Friday, May 08, 2009
Death of the Hydrogen Economy
Obama's budget puts hydrogen fuel-cell research out of its misery--almost.
By Kevin Bullis
A government program to help develop hydrogen-fuel-cell-powered vehicles--a hallmark of the Bush administration--has been almost completely wiped out in the Obama administration's proposed budget.
In 2008, hydrogen technology research and development at the Department of Energy got over $200 million. That's been scaled down to about $70 million in the current budget, and that's for fuel cells of all sorts--including generating electricity for the grid, and not just hydrogen fuel cells for vehicles.
Major automakers have also recently scaled back their hydrogen-fuel-cell vehicle development, emphasizing hybrids, plug-in hybrids, and electric vehicles instead.
Hydrogen fuel cells don't emit pollutants--just water. And the amount of hydrogen that can be stored, by weight, is tremendous. But fuel cells are expensive, hydrogen is hard to come by (there aren't many hydrogen filling stations), and it's difficult to store in a small volume. What's more, the cleanest way to make hydrogen--electrolysis using electricity from renewable sources--is expensive and inefficient.
What do you think? Is it about time we abandon hydrogen-fuel-cell vehicles? Or do they still have a place in future transportation?
Comments
Shoreliner11
05/08/2009
Posts:9
It's not as if the past eight years had seen no progress in hydrogen cars, though. Just look at the following numbers!
The Honda Clarity goes 310 km to 320 km on a tankful.
This is fully 10-20 km more than what the BMW 520h was doing, 30 years ago, on hydrogen internal combustion!
(How fire can be domesticated)
GRLCowan
05/09/2009
Posts:1
joeeob
05/11/2009
Posts:2
Hydrogen is the simplest atom: one electron revolving around one proton. Imagine an atom of Hydrogen enlarged so much that the proton is as big as a golf ball and you’d find the circling electron three hundred yards away!
Mills and de Geus both discovered that Hydrogen’s electron orbit can be made to collapse, becoming a much smaller sphere. A tremendous amount of energy is thus released. The new atoms, which Mills labeled hydrinos, do not need to burn with an oxidizer to liberate energy. Mills claims to have “made independently validated energy cells that produce 1,000 times the energy of burning Hydrogen.”
A huge amount of Hydrogen is stored in water. The oceans contain 8 million trillion barrels of water. Think about the implications: Even without deuterium or nuclear options, one barrel of water can yield as much energy as hundreds of barrels of oil - just by making clever use of hydrinos.
This can safely be accomplished without releasing radiation or pollution. The cost will be far lower than solar, wind or nuclear energy. Hydrino systems can help accelerate independence from fossil fuels.
Most scientists believe that fractional quantum states are not possible. However, in a paper he wrote during the 1960’s, the late Dr. Robert Carroll, a mathematical physicist, suggested that inverse quantum states would one day prove important. Mills and de Geus have each pioneered technology based on energy released as the electrons of Hydrogen atoms are induced by a catalyst to transition to lower-energy levels (i.e. drop to lower base orbits around each atom's nucleus) corresponding to fractional quantum numbers. Ronald Bourgoin, once a graduate student of Carroll’s, showed the general wave equation predicts exactly the 137 inverse principal quantum levels claimed by Mills. De Geus patented a very different energy production method based upon utilization of fractional Hydrogen.
Chava’s engineers have discovered what we believe will prove to be a much better approach. With all due respect to those pioneers, Chava has been developing enhanced theoretical and practical paths that lead towards commercialization of energy conversion systems that utilize hydrinos.
For example, hydrinos are expected to make possible Self Powered Internal Combustion Engines (SPICE™). A SPICE in a hybrid car will require no fuel. When parked, the vehicle will be able to wirelessly sell power to the grid, or supply electricity to a suitably equipped home or small business.
Imagine the positive impact on the economy and the environment of future cars, trucks, and buses, that need no fuel or recharge, and can pay for themselves over time. This is a near-term alternative to new nuclear plants, and it promises to be far less expensive than burning coal.
Mark Goldes
05/08/2009
Posts:1
hellofu
05/09/2009
Posts:6
I'm sure this guy is NOT A NUTTER! If it's on the Internet, especially an MIT site it MUST BE REAL!!
erbium
05/20/2009
Posts:99
ooobama
05/08/2009
Posts:3
The catalyst materials we were examining showed great promise for proton exchange membrane fuel cells (PEMFCs). However, the commercialization of the technology was always just over the horizon. At the time it was thought it would take ten years to commercialize the technology for automobiles. Ten years later the revised date is still about ten years in the future.
Nafion, the base material for most PEMFCs at the time, would have been insanely expensive in the quantities necessary to power an automobile drive train. Never mind the costs of precious catalytic metals such as Pt and Ru needed.
Though I think it's great technology and would be giddy about buying a fuel cell-powered car, fuel cells have two strikes against them. First, the base cost of materials for PEMFC assemblies would have to come down by orders of magnitude before being feasible in vehicles. Secondly, the availability of hydrogen to the average consumer is admittedly limited.
In both cases, one could argue that we're in the classic "chicken or egg" dilemma. Unless there is an incentive to build a hydrogen infrastructure, nobody will purchase a car that relies on it. Furthermore, the economies of scale won't bring the price of PEMFCs down until more people adopt the technology.
A compromise could be starting with on-board reforming technology that strips hydrogen from hydrocarbons (gasoline or similar petroleum products), but that doesn't help the greenhouse gas issue since you are still emitting CO2 from the reformation process.
In the end, I may have to agree that unless a cheap source of hydrogen can be developed, fuel cells for vehicle use are a non-starter, though the LANL Web site would have you think otherwise:
http://www.lanl.gov/discover/fuel_cells_transform_cars
ssavett
05/08/2009
Posts:1
donaldbarnho...
05/12/2009
Posts:1
When a membrane technology is decided on costs for the membran will come down drastically just like the costs for RO - Reverse Osmosis molecular membranes have come down after widespread use.
Some humongo chemical plastics plant on the Mississippi will start churning the stuff out by the mile in wide & long rolls.
And frankly "the fuel cell witch is dead" huh? strange as it sounds, batteries are the technology that is the Emperor with No Clothes.
1 kg of fuel stores the energy 200kg of battery stores. they are heavy, expensive, dangerous, wear out quickly. my lithium ion 4700mA photography batteries are not of 'car quality' in that I have to repeatedly buy new ones as they flake out way ahead of their time.
They get errors where they stop charging at all, or say they are charged when they are not or just die early in use. And VERY expensive. Do you want to drive somewhere and then find out your energy guage was wrong and your 'out of fuel'?
Limited range comes into play also. you have to have alternate engine such as gas powered for long hauls or have quick charging or exhange infrastrure.
Plus the elecrical grid is teetering on the edge of oblivion. vehicles use 7 times the energy the electrical grid puts out now. Good luck trying to hook everyone up to charge overnight! Ding-dong, battery cars are dead!
But you need to think bigger than this:
electric drive on cars IS the future. I foresee the power source as modular. It doesn't matter, fuel cell, small engine, hybrid, hydrogen-on-demand where you just carry Mg or Al + H20 to produce hydrogen to burn as needed.
With modular cars the basic car could stay the same and the infrastructure could grow around the various fuels or energy sources needed. the 'skateboard' car seen on futurecars was along this vein.
erbium
05/20/2009
Posts:99
I am not ready to write off hydrogen's ability to play a significant role in meeting the energy needs of the future. I do agree that it is unlikely to be utilized as transportation fuel in the near future.
ssintay
05/09/2009
Posts:5
Congress can reverse this decision and let's hope it does. Otherwise we'll be buying these vehicles from Europe and Asia, just like we're buying advancedd batteries, hybrid cars, solar and wind generators.
Honda’s new FCV is being offered in California today for lease, 60% efficient, EPA rated 72 MPG, comparable to the Accord, Malibu and Camry in creature comforts and interior room. Toyota’s vehicle gets well over 400 miles per tank. Daimler plans 100,000 units a year within a few years. Fuel cells are far ahead of advanced battery vehicles and the truth is out there, as they say. For starters, see startershttp://automobiles.honda.com/fcx-claritty/ or www.cafcp.org
Membrane
05/09/2009
Posts:1
However, I do think that a H2 ICE coupled with a micro reformer might have some merit. H2 ICE does have somewhat improved efficiency over a regular ICE.
So basically a micro reformer + H2 ICE = a much more fuel efficient, flex fuel ICE. Might be useful for extended range vehicles although it might add about $2000 to $3000 to the sticker price (I'd guess).
But is it worth $200M in funding? Doubtful imo.
asogan
05/11/2009
Posts:8
Is that because there is no significant issue?
Is it only an issue for liquid hydrogen?
Have all relevant brittle metal issues (if any) already been solved for internal combustion engines and/or fuel cells?
Or, is this a potential maintenance/repair issue for future hydrogen vehicle fleets?
Thanks!
Colin
Colin
05/11/2009
Posts:7
The BMW520h consumed about as much H2 per 100km as the Honda today for the full range.. So there was progress, but I agree, the Internal Combustion Engine is by far not dead - huge progress there. So I agree - ICE's are to be considered, especially in Range Extender Concepts, where efficiencies of over 40% can be achieved.
Electric is great. But the whole problem is Demand/Supply-Managment, especially coupled with Renewables which are unpredictable. H2 DECOUPLES the production from the consumption. Something, Batteries have a hard time to do. Finally, you don't want to drag a cable behind you:-)
Energy Flow: Refuelling a battery of some 60kWh (about 400km Range) in a short time gives massive Power Flows at the "Fuelling Station" (Megawatt Range)- very hard to do on a big scale
Hydrogen can be produced with 80% efficiency by purely technical means, large scale. Of course on the small scale numbers are less appealing. One argument I always hear is: Efficiency Well to Wheel compared to petrol. Don't forget: In Petrol, we only pay the energy to mine the stuff, not for the actual energy content (that was done over millions of years for us) - that's gonna be very different in the future. So let's compare apples to apples.
So I agree on a lot there was said - Hybrids are the near future. What we learn there will be very valuable for future Range Extender Concepts, whatever the fuel might be. But so far, only batteries i don't see in the long therm. There must be an artificial energy carrier, produced by technical means, which can decouple energy production from energy use on a massive scale. Of course if someone figures out to store GWh of Energy in a smart way so it can supply the necessary network for batteries - that is a different question. Then it's a "maybe".
Just remember 1kg of H2 is about 1 Gallon of Petrol and compares to about 200kg of Batteries (taking efficiency of conversion in account)... Current Batteries hold 100Wh/kg. Maybe we get an improvement of a factor of 2 or 3, but that's it.
My opinion:-)
bielmann
05/11/2009
Posts:1
Human Powered Transportation like Bikes and walking (or running if you're late to work or being chased). Far cheaper too and already developed.
mkogrady
05/11/2009
Posts:198
High efficiency water electrolysis has been demonstrated.
Lithium ion batteries are not the way forward either - there is not enough lithium. Betting on better future batteries seems no wiser than betting on better future fuel cells.
djs
05/11/2009
Posts:24
Hydrogen is our only option at this point and we will need to understand that our expectations will have to change in order to introduce a viable long term solution. The truth is that we have used 98% of the energy from the gasoline burned so far and this is due to the degree of thermal efficiency of the gasoline engine and that we have been transporting ten times the mass than what we really wanted to move (average gasoline thermal efficiency at low operation = 20% divided by the utility ratio of the vehicle - vehicle weight = 1,600kg / cargo = 160kg). This will need to change.
The future is one of diversity of fuel and simple technology, low mass vehicle design. The Pivotal engine meets these criteria better than any other proposal out there at this time as there is no need for pure hydrogen and any blending of gaseous fuels will work in the interim before hydrogen dominates the market in many locations. What has held back the take up of the hydrogen ICE is the reluctance of the industry to take on major change. The fuel cell was useful in this regard as it did not threaten them with any need to make any change any time soon. Also the existing automotive engine is a very poor device for the efficient conversion of hydrogen combustion to torque and again they hope to keep on producing this very cheap (mature) power unit for as long as possible. www.pivotalengine.com
pmclachlan
05/11/2009
Posts:3
The main problem with H2 is on board storage above all else. There seems to be no low weight, low volume, low energy loss way of achieving this, even in the development stage yet, let alone in mass production.
Failing this a high weight, low loss, medium volume and ultra high system efficiency solution, called the electric battery is simply going to win...
Besides the fuelling and distribution infrastructure is already there, currently known as the electric grid.
malkmus
05/11/2009
Posts:3
liquidsky
05/11/2009
Posts:1
ms
05/11/2009
Posts:126
amannsr
05/11/2009
Posts:1
RD
05/11/2009
Posts:112
of hydrogen fuel R and D propogation so much excitement would have been generated---and its through an exciting new development wherin
transformations take place...unfortunately, this was a missed opportunity.
Thedentalguy...
05/13/2009
Posts:1
hydrogenius
06/24/2009
Posts:1
windmillman
06/08/2009
Posts:1
In 1978 using a simple reformer that took heat from the exhaust manifold, Nissan Motors was able to get 88% of gasoline mileage from methanol in a stock, unaltered Sentra engine. The reformer broke the methanol into its two constituent gases: CO + 2H2. In a 1982 presentation at an alcohol fuels conference in Durango, Colorado, Nissan referred to its standard, unmodified, internal combustion engine as, "...the world's first hydrogen engine." Nissan patented this technology in the US in 1985.
In 2003 NREL wrote a feasibility study showing hydrogen and methanol as the most commercially feasible products from biomass. In 2005 the DOE de-listed methanol as a transportation biofuel. The new administration has not changed this status; we still chase ethanol, biodiesel and biodiesel from algae even though all three are uneconomic, not sustainable and provide little actual energy compared to their inputs. Recent DOE reports still show methanol mileage based on its heat capability as being only 54% that of gasoline.
So why don't we have methanol from non-fossil fuel sources? In a word: politics, not science.
inxtoc
06/11/2009
Posts:2