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Understanding Affordability

Continued from page 2

By Jim H. Smith

October 2005

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Refuting NIMBY
Pollakowski and his colleagues wasted no time tackling their assignment. In the past year they have produced research that is already changing the way municipal leaders, real-estate professionals, and lenders think about affordability.

The initiative's first report, released in April, took on one of the most prevalent myths developers face when seeking approval for projects--the fear that affordable and high-density housing projects will depress the value of nearby single-family dwellings.

Pollakowski, David Ritchay, MCP '04, and Zoe Weinrobe, MCP '04, studied the effects of seven affordable-housing projects in six suburban Boston towns. They used data from 36,000 property sales between 1982 and 2003 to compare housing values in the affected areas with those in other parts of the same towns.

"In every case," says Pollakowski, "house price movements in the impact areas simply tracked those in nearby market areas." The study's release was like a small explosion, garnering both media and industry attention and underscoring the value that the initiative can bring to the affordable-housing issue.

"A study of this sort could have been very useful to us," says Kramer, who became all too familiar with the "not in my backyard" syndrome while working on Elm Brook. The project was delayed for a year by the appeals of neighbors who feared it would drive down the value of their properties. In fact, Elm Brook turned out to be an affordable-housing success story.

The seeds for Elm Brook were planted in 1995 as part of a rezoning when a local company offered to swap the 13 acres on which the houses are built for other property in Concord. This enabled the town to create a housing complex while honoring a conservation restriction to retain much of the surrounding property in its natural state. Affordability was an objective from the outset, and the houses were priced from $150,000 to $300,000.

In 1999, following a three-year feasibility study, Peter Roth was selected to create Elm Brook. Roth was the ideal developer. He founded Boston-based New Atlantic Development Corporation in 1994 with a specific focus on affordable housing. Under his guidance, Elm Brook successfully addressed a number of different affordability-related issues.

First, the project's houses were priced for families with incomes specified between $56,000 and $98,000. Moreover, each home was sold subject to a deed restriction that requires owners to sell only to buyers who are in the same income bracket. The resale price must not exceed what would be affordable for families earning incomes comparable to those of the original owners when they purchased the home.

Next, qualified buyers were selected through a public process involving four informational meetings attended by more than 400 families. Those meetings culminated in a lottery to determine the buyers. Of the 12 homes, four were sold to minority households. Six of the buyers were teachers (including four who work in Concord public schools).

Others included a nurse, a social worker, and a computer technologist. The project, which relies upon higher housing density than is traditional for Concord, is surrounded by meadows and woods that serve as a buffer between Elm Brook and its neighbors. This landscape will be preserved as open space, benefiting both the Elm Brook residents and their neighbors.

It has now been four years since the Elm Brook homes sold and, says Kramer, "It has lived up to all our hopes and expectations." The surrounding property values have held firm.

Comments

  • Affordability and Investments
    Nice to see a study that makes sense. It would be terrific if this concept was expanded throughout the US so Real Estate Developers could guage the best areas to build in, including innner city areas that need extensive renovation. Here in the Detroit area, we have a lot of run down areas that hold tremendous potential. A tool like this could show Civic Leaders where to place the most emphasis to make the area grow, and bring in more tax revenues.

    FYI - I spent 20+ years living in SOuthern California, which is no longer the affordable state it was back in the 50s, 60s and to some extent the 70s. I moved because it was impossible to buy anything bigger than a 1100 sqft condo ($140K in 1995 - now selling for over $400K).
    Rate this comment: 12345
    Guest (Mike)
    11/09/2005
    Posts:1
  • The maintenance factor in affordability
    As a new first-time homeowner, I am beginning to recognize an often &quothidden&quot factor in a homes affordability... maintenance. In my opinion, affordability - at least when applied to home ownership - cant be determined without an understanding of what maintenance costs will be involved as the home ages.  

    I would find it very interesting to see some in-depth research into what types of home construction are most &quotaffordable&quot in the long run. My own experience has been that there are alot of contradictory and unfounded beliefs about construction materials and methods that muddy the water significantly. Exactly how well does a wood-framed house compare to a house with metal studs in the long run?  From a maintenance standpoint, how do conventional foundations compare to slab foundations?
    Rate this comment: 12345
    Guest (Glen Browning)
    11/09/2005
    Posts:1
  • What Of The Knowledge Gained?
    Im guessing that these statistics and algorithms will maximize city planning, bank loans, and a plethora of ancillary benefits. All to the good of the public, government, and corporations.

    This knowledge, in itself, is of great value. Other cities, governments, and corporations could make better decisions with the help of good planning aids.

    The big question is will this information be shared?
    Rate this comment: 12345
    Guest (Colin)
    11/20/2005
    Posts:1
    • Let them eat cake?
      Is it just me, or does Lynn Fischers remark &quotrenting is a ...way to afford housing&quot seem a bit Marie Anntoinette-ish?
      And couldnt it be said that by limiting the supply of land, all lot sizes will be less affordable?
      I just think the researchers are kind of off in what &quotlow income&quot is? I finally graduated college and am making slightly less than their &quotlow income&quot amount and I am feeling rich...but not that rich.
      Rate this comment: 12345
      Guest (John)
      11/25/2005
      Posts:1
      • Hello.  I want to talk about towers.
        Hello. I just had an idea about building super structures and super edifices.  We may need to build structures within cities that are much more densely populated that todays buidings.

        In todays apartment rent housing, people are probably unhappy with rents, space, roaches, and noise.  We might need to find out more knowledge about construction and building techniques for building some of these structures in the future.  If we can use technology to combat some of these problems, it will all be better for all of us.

        Sincerely,

        Lilia Mallik
        Rate this comment: 12345
        Guest (Lilia Mallik)
        12/08/2005
        Posts:1
      • Hello,  I want to talk more about towers.
        In any super structure or super edifice, we need to put very heavy emphasis on safety and evacuation and safety during fires, terrorist attack, or disasters.  We may need to explore issues with air defense or homeland security when we think about building these types of these.  We need to seriously deal with peoples fear and trepidation about some of these issues.  We could also think about lunar housing, etc.

        We can also consider building housing underground or underwater.  We should always think about quality of life issues for people.
        Rate this comment: 12345
        Guest (Lilia Mallik)
        12/08/2005
        Posts:1
      • Hello.  I want to talk about towers.
        Hello. I just had an idea about building super structures and super edifices.  We may need to build structures within cities that are much more densely populated that todays buidings.

        In todays apartment rent housing, people are probably unhappy with rents, space, roaches, and noise.  We might need to find out more knowledge about construction and building techniques for building some of these structures in the future.  If we can use technology to combat some of these problems, it will all be better for all of us.

        Sincerely,

        Lilia Mallik
        Rate this comment: 12345
        Guest (Lilia Mallik)
        12/08/2005
        Posts:1
      • Hello,  I want to talk more about towers.
        In any super structure or super edifice, we need to put very heavy emphasis on safety and evacuation and safety during fires, terrorist attack, or disasters.  We may need to explore issues with air defense or homeland security when we think about building these types of these.  We need to seriously deal with peoples fear and trepidation about some of these issues.  We could also think about lunar housing, etc.

        We can also consider building housing underground or underwater.  We should always think about quality of life issues for people.
        Rate this comment: 12345
        Guest (Lilia Mallik)
        12/08/2005
        Posts:1
    • Hello.  I need to talk about housing affordability.
      Hello.  I wanted to talk about factors affecting housing affordabilty.  I believe that geotechnical, geothermal and green technologies, etc. may be able to be used for lowering utility and energy costs for homeowners.

      But, we need to furthur explore the issues involved with these technolgies to ensure that they are cost effecient, economically benficial and are financially sensible.

      These such technologies should ideally really giving a real return to the consumer very quickly.  So, people will definitely see the value in their long-term investments in these types of systems.
      Rate this comment: 12345
      Guest (Lilia Mallik)
      12/07/2005
      Posts:1
    • Housing affordability
      Hello.  I think that there are problems in the financial system that worsen the problem of housing affordability.  There is a problem in the appraisal process involving banks in many communities.  Investors, activists, and politicians should all try to get more involved.
      Rate this comment: 12345
      Guest (Lilia Mallik)
      12/16/2005
      Posts:1
    • Hello.  I just wanted to talk about housing affordability.
      I believe that housing affordability is affected by the number of occupants that are allowed to live within an apartment unit or housing unit.  The more people are allowed to live within a space, i.e. two family home, etc. then housing usually becomes more affordable.  The occupancy and landlord restrictions will probably have an effect on housing affordability.
      Rate this comment: 12345
      Guest (Lilia Mallik)
      12/31/2005
      Posts:1
    • Let them eat cake?
      Is it just me, or does Lynn Fischers remark &quotrenting is a ...way to afford housing&quot seem a bit Marie Anntoinette-ish?
      And couldnt it be said that by limiting the supply of land, all lot sizes will be less affordable?
      I just think the researchers are kind of off in what &quotlow income&quot is? I finally graduated college and am making slightly less than their &quotlow income&quot amount and I am feeling rich...but not that rich.
      Rate this comment: 12345
      Guest (John)
      11/25/2005
      Posts:1
    • Hello.  I need to talk about housing affordability.
      Hello.  I wanted to talk about factors affecting housing affordabilty.  I believe that geotechnical, geothermal and green technologies, etc. may be able to be used for lowering utility and energy costs for homeowners.

      But, we need to furthur explore the issues involved with these technolgies to ensure that they are cost effecient, economically benficial and are financially sensible.

      These such technologies should ideally really giving a real return to the consumer very quickly.  So, people will definitely see the value in their long-term investments in these types of systems.
      Rate this comment: 12345
      Guest (Lilia Mallik)
      12/07/2005
      Posts:1
    • Housing affordability
      Hello.  I think that there are problems in the financial system that worsen the problem of housing affordability.  There is a problem in the appraisal process involving banks in many communities.  Investors, activists, and politicians should all try to get more involved.
      Rate this comment: 12345
      Guest (Lilia Mallik)
      12/16/2005
      Posts:1
    • Hello.  I just wanted to talk about housing affordability.
      I believe that housing affordability is affected by the number of occupants that are allowed to live within an apartment unit or housing unit.  The more people are allowed to live within a space, i.e. two family home, etc. then housing usually becomes more affordable.  The occupancy and landlord restrictions will probably have an effect on housing affordability.
      Rate this comment: 12345
      Guest (Lilia Mallik)
      12/31/2005
      Posts:1
  • Affordability and Investments
    Nice to see a study that makes sense. It would be terrific if this concept was expanded throughout the US so Real Estate Developers could guage the best areas to build in, including innner city areas that need extensive renovation. Here in the Detroit area, we have a lot of run down areas that hold tremendous potential. A tool like this could show Civic Leaders where to place the most emphasis to make the area grow, and bring in more tax revenues.

    FYI - I spent 20+ years living in SOuthern California, which is no longer the affordable state it was back in the 50s, 60s and to some extent the 70s. I moved because it was impossible to buy anything bigger than a 1100 sqft condo ($140K in 1995 - now selling for over $400K).
    Rate this comment: 12345
    Guest (Mike)
    11/09/2005
    Posts:1
  • The maintenance factor in affordability
    As a new first-time homeowner, I am beginning to recognize an often &quothidden&quot factor in a homes affordability... maintenance. In my opinion, affordability - at least when applied to home ownership - cant be determined without an understanding of what maintenance costs will be involved as the home ages.  

    I would find it very interesting to see some in-depth research into what types of home construction are most &quotaffordable&quot in the long run. My own experience has been that there are alot of contradictory and unfounded beliefs about construction materials and methods that muddy the water significantly. Exactly how well does a wood-framed house compare to a house with metal studs in the long run?  From a maintenance standpoint, how do conventional foundations compare to slab foundations?
    Rate this comment: 12345
    Guest (Glen Browning)
    11/09/2005
    Posts:1
  • What Of The Knowledge Gained?
    Im guessing that these statistics and algorithms will maximize city planning, bank loans, and a plethora of ancillary benefits. All to the good of the public, government, and corporations.

    This knowledge, in itself, is of great value. Other cities, governments, and corporations could make better decisions with the help of good planning aids.

    The big question is will this information be shared?
    Rate this comment: 12345
    Guest (Colin)
    11/20/2005
    Posts:1

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