Reply
rvaccare
7 Comments
Re: CBO?
This blog is pure partisan garbage. So, the recovery act adds $27 billion in deficits, but that's okay, because it kept a few people in a job paving highways that didn't need to be paved in the first place? And the CBO's methodologies of determining the "success" of the recovery act are so legitimate that the best they can do in pinpointing the effect on the GDP was a range between 1.7 and 4.5%, on unemployment a range between 0.7 and 1.8%? I could come up with such figures off the top of my head... if I believed that was the true effect. This is all passed on as news, positive news no less? There is far more credibility in the Farmers Almanac's predictions about the weather this winter.
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joecarlyon
1 Comment
Re: CBO?
It sounds like you live in Illinois...
Reply