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Kevin Bullis is Technology Review’s energy editor.

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Thursday, April 16, 2009

Criticism of the Obama Administration's Volt Report

Did the review of GM's prospects depend on unrealistic assumptions about its plug-in technology?
By Kevin Bullis

A couple of weeks ago a report from President Obama's Auto Task Force roundly criticized GM's Volt plug-in hybrid--an electric car designed to travel 40 miles on battery power alone and hundreds of miles using a gasoline or ethanol-powered generator. Now some are claiming that the task force's assessment of the Volt may have been based on some erroneous figures supplied by a consulting firm.

A company reportedly hired to help the Auto Task Force, Boston Consulting Group, has recently published a report that includes estimates of battery costs that are far higher than GM's own cost estimates, as well as those from other analysts, according to Felix Kramer, the founder of CalCars, an organization that promotes plug-in hybrids. He writes:

The report reaches questionable conclusions about costs for plug-in vehicles based on elevated battery costs, which it sees currently at $2,000 per kilowatt-hour now, declining to $500-$700 by 2020. This assumption is the heart of its analysis -- and it's one that automakers, especially GM, have strongly criticized. While not getting specific, GM has made clear that its battery costs (for packs, not cells) will be "hundreds less" than $1,000 for the first generation Volt and still lower in the second and third generations of the Volt, on which it is already at work. GM isn't waiting for the "breakthroughs in technology" BCG sees as necessary.

Read the rest of Kramer's analysis here.

Comments

  • The GM Volt Site
    Here is a link to a little known website that is dedicated to the General Motors Volt .
    Currently there are over 47,000 people who have put their names down and registered as people who want to buy this advanced technologically driven car.
    It might be time for the address to be made public for everybody to see and find out what the Volt is all about .
    Sure it is going to cost more in the beginning , isn't that the way it always is with new products going to market .
    Go to this link I posted below and really see what is happening with this car and others that GM is planning to introduce at the end of 2010 .

    http://gm-volt.com/
    Rate this comment: 12345

    Keith Tomils...
    04/18/2009
    Posts:9
    Avg Rating:
    4/5
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