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Kevin Bullis is Technology Review’s energy editor.

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Wednesday, September 09, 2009

First Solar's Huge New Chinese Power Plant

The 2-gigawatt plant will be the world's largest. But can First Solar's technology be scaled up?

First Solar, a leading maker of solar panels, based in Tempe, AZ, has announced that it will build an enormous, 2,000 megawatt solar power plant in China, starting next year. Bloomberg reports that it will be the largest solar power plant in the world.

The move is evidence of the falling prices for photovoltaics, which convert sunlight directly into electricity and have historically been seen as too expensive for very large power plants. But although the new power plant will be large by historical standards for solar, it's still a tiny fraction of the world's total energy needs, which number in the millions of megawatts. And some experts warn that the kind of solar cell that First Solar makes cannot be made in the large numbers needed to supply a large part of the world's electricity demands.

Typically, utilities have favored solar-thermal technology, which use heat from the sun to make steam that drives generators, for large power plants. For example, in California 6,000 megawatts worth of large solar projects are under review by the federal Bureau of Land Management, and all involve solar thermal. But First Solar, which makes "thin-film" solar cells, has been able to sharply drive down the cost of making photovoltaics, and is known for having the lowest manufacturing costs in the solar industry. (This is difficult to confirm, since not all solar companies publicly disclose their costs.)

However, First Solar's cells use tellurium, a relatively rare element, which could limit the number that can be built in a year. And, according to one recent report, the availability of tellurium could limit worldwide production of such cells to about 10,000 megawatts per year, even though very little tellurium is used in each solar cell.

First Solar has disputed concerns about the availability of tellurium, saying there is plenty to be had for the foreseeable future. But to reach millions of megawatts of solar cells, we will likely need a variety of solar cells, especially ones based on common materials such as silicon.

Comments

  • Solar breakthrough
    VULVOX Inc's breakthrough collectors will be able to generate more than double the amount of power generated by current solar power tower plants! The Abengoa solar power tower in Spain is currently the worlds biggest. If it is retrofitted with VULVOX hybrid solar energy collectors it will generate 46.5 megawatts, not 20 as it does currently.

    The dual solar thermal-photovoltaic system will wrest approximately twice as much power from an area as regular solar thermal or photovoltaic energy systems. Our technology can be used to retrofit existing parabolic troughs and solar power towers to increase their efficiency. Besides applications at utility scale solar power plants that are contributing electricity to the California power grid, they will also have an important advantage in the upcoming industry of rooftop solar power. Apartment buildings, offices and industrial buildings all have flat roofs that can accommodate our solar power systems and the greater efficiency of dual thermal-photovoltaic energy generation systems will make it cost competitive with other generation systems. Between 2009 and 2012 it is expected that the amount of installed CSP solar thermal power in the United States will grow 14 times!

    The Vulvox collectors will not depend upon complicated advances in quantum or solid state physics. Our novel combination photovoltaic-solar thermal collectors will achieve the unprecedented efficiencies predicted here by means of relatively simple modifications to solar energy equipment; modifications that can be developed at a moderate cost.
    The Vulvox solar system will generate higher power levels than competing parabolic troughs and solar power towers, while retaining all of the storage capabilities of solar thermal power.

    Besides the inherent efficiency advantages of this collection system, we are sure we can add other modifications that will increase energy collection and electricity generation beyond those efficiencies. Modifications to increase the heat flow rate of the thermal collectors are an example.

    Every time a photovoltaic panel system is upgraded and increases in power we can substitute it for a lower power panels used in previous "builds." and the higher power panels can be used in upgraded combination PV-solar thermal collectors with higher efficiency. Also, every time solar thermal systems are upgraded they can be combined with the latest practical photovoltaic collectors to keep the next generation combination systems cost competitive and to keep their efficiency higher than all other collection systems.
    Contact us for more information.
    HTTP://VULVOX.TRIPOD.COM
    PROTN7@ATT.NET

    Rate this comment: 12345

    protn7
    09/10/2009
    Posts:70
    Avg Rating:
    2/5
  • [no subject]
    Let's delete the spam above please.

    To the article, it's great to see solar projects of this magnitude.  I would love to see the US build on this scale -- our biggest is 14 Megawatts at Nellis AFB.
    Rate this comment: 12345

    jpm1u
    09/12/2009
    Posts:13
    Avg Rating:
    4/5
  • This will force the Chinese to clean up the air pollution.
    Large photovoltaic power plants in China are good news for everybody.

    You can't run such facilities with the current air quality of Beijing, Shenzen or Shanghai. So, it will force the authorities to curb air pollution.
    Rate this comment: 12345

    gabrielg01
    09/12/2009
    Posts:418
    Avg Rating:
    3/5
  • Cost
    First Solar claims well under 1 dollar per Watt manufacturing cost. They also disclose about 50-60% gross margins. They might be selling the modules at the wholesale level under 1.50 per Watt already. So what will the installed cost be? Such a big plant should get serious economy of installation scale, and in a low labor country with low legislative costs for doing business, I imagine a fully installed system cost in the 2-3 dollars per Watt range.

    Pretty cheap, and good business with the new Chinese solar feed in tariff thing. Though if they want to compete with Chinese coal plants a target under 1 dollar installed at the system level would be required.

    It looks like First Solar thinks large cost reductions are still possible.
    Rate this comment: 12345

    Siphon
    09/13/2009
    Posts:152
    Avg Rating:
    3/5
  • Get Real
    The Chinese are playing the same game they've been playing for decades. Show interest in the technology, steal it, sell it to the do-gooders in other countries, reap the proceeds, repeat. Let's see a follow-up on this in 3 years.
    Rate this comment: 12345

    justahick
    09/13/2009
    Posts:12
    Avg Rating:
    3/5
  • tellurium aplenty
    you want tellurium? come to Colorado. we have a town named telluride, you know. one of our largest gold mines is about to shut down because of too much tellurium. if the market for that element improved, we could supply the world!
    Rate this comment: 12345

    kitk
    09/14/2009
    Posts:66
    Avg Rating:
    3/5
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