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Wednesday, November 11, 2009

The Dark Side of the Technology Utopia

It's time to figure out how to preserve the human element in industries that are being automated.

At Defrag 2009, a technology conference in Denver, I am in a room full of people who hope that technology will play a big role in helping the economy recover. As usual at technology conferences, people tend towards a combination of idealism and hubris. People are ready to believe that smart technological solutions exist for many of today's ills, but they also expect those solutions to raise the quality of life for most people.

It's no surprise then that Andy Kessler, a frequent Wall Street Journal contributor, struck a big nerve yesterday with a keynote titled "Be Soylent--Eat People." Kessler's talk certainly shared kinship with the usual technology idealist's line--he expressed an absolute faith in the ability of technologists to solve problems and produce ever-increasing automation.

His celebration of technology, however, took on a dark note that had many up in arms. His basic premise was that all business boils down to a basic, cold equation: output per worker-hour. Some workers are creators, and therefore productive. Everyone else's jobs should be automated out of existence. It is a testament, perhaps, to the extremity of his vision that he suggested so much automation that even technology enthusiasts were offended.

Kessler's ideas were presented with all the subtlety and compassion of a sledgehammer. He classed teachers as "sloppers," the category of jobs that he characterized as "moving things from one side of the room to another." He also claimed that required entrance exams for professions are "bogus", and called doctors "sponges."

These last provocative statements seem too based on ignorance to be taken seriously. It's a poor view of education, for example, that sees learning as simply moving facts from some repository into students' heads.

Analyst Stowe Boyd, in a later keynote, attacked Kessler's views as a "remorseless Taylorist vision." Productivity, in Boyd's view, is not as easily quantifiable as Kessler seems to believe. Boyd pointed out that when most people receive a request from a friend, they stop the (productive) thing they're doing and take a few moments to make an introduction or write a recommendation. "People will continue to trade personal productivity for connectedness," he said, suggesting that connectedness could have its own payoff.

Everyone I've talked to today has made some reference to Kessler, and thus when a negative reaction is so powerful and prevalent, it's worth examining why that is.

Technologists often promise that they will automate the tasks that people find unpleasant, and Kessler seemed to suggest that vast swathes of society's tasks should be considered as such. His vision is rooted in the automation that came to farming and factories.

Yet, today's technology innovators don't see themselves this way. The obsession with information and social software is billed as a way to stay connected with people, not as a way of automating them out of existence.

Kessler was disrespectful of many of the jobs he suggested could be automated. And Boyd was right that productivity's not so easy to measure or understand. However, Kessler made people uncomfortable partly because he pointed out and celebrated the dark side of the vision of technological utopia as it still exists today. Industries are being automated out of existence--just ask people in advertising or publishing.

At a press event I attended recently, Google CEO Eric Schmidt was challenged about the mixed effect the search engine has had on the newspaper industry. Schmidt responded by saying that technology companies such as Google have a responsibility to help protect what's valuable in the information sources they depend on. He added, however, "We've not yet figured out how to exercise that responsibility."

There's not much time to answer that question. Kessler acknowledged the cold, uncomfortable equation by which machines replace people. If that vision offends the people creating those technologies, now is the time to think about how to avoid losing human value in the course of introducing new technologies. Otherwise, that human value gets relegated to boutique movements such as the organic food industry.

Comments

  • Inevitable
    The subtitle for this article seems somewhat misguided. I thought it was taken as given by most technologists that increasing automation across all industries is inevitable, right up to saturation - the removal of all human manual and creative labour from the means of production.

    Anyone familiar with regular developments in the fields of brain mapping, robotics, artificial intelligence, etc can surely see the day coming - before mid-century - where machines and intelligent software systems result in the removal of all jobs.

    Capitalism and its associated accelerating technological development seem destined for complete automation, the end of human work, and the establishment of a new social contract. And this should be welcomed, not feared. The removal of humans from the productive means of industry will eventually result in a standard of living orders of magnitude better than the one we have today.
    Rate this comment: 12345

    Mark Bruce
    11/12/2009
    Posts:2
    Avg Rating:
    4/5
    • Re: Inevitable
      Yes, technology will automate just about everything we do as "work."  Eventually, it will simulate "creativity."  Will it provide freedom and the leisure to lap up all these "free" things, including food, housing, transportation, and the like?

      It will basically transfer power to a gifted or fortunate few who are at the controls of our "economy."  It could be politically disastrous, particularly with regard to personal freedoms and choices.

      Who was it, Asimof? who wrote "I Robot" a book that dealt with this dilemma.  Uncontrolled automation and questionable use of technology must be avoided.

      Charlie Richmond
      Rate this comment: 12345

      crichmcc
      11/13/2009
      Posts:4
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      5/5
  • Boy haven't we heard that before!
    I'm amazed at how slowly people learn. The same discussions go on and on, the same themes are endlessly repeated. Humans will NEVER EVER run out of work. Professions become extinct all the time, only to be replaced by new ones.
    Rate this comment: 12345

    christopher....
    11/13/2009
    Posts:1
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    5/5
  • Dark Side of Technology
    Kessler (Orwell) is absolutely right - I'm sure sure we will all be at the mercy of evil automation by 1984. But then again, we only have 1134 days left until it all comes to an end.
    Rate this comment: 12345

    Ron Diehl
    11/13/2009
    Posts:4
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    5/5
  • [no subject]
    Define work!

    Half the US population currently are employed in service industries. I expect that trend will only continue.

    So, we will need a new social contract. Capitalist is defined as "one who earns their living off what they own."

    Perhaps we all need to become capitalists, ie, equal owners of the productive means of society.

    Gary 7
    Rate this comment: 12345

    gary7
    11/14/2009
    Posts:19
    Avg Rating:
    4/5
  • How Amusing!
    How amusing. A contributor to the WSJ suggests eating your fellow man. Well, isn't that just what business is doing, figuratively if not literally? Humans have been chewed up and spit out by businesses everywhere - so the bosses and shareholders can make even more money. It looks more and more like the South won the Civil War - we're returning to slavery!
    Rate this comment: 12345

    fiberman
    11/20/2009
    Posts:80
    Avg Rating:
    3/5
  • hello
    Very informative...
    I enjoyed and learned.
    Rate this comment: 12345

    SamantaDrue
    11/23/2009
    Posts:3
    Avg Rating:
    5/5
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