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Wednesday, November 01, 2006

Part I: A Failure of Intelligence

Continued from page 1

By Freeman Dyson

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Our ORS was divided into sections and subsections. The sections were ORS1, concerned with bombing effectiveness; ORS2, concerned with bomber losses; ORS3, concerned with history. My boss, Reuben Smeed, was chief of ORS2. The subsections of ORS2 were ORS2a, collecting crew reports and investigating causes of losses; ORS2b, studying the effectiveness of electronic countermeasures; ORS2c, studying damage to returning bombers; ORS2d, doing statistical analysis and other jobs requiring some mathematical skill. I was put into ORS2d.

Two other new boys arrived at the same time I did. One was John Carthy, who was in ORS1; the other was Mike O'Loughlin, who shared an office with me in ORS2d. John had been a leading actor in the Cambridge University student theater. Mike had been briefly in the army but was discharged when he was found to be epileptic. John and Mike and I became lifelong friends. John was cheerful, Mike was bitter, and I was somewhere in between. In later life, John was a biologist at the University of London, and Mike taught engineering at the Cambridge Polytechnic. After retiring from the Polytechnic, Mike became an Anglican minister in the parish of Linton, near Cambridge.

The ORS consisted of about 30 people, a mixed bunch of civil servants, academic experts, and students. Working with us were an equal number of WAAFs, girls of the Women's Auxiliary Air Force, who wore blue uniforms and were subject to military discipline. The WAAFs were photographic interpreters, calculators, technicians, drivers, and secretaries. They did most of the real work of the ORS. They also supplied us with tea and sympathy. They made a depressing situation bearable. Their leader was Sergeant Asplen, a tall and strikingly beautiful girl whose authority was never questioned. The sergeant kept herself free of romantic entanglements. But two of her charges, a vivacious redhead named Dorothy and a more thoughtful brunette called Betty, became attached to my friends John and Mike. Love affairs were not officially discouraged. We celeĀ­brated two weddings before the War was over, with Dorothy and Betty discarding their dumpy blue uniforms for an afternoon and appearing resplendent in white silk. The marriages endured, and each afterwards produced four children.

My first day of work was the day after one of our most successful operations, a full-force night attack on Hamburg. For the first time, the bombers had used the decoy system, which we called WINDOW and the Americans called CHAFF. WINDOW consisted of packets of paper strips coated with aluminum paint. One crew member in each bomber was responsible for throwing packets of WINDOW down a chute, at a rate of one packet per minute, while flying over Germany. The paper strips floated slowly down through the stream of bombers, each strip a resonant antenna tuned to the frequency of the German radars. The purpose was to confuse the radars so that they could not track individual bombers in the clutter of echoes from the WINDOW.

That day, the people at the ORS were joyful. I never saw them as joyful again until the day that the war in Europe ended. WINDOW had worked. The bomber losses the night before were only 12 out of 791, or 1.5 percent, far fewer than would have been expected for a major operation in July, when the skies in northern Europe are never really dark. Losses were usually about 5 percent and were mostly due to German night fighters, guided to the bombers by radars on the ground. WINDOW had cut the expected losses by two-thirds. Each bomber carried a crew of seven, so WINDOW that night had saved the lives of about 180 of our boys.

November/December 2006

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Comments

  • Your question about long articles
    Corneliussen on 12/04/2006 at 9:35 AM
    Posts:
    1
    You asked whether long articles on-line are off-putting. Not necessarily for me, but this is a bad test case, because I never let anything by Freeman Dyson go by without reading it. He could write on the back of an old milk carton and I'd read it. Thanks.
    Rate this comment: 12345
    • Re: Your question about long articles
      kitk on 12/05/2006 at 1:14 AM
      Posts:
      50
      Avg Rating:
      2/5
      After all, Old Chap, our good author here is a first row witness to history! You can't get much better than that. Also, he hails from a time that valued good writing much more than now and which did not know the curse of the soundbite. I would recommend his discussions for any writer just on the merit of their verbage. For an analyst, especially today when we are so enamored of our machines, it helps to know how much of our calculations still come down to educated hunches and personal viewpoints. That is being human.
      Rate this comment: 12345
  • Long article
    twparks on 12/04/2006 at 11:22 AM
    Posts:
    1
    I have greatly enjoyed this article thus far.  I have no concern about it being too long for this format.  It is a welcome change.

    It gives us a great view on how intelligent and resourceful our "greatest generation" actually was at this critical time in human history.

    It also shows how they had to deal with narrow minded and self-serving actions by some leaders of the time.

    Something our current leaders should read and obviously could learn from!

    Thanks for the article and I look forward to part 2.
    Rate this comment: 12345
  • I prefer reading long articles electronically
    mda on 12/04/2006 at 12:50 PM
    Posts:
    1
    I do most my reading electronically, including long articles and books.  If I have net access, I can use embedded hyperlinks or look up related information (in Wikipedia).  I copy or download some items for reading later.  Unlike a printed magazine, I can save the content I think I will want later . . . and let my laptop computer quickly search and find it when I want it (instead of going home and pawing through shelves of hardcopy).  My laptop goes everywhere with me, carrying an entire library.

    Paper copy is very inefficient for me.  It forces me to read the information only in the order it was printed and makes it difficult to find later on.

    In time, I expect your electronic format to entirely replace the paper copy.
    Rate this comment: 12345
  • As a writer...
    wildlight on 12/04/2006 at 1:36 PM
    Posts:
    1
    As a writer, I am a voracious reader and reading is a significant part of my research. Unfortunately, most on-line articles are like today's movies, short clips of action with little plot or character development. To be able to read an in-depth article online gives me not only access to the information, but I can print it to an Adobe PDF file for my later research. Adobe Acrobat allows the searching for text strings across an entire library and provides the context of the strings in the search results list, along with the document(s) where they are located. This is my electronic "clipping library" which replaced the boxes of clipped articles from yesterday.

    I admit that my needs are somewhat unique, but I appreciate the type of articles Technology Review publishes and the longer the better with links to relevant research is exactly what I am looking for.

    Thanks
    Rate this comment: 12345
  • long article
    gknauth on 12/04/2006 at 3:55 PM
    Posts:
    1
    Long articles are welcome on the web if they are interesting.  When the NY Times has interesting material spanning multiple pages online, I read it.  Why shouldn't I here?
    Rate this comment: 12345
  • long article
    ms on 12/04/2006 at 5:30 PM
    Posts:
    58
    Avg Rating:
    5/5
    I don't mind long articles, but I'd like to see them on a single long page, so I can scroll through (or randomly access) the entire article and not have to navigate links. The way it is now, if I get to the last page and find, say, an acronym, that was defined somewhere earlier, it's quite a pain to find that definition.
    Rate this comment: 12345
    • Re: long article
      oeseikel on 12/04/2006 at 9:18 PM
      Posts:
      2
      I have no objection to long articles on line.  It depends on the content and information density.  One advantage of long articles on line is, that I can digitally search through the article.  For example, if I forget to whom a surname belongs, I can search for the first instance of the surname and find the surname's identity.

      Oliver
      Rate this comment: 12345
    • Re: long article
      Rachel Kremen on 12/05/2006 at 11:16 AM
      Technology Review TR Staff
      Online Managing Editor
      Posts:
      6
      Clicking the "Print" button at the top brings up the whole story in one single page.
      Rate this comment: 12345
  • RE: Long Articles
    larrylands on 12/05/2006 at 9:13 PM
    Posts:
    1
    I believe the length of an article has very little to do with it being read.

    If I find an article interesting, as this one was, I'd read many pages. I won't stay with an article of no interest past a paragraph or two. We still read books don't we?

    Larry L
    Rate this comment: 12345
  • Article Length Online = loaded question
    carbonmind on 01/08/2007 at 4:21 PM
    Posts:
    3
    Avg Rating:
    4/5
    Good writing and and intelligent content will appeal to readers on and offline. The question is however loaded. If (in the Editor's opinion) it's too long for online publication, what alternative is to be offered?  To not publish online? Or to condense (i.e. cut) the Author's content? Both bad ideas in my opinion. I wish there were more articles of this calibre, regardless of length!

        
    Rate this comment: 12345
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