Technology Review - Published By MIT
Advertisement
« Back 1 2 [3]

Wednesday, January 04, 2006

The Steve Jobs Show

Continued from page 2

By Daniel Turner

smaller text tool iconmedium text tool iconlarger text tool icon

Last fall, Apple refreshed its all-in-one iMac line and debuted Front Row, a piece of software that hijacks the usual Mac UI and replaces it with a simple interface -- easily visible on a TV screen from the couch -- allowing for presentation of photo slideshows, home movies, music, purchased TV show downloads, and movie trailers. The last item is the most interesting: if Front Row can stream movie trailers from Apple's website, why not whole movies?

Jobs has famously said he doesn't like TV. Yet he can't be too upset over the fact that customers had downloaded three million videos (largely music videos and TV shows) from the iTunes Music Store by early December -- before all the recipients of video iPods over the holiday got online. The movie industry, like the music industry before it, has been fighting online distribution; so maybe Chairman Jobs will be the one to put it in place.

Even without a big movie deal or a media Mac, though, it's a no-brainer to expect more TV shows and other video content available on iTunes. We expect to see more iPod gazers with white earbuds -- and now with eyes glued to tiny screens.

A New iPod?

Saturday Night Live recently produced a sketch in which their version of Steve Jobs announced a new iPod, and a minute later said it was obsolete and replaced it -- with a model that was obsolete in another minute.

The iPod Shuffle, Bajarin notes, has been a terrifically popular product -- but it's out of stock now. He expects a new Shuffle model to be announced soon, probably at next week's expo. "Here's a product that's extremely successful, and they kill it," Bajarin said. The strategy may not be as insane as it sounds. He notes that the iPod mini was similarly popular, and Apple nixed it in favor of the iPod nano, which has been a major hit.

It's possible that analyzing such rumors and speculations simply plays into Apple's master plan -- and saves the company marketing dollars by driving anticipation. But it's reasonable to ask how long that master plan can go on succeeding. Jobs' habit of control, secrecy, and surprise puts him at risk of painting himself into a corner, by creating expectations that even Apple may not be able to meet -- at least not every year.

Daniel Drew Turner is a freelance technology writer based in San Francisco.

« Back 1 2 [3]

Comments

  • Waiting for Pro software for Intel Mac?
    Guest (Bob Chandler) on 01/04/2006 at 12:22 PM
    Posts:
    1
    Most professional Mac users (Designers, video producers, etc.) are pretty happy with current G5 Macs. I think the early adopters will be consumer PC switchers. They are already comfortable with Intel and dont need the pro apps. If the price is right, this could be very big for Apple.
    Rate this comment: 12345
  • Go AAPL
    Guest (tom barta) on 01/04/2006 at 12:26 PM
    Posts:
    1
    I am a 1981 grad of MIT, and all I can say is &quotgo Steve&quot. Microsoft has ruled the roost with its awful, insecure, inelegant products for way too long. Apples dismaiisal of Jobs in 1984 under John Sculley will rank as one of the worst tech decisions of all time (along with Time Warner acquiring AOL and Palm, Inc. splitting into two warring factions). Apple is FINALLY recovering from that long Steve-less period.
    Rate this comment: 12345
  • Only Slightly Inaccurate...
    Guest (john halbig) on 01/04/2006 at 7:21 PM
    Posts:
    1
    Actually, current software WILL &quotjust work&quot, much as 68K based programs could run on the newer PPC processors, and most OS 9 based software worked using &quotclassic&quot mode. Rosetta is the code name for this neat trick, and yes, Ive seen it in action. Sure, you get the usual emulation hit, but thats on FASTER processors. Ive seen situations where applications ran more quickly on an Intel based Mac than on the average iMac G5 cranking at 2 Ghz.

    And yes, that includes PhotoShop and MS Office. Theres also the potential for running Windows apps WITHOUT the emulation hit that make current x86 emulators (like Virtual PC)truly horrific to use.

    John....
    Rate this comment: 12345
    • Re: Only Slightly Inaccurate
      Guest (Dan Turner) on 01/04/2006 at 9:14 PM
      Posts:
      1
      John, you are right about Rosetta being transparent (the speed hit is real, according to developers, though it hasnt been quantified). However, no one has been able to confirm yet that Rosetta will support AltiVec the last confirmed specs state OS X on Intel will support, through Rosetta, emulating up to a G3 processor. Theres also the issue of plug ins: If you get a Universal Binary version of Photoshop, for example, whenever thats available, you need to update all your plug ins at the same time. That is, you can run the Intel version of the app, but not with Power PC versions of the plug ins, and vice versa. For professionals, who often rely on customized plug ins for workflow solutions, everyone has to be on board for it to work.

      Thanks for the note!
      Rate this comment: 12345
    • Re: Only Slightly Inaccurate
      Guest (Dan Turner) on 01/04/2006 at 9:14 PM
      Posts:
      1
      John, you are right about Rosetta being transparent (the speed hit is real, according to developers, though it hasnt been quantified). However, no one has been able to confirm yet that Rosetta will support AltiVec the last confirmed specs state OS X on Intel will support, through Rosetta, emulating up to a G3 processor. Theres also the issue of plug ins: If you get a Universal Binary version of Photoshop, for example, whenever thats available, you need to update all your plug ins at the same time. That is, you can run the Intel version of the app, but not with Power PC versions of the plug ins, and vice versa. For professionals, who often rely on customized plug ins for workflow solutions, everyone has to be on board for it to work.

      Thanks for the note!
      Rate this comment: 12345
  • Hi Def movie store on the way...
    Guest (KenC) on 01/06/2006 at 6:36 AM
    Posts:
    1
    This press release proves it:

    http://www.marketwire.com/mw/release_html_b1?release_id=105456

    Thats a press release that Apple has sued Burst. A little company with some key patents on streaming media tech. This means that what Bob Cringely, at PBS, said was true, if Apple wants to open a streaming movie store, it needs to license from Burst, and apparently it has been in negotiation.

    As for streaming movie trailers, FR doesnt show what bitrate theyre using but its clear that they are below DVD quality. If you go to their movie trailer website:

    http://www.apple.com/trailers/

    Youll see they have about 30 HD trailers. This is a much better indication of whether Apple can stream movies. Ive looked and 480p movies will need a streaming rate of 2Mbps. This is doable on a stable moderately quick cable modem. Add some buffering time, perhaps 15mins, while you pop the popcorn, and you should have no trouble with a 480p movie stream.
    Rate this comment: 12345
  • Waiting for Pro software for Intel Mac?
    Guest (Bob Chandler) on 01/04/2006 at 12:22 PM
    Posts:
    1
    Most professional Mac users (Designers, video producers, etc.) are pretty happy with current G5 Macs. I think the early adopters will be consumer PC switchers. They are already comfortable with Intel and dont need the pro apps. If the price is right, this could be very big for Apple.
    Rate this comment: 12345
  • Go AAPL
    Guest (tom barta) on 01/04/2006 at 12:26 PM
    Posts:
    1
    I am a 1981 grad of MIT, and all I can say is &quotgo Steve&quot. Microsoft has ruled the roost with its awful, insecure, inelegant products for way too long. Apples dismaiisal of Jobs in 1984 under John Sculley will rank as one of the worst tech decisions of all time (along with Time Warner acquiring AOL and Palm, Inc. splitting into two warring factions). Apple is FINALLY recovering from that long Steve-less period.
    Rate this comment: 12345
  • Only Slightly Inaccurate...
    Guest (john halbig) on 01/04/2006 at 7:21 PM
    Posts:
    1
    Actually, current software WILL &quotjust work&quot, much as 68K based programs could run on the newer PPC processors, and most OS 9 based software worked using &quotclassic&quot mode. Rosetta is the code name for this neat trick, and yes, Ive seen it in action. Sure, you get the usual emulation hit, but thats on FASTER processors. Ive seen situations where applications ran more quickly on an Intel based Mac than on the average iMac G5 cranking at 2 Ghz.

    And yes, that includes PhotoShop and MS Office. Theres also the potential for running Windows apps WITHOUT the emulation hit that make current x86 emulators (like Virtual PC)truly horrific to use.

    John....
    Rate this comment: 12345
  • Hi Def movie store on the way...
    Guest (KenC) on 01/06/2006 at 6:36 AM
    Posts:
    1
    This press release proves it:

    http://www.marketwire.com/mw/release_html_b1?release_id=105456

    Thats a press release that Apple has sued Burst. A little company with some key patents on streaming media tech. This means that what Bob Cringely, at PBS, said was true, if Apple wants to open a streaming movie store, it needs to license from Burst, and apparently it has been in negotiation.

    As for streaming movie trailers, FR doesnt show what bitrate theyre using but its clear that they are below DVD quality. If you go to their movie trailer website:

    http://www.apple.com/trailers/

    Youll see they have about 30 HD trailers. This is a much better indication of whether Apple can stream movies. Ive looked and 480p movies will need a streaming rate of 2Mbps. This is doable on a stable moderately quick cable modem. Add some buffering time, perhaps 15mins, while you pop the popcorn, and you should have no trouble with a 480p movie stream.
    Rate this comment: 12345
Advertisement

Current Issue

Technology Review January/February 2009
Lifeline for Renewable Power
Without a radically expanded and smarter electrical grid, wind and solar will remain niche power sources.
•  Subscribe
Save 41%
•  Table of Contents
•  MIT News

Magazine Services

Career Resources

MIT Technology Insider

Stories and breaking news from inside MIT about the latest research, innovations, and startups--in a convenient monthly e-newsletter. Subscribe today
Advertisement

Follow us on Twitter

Twitter

Get Technology Review updates via the web, cellphone, or Instant Messager – Follow techreview on Twitter!

Advertisement

More Technology News from Forbes

Advertisement
Advertisement
TECHNOLOGY RESOURCES
Advertisement
MIT Massachusetts Institute of Technology