Emerging Technologies Conference

The Big Losers in Energy

Several people holding the purse-strings agree that algae, hydrogen vehicles, and carbon capture and storage won't make money.

Kevin Bullis 09/24/2009

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There wasn't much consensus about the most promising energy technologies, but everyone at a panel on the future of energy at the EmTech conference at MIT this morning seemed to agree that three energy-related technologies won't make money, at least not in the current economic and regulatory environment.

Heading the list of losers is photosynthetic algae--technology that would use algae to convert sunlight into fuel. Jim Matheson, a general partner at Flagship Ventures, said "we just don't believe the economics." Although the venture capital firm invests heavily in bio-energy technology, "we just haven't gotten very comfortable that algae is going to come down the cost curve."

BP also doesn't like photosynthetic algae. "We don't think that [technology] will ever reach the kind of cost or supply that we think people are prepared to pay," said David Eyton, the head of research and technology at BP. His statement was a direct challenge to a main BP competitor, Exxon-Mobil, which recently announced an investment of $600 million in photosynthetic algae.

Eyton noted that BP is investing in algae--just not the photosynthetic kind. Some companies are developing technology that use algae to convert sugar, instead of sunlight, into fuel and other products. That's easier to scale up, since the algae can be far more concentrated.

Hydrogen, at least for vehicles, was also panned. That's perhaps not surprising given Energy Secretary Steven Chu's recent comments about hydrogen. Then again, the car companies have been clamoring for continued investment in it. Uma Chowdry, senior vice president and chief science and technology officer at DuPont said the company had killed its research on hydrogen storage "because it's very far away." Eyton said BP had also killed its investment in hydrogen for transportation.

And finally, technology for capturing and storing carbon dioxide doesn't look promising. The technology could be key to reducing carbon emissions, but Chowdry said, "We can't figure out how we're going to make money at it." Eyton noted that "it's tough to make it work, when nobody's putting a price on it."

Video Coverage of EmTech08

One-on-one interviews captured at the conference.

TR Editors 09/26/2008

Technology Review's Editor in Chief, Jason Pontin, and Beet.TV caught up with experts and conference speakers for exclusive interviews:

Gina Bianchini: Ning To Launch iPhone App Tomorrow

Fiscal Crisis: "Everyone in Technology is Terrified," MIT's Jason Pontin

Newsweek's "Real" Dan Lyons Pans Robert Scoble's Social Networking Panel at MIT

Vinod Khosla: Clean-Tech Is About Reinventing Society

You can also watch Technology Review's Webcasts of conference events like Craig Mundie's keynote and a panel on green transportation here.

Is There a Clean-Tech Bubble?

Experts analyze the debate held at EmTech08.

TR Editors 09/26/2008

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At Technology Review's 2008 Emerging Technologies Conference, EmTech08, experts debated the idea of a clean-tech bubble. Here is CNET News' Senior Writer Martin LaMonica and author of the blog "Green Tech" analysis of their opinions and the related issues:

Clean-tech bubble talk is a red herring
It's fashionable these days to ponder whether there's an investment bubble in clean tech. But I believe this discussion obscures a bigger problem for the clean-tech crowd: not enough money.

A panel of venture capitalists at the Technology Review EmTech 2008 conference on Thursday took the bubble question head on. The response from investors tends to be nuanced: No, there isn't a bubble, but there are some silly company ideas getting funded...read more

GS Early of KCI Investing gives his insight on the panel in his blog "At These Levels":

Is There a Clean-Tech Bubble?
This was the last breakout session of the EmTech 08 Conference and I stuck around for this panel of venture capital guys to see what they were seeing in emerging energy technology companies.

On the panel was David Berry, Principal at Flagship Ventures, Robert Day, Principal at @Ventures, and James Kim, Senior Partner at CMEA Ventures...read more

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Technology Review's EmTech Conference brings together world-renowned innovators and senior business leaders to discuss the emerging technologies that are poised to make a dramatic impact on our world.

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