Potential Energy

China, a Global Center of Energy Innovation?

There is intense optimism that the country can become the "cradle of clean energy."

Kevin Bullis 04/06/2010

  • 16 Comments

I just returned from my first trip to China, where I saw firsthand a remarkable country that's changing so fast that the dust never settles (although, after a particularly polluted Shanghai night, you wish it would).

The country is staking a claim as the global center of clean energy, with ambitious policies that are helping to drive both the manufacturing of solar panels and wind turbines and the development of large markets for renewable energy. This is leading companies such as Applied Materials and GE to set up research facilities in China, where researchers benefit by being close to both factories and customers.

One question is: to what extent is China poised to become a source of real energy innovation, instead of a just cheap goods?

I'll try to answer this question in future stories. One thing that became clear after just a few days in the country is that there's intense optimism in the air in cities such as Shanghai, where glittering skyscrapers loom over land that a decade ago had been a desolate marsh. The manager of one research lab there told me about his son's desire to attend MIT. I asked him when, if ever, he thought people like his son--that is, the most talented and ambitious of the country's 1.3+ billion inhabitants--would rather stay in China, and attend Chinese universities. It will take time, he said, but not that long--maybe five or 10 years.

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gabrielg01

450 Comments

  • 672 Days Ago
  • 04/06/2010

What have they innovated?

I was in Shanghai too...and many other cities in China. There are lots and lots of large infrastructure projects everywhere...think Dubai before the crash...

But thinking of innovation...I did not see much innovative stuff in China. What innovations are you talking about? Specifics please.

Ok, perhaps the maglev train, and the gazillion electric bikes are sort of innovative. Sort of.

Anything else?

Reply

DCSF

1 Comment

  • 672 Days Ago
  • 04/06/2010

Re: What have they innovated?

Be patient. What does Mr. Bullis say in his article?   He would tell more stories about the innovations?

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gabrielg01

450 Comments

  • 671 Days Ago
  • 04/07/2010

Re: What have they innovated?

OK, I'm anxiously waiting for the news about all those energy innovations coming out of China.<insert sarcasm>

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Kevin Bullis

177 Comments

  • 671 Days Ago
  • 04/07/2010

Re: What have they innovated?

One of those stories is coming out tomorrow. But to be sure, China's just getting started.

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veejayee

1 Comment

  • 672 Days Ago
  • 04/06/2010

reason for optimism

i imagine the reason that they are so optimistic is that their industrialization phase began at the earliest only 40 years ago.

considering that the infrastructure to develop and sustain innovation tends to grow exponentially during industrialization, 5 to 10 years to develop a large-scale, national research infrastructure that can begin sustaining innovation sounds about right...

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Guest (renewableenergee)

  • 672 Days Ago
  • 04/06/2010

US or China- Global Center of Energy Innovation

There are widespread fears about the U.S. losing its ‘green’ touch. Figures for the previous year indicate China is fast emerging as the planet’s new renewable energy powerhouse. Not only did it replace the U.S. as the largest spender on clean energy in 2009 (for the first time in five years), but China is also the current world leader in the production of solar panels and installation of wind turbines (studies by the Pew Charitable Trusts). In terms of total amount of installed renewable energy too, the world’s most populous country is all set to overtake the U.S. Thus there is every chance that unless it changes its policies to leverage more investment, the U.S. could miss out significantly in the clean energy arena.

Read More: US to compete or work with China on clean energy

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doanwon

76 Comments

  • 672 Days Ago
  • 04/06/2010

Re: US or China- Global Center of Energy Innovation

The US is going for the jugular.  It is in the process of developing laser induced fusion as well as newer nuclear reactor technologies.  Five to ten years is not that long of a time.

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*Taliesin*

4 Comments

  • 672 Days Ago
  • 04/06/2010

Re: US or China- Global Center of Energy Innovation

True, and such technologies would be hugely beneficial to the US, and the entire world when those technologies are perfected, and implemented on a large scale.

However, as noted above, government policy in China is still far more conducive to investments in 'green', or otherwise 'alternative' energy industries than the US. This means that there is a real chance that China may become home to the lions share of the renewable energy industry in years to come.

The question is, will the technologies being developed in the US facilitate growth in our 'clean' or 'cleaner than what we have currently' energy industry to match that of China's? Or will we export that technology to Chinese manufacturing prowess, and (assuming China does become the headquarters of global renewable energy) existent 'clean' energy infrastructure?

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kstauff

130 Comments

  • 671 Days Ago
  • 04/07/2010

Re: US or China- Global Center of Energy Innovation

The US has lost its edge in nearly all manufacturing.  This includes autos, textiles, steel, high tech and yes, green tech.  It's really very simple.  The Chinese do not have to deal with unions, do not spend anywhere near what we do on healthcare and have a much lower per capita income than US citizens.

China will dominate in all phases of manufacturing until such time as they play on a level playing field.  Even then, they will have a much larger economy than we have.  If you want to catch up, then you'll have to accept a lower standard of living, and I don't think anyone in the US is willing to do that.

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mwilson1962

35 Comments

  • 671 Days Ago
  • 04/07/2010

Re: US or China- Global Center of Energy Innovation

Fusion, laser or otherwise, is decades away.  The technical issues with controlled fusion energy production are nearly insurmountable.

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Kevin Bullis

177 Comments

  • 671 Days Ago
  • 04/07/2010

Re: US or China- Global Center of Energy Innovation

For more figures from that Pew study, see my blog here: http://www.technologyreview.com/blog/energy/24972/

But one thing to be clear on, this investment is largely for building things--solar and wind farms for example--and not for early stage research.  The U.S. still leads in this area.

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boustrephon

49 Comments

  • 671 Days Ago
  • 04/07/2010

Innovation in China

I still remember when the standard view of Japan was that they could copy but couldn't invent. Of course the traditional way of learning, which is still popular in the East is to start out by copying the masters. Only once you have mastered that (pun intended) can you move onto creating your own. From what I can see of China, they are just on the cusp of switching from copying to inventing in a significant way. There are already good examples, such as Huawei's mobile offerings. It seems quite reasonable to assume that China can innovate in other areas as well, especially when you consider the sheer number of people involved in design.

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paulfmeyer

18 Comments

  • 671 Days Ago
  • 04/07/2010

China's Innovation Revolution

15 years ago a family friend went to China.  Upon return he told me American ideas about China are at least a decade behind reality.  Today, our perceptions appear to be catching up, but we are still not fully aware of the advances China has made.

In the past 15 years China has become the dominant volume producer of electronics, consumer products, solar panels, wind energy machinery, communications equipment, IT hardware and industrial commodities (steel, etc.)  They have mirrored US post war Energy Acquisition strategies, by befriending shady governments, and will likely surpass the US in conventional military hardware in less than a decade.

With the acquisition of global automotive brands, (Hummer and Volvo) they are poised to transition into global distribution of commercial vehicles and passenger cars.  It took Korea nearly 30 years to make Hyundai and KIA into global brands.  It's taken half that time for GM, Ford, Volvo, and VW to become Chinese manufacturers.  Within 5 years, China will be selling multiple Chinese vehicle brands in the US.

The final push, into the financial services industry, has begun in earnest.  This transition, financed by the US trade deficit with China, will be the fastest.  Essentially electronic in nature, the build out requires less infrastructure and time than any other sector they have desired to dominate.  look for a Chinese city to surpass London and New York as the trading capital of the world.  Doing so averts China's looming problems with currency valuations and will undo US dollar global hegemony.  Conveniently, this is happening at a time when we are least prepared to prevent it.

Think of China as experiencing thier version of what America went through immediately following WWII.  Post war expansion in America was fueled by explosive growth in the energy sector, construction industries, and creation of a consumer culture.  They are doing likewise.  Should they choose to follow our path into military intervention, Cantonese may replace English as the second language of the world.

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Kevin Bullis

177 Comments

  • 671 Days Ago
  • 04/07/2010

Re: China's Innovation Revolution

Not that I'm convinced, but wouldn't it more likely be Mandarin?

Reply

gabrielg01

450 Comments

  • 671 Days Ago
  • 04/07/2010

Re: China's Innovation Revolution

indeed :))
"China experts" are a dime a dozen these days, but they don't even have the slightest clue about Mandarin and Cantonese :))

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paulfmeyer

18 Comments

  • 669 Days Ago
  • 04/09/2010

Re: China's Innovation Revolution

I guess so, my chinese friends speak American.

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Bio

Kevin Bullis is Technology Review’s energy editor.

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