Technology Review - Published By MIT
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Cleaner Nuclear Power?

Continued from page 1

By Peter Fairley

Tuesday, November 27, 2007

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Thorium Power plans to test this fuel system within three years, starting in a pressured-water reactor in Russia. The tests will be conducted in partnership with the Kurchatov Institute, a nuclear research center in Moscow. The institute has been testing the endurance of Thorium Power's fuel materials for four years while simultaneously scaling up a uranium-zirconium extrusion process to produce the 3.5-meter rods used in the Russian reactors.

If the rods endure, experts expect that Thorium Power's scheme will succeed because the hybrid thorium-and-uranium fuel concept is already proven. Several early gas-cooled nuclear reactors of the 1950s and '60s used a seed-and-jacket fuel scheme conceptually similar to Thorium Power's. And a few early water-cooled reactors such as the first reactor at Indian Point, NY, operated in the 1960s and '70s with fuel rods filled with a thorium-uranium blend. However, thorium fell out of favor as the nuclear industry standardized around uranium, particularly after uranium fuel slumped to rock-bottom pricing following the accident at Three Mile Island in 1979.

Dumping fuel every two years looks less appealing today, with uranium prices rising rapidly and high-level waste piling up at commercial reactors across the United States. Thorium fuel also responds to growing concern over proliferation of fissile materials that could be used in nuclear weapons. Thorium's byproducts produce intense gamma radiation, making them hard to handle by would-be bomb makers. Thorium Power is focusing its marketing efforts on developing countries in the Middle East, Asia, and Latin America that are looking to build their first reactors; Grae bets that a design that impedes proliferation of nuclear weapons will make reactors easier to finance in such countries. The company is also looking to India, which hopes to exploit its large thorium reserves.

The challenge for thorium proponents is that the DOE already advocates another fuel cycle that promises to cut waste and manage proliferation risks: a so-called closed fuel cycle, whereby chemical reprocessing recovers plutonium from spent uranium fuel for reuse in conventional reactors.

Reprocessing is central to the DOE's Global Nuclear Energy Partnership (GNEP), whereby major nuclear players such as the United States would guarantee uranium fuel supply to countries that promise to return spent fuel--the plutonium within which could be used to make nuclear weapons.

The GNEP has many critics who argue that the reprocessing of spent fuel will be costly, will increase rather than limit the risk of diversion of fissile materials, and will do little to reduce high-level waste volumes. The DOE's plan is to burn recovered plutonium by blending it with uranium. This produces a hotter and more toxic spent fuel that can only be burned in breeder reactors. Those reactors have, to date, proved infeasible at commercial scale. (See "The Best Nuclear Option.")

Grae insists that Thorium Power could benefit, in the long run, from stepped-up reprocessing because its fuel system provides a better outlet for the recovered plutonium: replacing uranium as the neutron source for Thorium Power's thorium-fuel rods. In 2005, nuclear-technology giant Westinghouse evaluated Thorium Power's system as an option for burning surplus military plutonium, and the company predicted that this would be "substantially" cheaper, quicker, and more effective than burning plutonium with uranium.

Comments

  • better nuclear power
    Already over 20 years ago a very attractive U / Th cycle was proposed based on the successful CANDU reactor which burns non-enriched U or "waste" U from LWRs. A recent discussion is at
    http://www.nuclearfaq.ca/brat_fuel.htm

    Avoiding Pu isolation and U enrichment looks desirable. Learning how to extract cheap power from the vast overabundance of it that the sun sends our way is the real solution.
    Rate this comment: 12345

    djs
    11/27/2007
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    • Re: better nuclear power
      An even better thorium fueled reactor was in development at Oak Ridge National Laboratory using a molten salt based liquid fuel. Such reactors are orders of magnitude safer and cheaper than current solid fuel LWR's. http://energyfromthorium.com/forum/viewtopic.php?t=166
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      wcasino
      11/27/2007
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    • Re: better nuclear power
      Thorium Power's fuel cycle is much better than the CANDU thorium fuel cycle.

      In the Thorium Power fuel cycle, Uranium-233 is burned as fuel in the reactor as it is being produced.

      In the CANDU thorium process, or any other thorium process, the Uranium-233 is a waste byproduct of the fuel cycle. Since Uranium-233 is valuable, it can be reprocessed and re-introduced as fuel into the reactor. Reprocessing is a very expensive proposition – which is the real reason why there isn’t a single thorium fuel reactor in the world. Thorium Power’s process is plain common sense – and well ahead of any other thorium-based concept.
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      xbox
      11/27/2007
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      • Re: better nuclear power
        This is true that all the current designs require reprocessing, except the one being studied by Norway. This is a Carlo Rubbia design that burns the 233 as fuel without reprocessing. It is to build the reactor that Carlo invisioned with a liquid lead based heat transporter, with a window tube down to the core through which an accelerator would shoot 250mev nuclei to produce the neutrons, instead of relying on enriched uranium. The neutrons spalled off the target would initiate the reaction in the thorium. The benefit is that without the uranium, all waste would be below background radioactivity in less than 500 years. The disability is that it requires 1/3 of the reactors power to produce the high speed nuclei.
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        paul higginb...
        01/08/2008
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  • impossible nuclear power
    cleaner ? Safer ? Less water use ? Less costly ? Sustainable fuel ? These are just the top 5 issues that Nuclear has to fix before it could even be considered. Anyone looking at this solution doesn't have the facts.

    Only renewable energy is safe and sustainable. It actually gets cheaper as time goes on instead of more expensive.
    Rate this comment: 12345

    jstack6
    11/27/2007
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    • Re: impossible nuclear power
      Less water use? I think your "facts" are off.

      This fuel solves most of the issues in the nuclear industry today.

      Renewable energy will never produce the amount of MW needed the world needs for power generation going forward. Nuclear will need to have a major role and the point is to get nuclear as safe, clean, and efficient as possible which is exactly what thorium fuel does.
      Rate this comment: 12345

      xbox
      11/27/2007
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      • Re: safe nuclear power
        Interestingly, the most DANGEROUS way of producing electricity is hydroelectric, which most tree-huggers embrace. In mainland China, the Shimantan Dam collapsed in the '70's an killed an estimated 230,000 people. Only one guy died at Three Mile Island (he had a heart attack while watching the CNN coverage), and maybe 100 people died during and after Chernobyl.

        Nuclear power releases no pollutants into the atmosphere. All wastes are contained on-site for safe disposal. If you believe Al Gores Global Warming schtick, nuclear power produces no CO2. It doesn't even chop up migrating endangered species birds, like wind turbines do.
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        petergrynch
        11/27/2007
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        • Re: safe nuclear power
          Obviously you are deluded.  Us progressive enviros have a superior value system -- the environment is sacrosanct.  It shall not be altered or stressed in any form or manner.  230,000 people getting killed due to dam burst in China?  Who cares.  Its trees and birds that count, not people.
          Rate this comment: 12345

          hamid
          11/28/2007
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          • Re: safe nuclear power - value systems
            Hamid, perhaps you should not accuse others of delusions.

            You can only achieve systemic environmental changes in society, if you gather enough social capital and turn it into a successful political movement. That means you need to get large numbers of people to support you. How are you going to obtain people's support, when saying things like "230,000 people getting killed due to dam burst in China?  Who cares.  Its trees and birds that count, not people"?...and this is supposed to be a "superior value system" now?

            You might as well go and become an enviro-terrorist, if you haven't already.
            Rate this comment: 12345

            gabrielg01
            11/28/2007
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        • Re: safe nuclear power
          Uh guys, let's not bring in China as an example when it comes to the safety of electric generation.

          Large coal mining accidents, killing tens or even hundreds of people happen almost every month. Even worse are the atmospheric pollutants caused by antiquated coal burning plants and techniques, less strict pullution controls and regulation etc.

          Nuclear power in China? The Chinese government may mean well but the reality is, the regulatory framework isn't strict enough to prevent eventualities (leaking, sometimes even intentionally dumping the waste into the environment).
          Rate this comment: 12345

          Siphon
          12/05/2007
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        • Re: safe nuclear power
          Nuclear power allows no pollutants in the atmosphere. True enough on a routine basis until it does, i.e. TMI and Chernobyl. Look at the long term data concerning cancer rates and miscarrages among humans, livestock and wildlife.
          Rate this comment: 12345

          whysaduck
          07/03/2009
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  • France is already 80% nuclear
    It is funny and sad to see all the people in denial about nuclear power. They are stonewalling reality.

    If you want to snap these people back to reality, just remind them that France is already 80% nuclear. This is not some assumption or projection. This is reality NOW. Plus, the French nuclear system slowly keeps developing, which means that in the next few decades France will be edging close to 100% nuclear power. The remaining gap will probably be filled by renewable energy sources.

    And the last time I checked, France was not some kind of polluted, nightmarish place. On the contrary, they are one the biggest tourist destinations in the world, and one of the biggest food exporters as well. You cannot accomplish such things with a polluted country.

    All the nuclear fears are proven wrong. Proof is on the ground. Whether you want to play ostrich and ignore these proofs or not, that is up to you.
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    gabrielg01
    11/28/2007
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    • Re: France is already 80% nuclear
      That works for France, which is small, but there is not enough economically recoverable U235 to power the world.  U235 reactors will also be a minority of the world's power.  Please read MIT's report The Future of Nuclear Power (http://web.mit.edu/nuclearpower/).  The U235 supplies I remember MIT citing were sufficient to power 1000 1GW reactors for 40 years.  Breeder reactors (using U238 or Th232) are a different story, but the world has so far avoided breeder reactors because of proliferation concerns.
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      killian
      11/28/2007
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    • Re: France is already 80% nuclear
      It is funny and sad to see the France argument again. It's getting very old now.

      - French power is a socialistic dream but a liberal's nightmare. Solution: liberalise. But then, without subsidies (ie taxpayers money) it will not be as cheap as it is now.

      - France has access to the European grid, which can be used as a buffer ('battery') to allow a higher percentage baseload generation (which nuclear is right now). There is a discrepancy between the CF that contemporary nuclear power plants provide, and what is actually needed (demand CF and shape of the curve)

      Solution: load-following nuclear power plants. Unfortunately these do not yet exist in our solar system however I'm convinced that they may prove to be cost effective in the future.
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      Siphon
      12/05/2007
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  • Why Th232 over U238?
    If someone proposes a breeder reactor, why use Th232 instead of U238?  A textbook gives Known Reserves of Fissionable Materials as
    U235 2,000 EJ
    U238 320,000 EJ
    Th232 11,000 EJ
    (EJ = 10^18 joules)
    So yes Th232 is more abundant than U235, but if you are willing to take the proliferation risk of breeder reactors, why not U238, which is in much greater supply?
    Rate this comment: 12345

    killian
    11/28/2007
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    • Re: Why Th232 over U238?
      Abundance ratio of Th:U235 is only 11:2, but the article states that the Th only needs replacing every 9 years instead of every 2.  So the "years of available fuel" ratio is 11*9:2*2=99:4 or almost 25:1.  That will buy us lots of time, while we work out how to do U238 breeders safely.
      Rate this comment: 12345

      dmm
      11/30/2007
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      • Re: Why Th232 over U238?
        Note that the data I cited was not abundance, but exajoules (exa = 10^18, joules being a measure of energy).  According to da Rosa, there is 5.5 times as much *energy* available in Th as U235.  Multiplying by the fuel rod lifetime is not correct.  Of course 5.5 times as much as U235 is still a lot, but then so is the projected world consumption of energy in 2050 (over 900 EJ/year according to MIT's The Future of Coal, figure 2.4).  At that rate, 2000 EJ of U235 and 11,000 of Th would last just 14 years.  While it can be a useful temporary "wedge", it is important to remember that nuclear energy is not unlimited and not renewable.
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        killian
        12/12/2007
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        • Re: Why Th232 over U238?
          Another unmentioned advantage of Th232 over U238: A Th232-U233 fueled thermal reactor was installed and operated at the Shippingport (Pennsylvania) Atomic Power Station before it was decommissioned in 1982. This test reactor for the US Light Water Breeder Reactor Project demonstrated that a thermal Th232-U233 reactor can breed, albeit only marginally at best. A U238-Pu239 fueled reactor can breed only if it is designed and operated as a fast reactor, with the additional complexity - e.g. sodium coolant - and safety issues associated with fast reactors. I am not saying that fast reactors are not a good idea. After all, France has operated them for many years. However, the advantages inherent in a thermal water moderated/cooled breeder or high gain converter should not be underestimated.
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          Capo
          12/12/2007
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    • Re: Why Th232 over U238?
      I would never forget the proliferation threat. All governments foreign and domestic have a lifetime, at the end of which weapons become available to seperatist parties. With pure thorium without reprocessing, at least it would only be a dirty bomb, not a fissioning nuclear one. And not nearly as bad radiologically as a Uranium one with all the bio iodine isotopes.
      Rate this comment: 12345

      paul higginb...
      01/08/2008
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  • Thorium
    The smaller volume of spent fuel in thorium-fueled nuclear reactors is not a large advantage over uranium and plutonium fueled reactors. The major problem with spent fuel is not its volume but its radioactivity.
    Rate this comment: 12345

    suevanden
    11/29/2007
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    • Re: Thorium
      It is a major advantage, in the lifetime of the actinide series isotopes. Thousands of years shorter dangerous halflifes for thorium.
      Rate this comment: 12345

      paul higginb...
      01/08/2008
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  • newclear nuclear
    It's fairly obvious that you all have done the requisite amount of graduate work in nuclear physics to have earned your degrees on the subject. So as experts in your chosen fields, of using thorium fuel in closed loop reactor cycles to reduce any radioactive waste to acceptable levels, I'm sure that you wouldn't mind having this byproduct of this fissionable thermonuclear reaction shipped directly to where you live so that it can be disposed safely in your backyards.
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    phoenix
    12/01/2007
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    • Nuclear waste in my backyard?
      Sure, no problem, if I had a 1000-acre lifeless salt flat for a backyard, and you were going to pay me (and my heirs) handsomely to use it.

      The Untold Story of Creation
      God was letting the angels help with making the universe.  Michael happily reported that Earth was almost done.  "You did remember that they'll need someplace to put their nuclear waste, didn't you?" asked God.  "WHAT?!" exclaimed Michael.  "Gabriel said that was all going into hell!"  Upon hearing that Gabriel was just funnin' him, Michael ditched his plans for a giant inland sea, and made Nevada instead.
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      dmm
      12/03/2007
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    • Re: newclear nuclear
      Only if I and my great great grandchildren can make a lot of money storing it safely.
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      paul higginb...
      01/08/2008
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  • Nuclear power produces CO2
    One needs to consider the life cycle costs and carbon footprint of any energy source. I understand that nuclear power plants ultimately produce as much CO2 as coal plants considering mining, transport, refining, transport of waste materials, etc., etc. A complex process heavily underwritten by corporate welfare.
    Rate this comment: 12345

    hewesj
    12/03/2007
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    • Re: Nuclear power produces CO2
      One key factor that is ignored in the anti-nuke arguments of many environmental hucksters is that while nukes also need mines for its fuel and generate dangerous waste, it is the relative scale of it that separates Nukes from the rest. The amount of fuel and waste in terms of weight/volume of fuel/waste per kilowatt capacity for nukes is miniscule compared to other power sources. Perhaps there should be a weighted index like a hypothetical unit of pollution or toxicity per kilogram or cubic meter per kilowatt-hour of power generated. Nuke may even beat solar/wind here. Renewables also needs materials to be mined, equipment to be manufactured, transported, installed, maintained and disposed of. Transportation costs cam be huge considering the potentially wide geographical dispersion of low capacity generators.

      Another factor that is ignored is land area required. Nukes require the least amount of land area per watt of power capacity by a huge margin. This is a major advantage for obvious reasons – especially in densely populated regions of the world. We could build fewer extra-high capacity nukes concentrate and hide them in a few remote and undesirable low grade real estate, instead of blotting the landscape with large number of low capacity solar/ wind power generators. Just ask Ted Kennedy.
      Rate this comment: 12345

      nicknirm
      12/14/2007
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    • Re: Nuclear power produces CO2
      As with anything in the environemental sphere, it is somewhat akin to the environementalists saying that the Glenn Canyon dam and Boulder Dam would be full of silt by now and wouldn't be generating any power or water for people or agriculture. They told me this back in the 60's, but dams built in the tropics without land clearing like here in the civilized world do generate significant amounts of greenhouse gases. There are methods of extracting the thorium if done soon enough before the oil runs out to make it very co2 tolerant. After that the collapse of society would curtail further need for it.
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      paul higginb...
      01/08/2008
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  • Thorium
    You are all missing the fact that Uranium 233 has a smaller critical mass then either Plutonium or Uranium 238.  Thus, Thorium energy systems increases the potential for the spread of nuclear weapons.
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    lowilliams
    12/03/2007
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    • Thorium
      U233 would be a good bomb material, if it were not for the following fact: The U233 that is created in a thorium reactor comes mixed with a small amount of U232, which is unstable (70 year half life), and starts a sequence of radioactive decays that emit enough nasty gamma rays to necessitate expensive and difficult remote handling of the U233. U233 and U232 are chemically indistinguishable, so removing U232 from U233 would necessitate a centrifuge or other mechanical process, which would not be practical because of the radioactivity. Even if somebody were crazy enough to make a U233 bomb, he would have to put lots of heavy shielding around the bomb to make it possible for somebody to deliver the bomb without being incapacitated or dying before reaching his intended destination. If this were not the case, the United States, Soviet Union and others would have been making U233 bombs many years ago.
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      Capo
      12/04/2007
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      • Re: Thorium
        If separating U232 from U233 after the breeder reaction is a problem for bomb builders, wouldn't it be also a severe problem for nuclear power plants as well?
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        killian
        12/04/2007
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        • Re: Thorium
          Nope.

          While the reactor operates, the U232 remains inside the fuel rods; and reactor shielding confines radiation to the immediate vicinity of the reactor from which people are excluded during plant operation. Some of the U233 created in the reactor inevitably fissions before the spent uranium and thorium fuel rods are removed, so that the fission products become more radiologically hazardous than the U232. U232 has a 70 year half life. If the fuel rods are loaded with U235/U238 and/or PU239 instead of U233/thorium, reactor operation will generate some so-called heavy actinides which have half lives of thousands of years. It is those very long half lives that necessitate very long term storage of radioactive spent fuel. Use of U233/Thorium reduces considerably the need for long term storage of spent fuel by reducing the generation of the long-lived heavy actinides.

          The U232 might become an issue only if people were to reprocess the spent fuel rods and reuse the remaining U233 and thorium. Fuel reprocessing requires remote handling of highly radioactive material in a carefully controlled environment. Massive shielded shipping containers protect the material in transit. The presence of U232 might make reprocessing, after chemical separation of the uranium from the other spent fuel material, somewhat more difficult and expensive. Then again, compared to plutonium recycling it might not be more difficult. Not being an expert in reprocessing, I would want to see an economic and environmental analysis before proceeding with any reprocessing regardless of whether U232 were a concern or not.

          The situation for people either building or transporting a U233 bomb would be much more challenging. The heavy and bulky shielding required would make delivery of the bomb to the intended detonation site difficult. Shielding would be needed to both protect the people transporting the bomb (most likely by truck) and to avoid the bomb being detected in transit. I suppose that somebody might set up a bomb factory where he intended to detonate the bomb; but that would limit his choice of targets. Alternatively, the bomb builder could wait a few hundred years for the U232 to decay before building his bomb.

          Bottom Line: U232 is a non-issue if people do not reprocess the fuel in a central station nuclear reactor. If people reprocess the spent fuel, U232 might add to the cost but does not change in a fundamental way what needs to be done for a reactor application. U232 necessitates heavy and bulky shielding which make it much less practical to build and deploy a U233 bomb than to build the U235 and PU239 bombs that people have been building for many years.
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          Capo
          12/06/2007
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          • Re: Thorium
            Capo, thank you for the helpful reply.  I imagine one of the problems for a Th reactor is then that the Th232 fuel rods transmute into U233, and so the amount of fuel in the reactor increases for a while, but eventually decreases.  Is this handled by carefully modifying neutron moderation as a function of time?

            Another question: Th232 was promoted in the article as having less radioactive decay products than U235.  But U233, with a half-life of 160,000y is pretty radioactive, and not all of the U233 can be consumed by the time a fuel rod is removed.  Doesn't it mean long-term radioactivity for spent Th fuel rods?
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            killian
            12/07/2007
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            • Re: Thorium
              Reply to Question #1:
                   The idea is to fission as much of the U233 as possible after it is formed from the Th232 and before the Th232-U233 fuel rods are removed from the reactor. Distortion of the Th232-U233 pellets caused by the accumulation of fission products in the pellets necessitates removing the Th232-U233 fuel rods before most of the Th232 has transmuted to U233 and before most of the U233 has been used up.
                   As you suggest, reactor designs are optimized to tailor the neutron spectrum, insofar as is practical, to account for accumulation and depletion of U233 as well as accumulation and depletion of fission products and other neutron absorbers. Competing objectives necessitate tradeoffs and compromises in adjusting the neutron spectrum.

              Reply to Question #2:
                   The short answer to your question is: Yes, U233 does indeed emit radiation for a very long time. That said, the next logical question to ask is: How much radiation does U233 and its daughters emit compared to the heavy actinides and their daughters that U235-U238 fueled reactors generate? I believe that U233 and its daughters consist of considerably fewer emitters of dangerous gamma rays than the heavy actinides (plutonium, neptunium, americium, curium) and their daughters. I base my statement on a cursory peek at the Chart of the Nuclides (www.ChartOfTheNuclides.com). However, this subject is outside my area of expertise; so I am not 100% sure of my above statement. Therefore, I invite some experts in long term radioactivity and/or health physics to chime in here.
                   I offer the following additional comment to clarify some of the issues. More than just the 159,000-year half-life of U233 is pertinent to this discussion. Note that U233 nuclei, that capture a neutron without fissioning, yield U234, which has a 246,000-year half-life. If the half-life were the only issue, U235’s 704,000,000-year half-life would make U235 more problematic than either U233 or U234. Th232 and U238 have 14,000,000,000-year and 4,470,000,000-year half-lives, respectively. However, the longer the half-life, the slower the nucleus decays and the less radiation emitted per unit time. So, a longer half-life results in less intense but longer-lived radioactivity. A careful and detailed analysis of all radiation emitted by all unstable nuclides, for however long it takes for the radiation to drop to a safe level, is required. Hence, my above request that somebody more knowledgeable than I comment on this subject.
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              Capo
              12/12/2007
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              • Re: Thorium
                If you look at Plutonium, it has a 60,000 year halflife in bulk form. That is why there are two varieties of plutonium, reactor grade and weapons grade. The weapons grade plutonium has been segregated from the shorter halflife isotopes. The reactor grade plutonium are just as fissionable and destructive as the weapons grade, just that weapons grade plutonium can be milled and handled in a glove box. Japan has tons of reactor grade plutonium, and waldos to handle it remotely. Tons of plutonium = safety from mainland china.
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                paul higginb...
                01/08/2008
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    • Re: Thorium
      The resulting nuclear pit of uranium 233 generated from thorium reactions is so radioactive in gamma, that the little techs working on building it would have to be in a long line to replace the ones sick from exposure. We have built these 233 cores, but with our waldos that third world terrorist countries don't need, as they have allah instead.
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      paul higginb...
      01/08/2008
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      • Re: Thorium
             I think your bottom line comes down to the following sentence from Peter Fairley’s Technology Review article: “Thorium’s byproducts produce intense gamma radiation, making them hard to handle by would-be bomb makers.” I believe Peter Fairley and you (paul higginbotham) are both referring to the radiation emitted by the U232 decay chain. U232 is chemically indistinguishable from other uranium isotopes. Therefore, no chemical process exists for removing the U232 from the other uranium isotopes present (mostly U233) to make it as easy for would-be bomb makers to use as U235 or weapons grade plutonium.
             Since it is relatively easy to remove the highly radioactive and somewhat short lived fission products, radioactivity is not the main issue when  building a bomb with plutonium, regardless of whether it is weapons or reactor grade. The issue with plutonium is the challenge of causing a significant fraction of the plutonium to fission before the bomb blows itself apart. Spontaneous fissions in PU240 (478,000 fission/sec/kg-PU240) make it more difficult to get a good bang out of a plutonium bomb than a U235 or U233 bomb. The builder of a plutonium bomb has two choices: (1) Create weapons grade plutonium (mostly PU239, <7% PU240), which is more expensive to make than reactor grade plutonium, as was done by the Manhattan Project Hanford plutonium production reactors. Then, craft a sophisticated detonator/initiator, a truly remarkable accomplishment in 1945, which led to the “fat man” Nagasaki plutonium bomb. This detonator was much more complicated than the simple gun type detonator used for the “thin man” Hiroshima uranium bomb. You probably know this, but other readers may not. (2) Use reactor grade plutonium. In this case, create an even more sophisticated detonator/initiator than was developed during the Manhattan Project. Although I am no bomb expert, I believe that both the United States and Soviet Union figured out how to do this by the end of the 1950s (http://www.armscontrolwonk.com/1399/p3-and-p4-centrifuge-data). As far as I know, the United States and Soviet Union operated reactors dedicated to producing weapons grade plutonium for many years, so I have to wonder how much reactor grade plutonium they actually used for their fission bombs - thermonuclear fission/fusion bombs are another matter entirely.
             The bottom line here is that a U233 bomb would be easier to design, build and deploy than any plutonium bomb, regardless of whether weapons or reactor grade plutonium were used, were it not for the U232 radiation problem that both Peter Fairley and you have pointed out. Although I believe the Thorium Power people make valid points in touting the TH232-U233 fuel cycle, I would not want anybody to oversell their good idea when discussing the pros and cons of uranium and plutonium bombs, which could hurt Thorium Power’s credibility.
             Finally, I would like to know how you came up with your 60,000 year half life for plutonium. PU239, the dominant constituent in weapons grade plutonium, has a 24,110 year half life. PU239 is still the main constituent in reactor grade plutonium, although significant quantities of PU240 (6,564 year half life), PU241 (14.35 year half life) and PU242 (373,300 half life) may be present? Is your 60,000 year figure some sort of weighted average of half lives for all the plutonium isotopes and their daughters? Is your figure based on some sort of radiological assessment for Yucca Mountain?
        Rate this comment: 12345

        Capo
        01/21/2008
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  • What's the Bottom Line?
    Even if the Thorium Power design works, there's always the distinct possibility that the thorium rods will be a small percentage of the total and that the overall power production of an existing reactor will fall. Until a prototype exists, it's possible that the design doesn't work, costs more, produces less electricity and uses nearly the same amount of uranium. All for the sake of some amount of rods that do not need to be replaced as often.

    It would be great if thorium could be used. But as someone noted above, U238 is fertile also. Despite its presence in large quantities in a standard nuke, it converts to little plutonium, and only a fraction of that fissions. It's possible that a contributing factor to the thorium rods' longevity will be the slow production of U233 and the time required for the U233 to fission.

    It was stated that breeder reactors have not been accepted because of proliferation concerns. I would think the true reason is the fact that no breeder reactor has ever worked. Certainly none have ever bred more nuclear fuel than they used.

    The odds of Thorium Power succeeding? I don't know. They have their skeptics. But I won't get too excited, even if they do have an initial success.
    Rate this comment: 12345

    MakeSense
    01/23/2008
    Posts:99
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    • What's the Bottom Line?
           Comment on MakeSense’s first two paragraphs: If the thorium rods remain in the reactor for nine years, they will probably make lots of U233, and probably lots of the U233 will fission thereby generating plenty of power. My main question here is: How can the thorium rods remain in the reactor for nine years without radiation damaging the pellets too much? Almost every time a U233 nucleus fissions, two “fission product” nuclei result, which cause pressure to build up in the pellets. Some of the fission products are gases at reactor operating temperatures, which further increases the pressure inside the pellets. The pellets grow and distort under such pressure, and will eventually break apart. In conventional reactors, fuel rods are removed before unacceptable damage to the pellets occurs, which is a whole lot sooner than nine years after they were initially loaded into the reactor. Thorium rods could avoid such radiation damage if they are placed in low power regions of the reactor - say in core “blanket” or “reflector” regions. However, Peter Fairley’s article implies that the thorium rods are placed in or near high power regions of the reactor to expedite conversion of TH232 into U233. This concern is not unique to TH232-U233 rods, and applies equally to U238-PU239 rods. Regardless of whether we are talking about TH232-U233 of U238-PU239 rods, the fundamental difficulty is the same. It is hard to have it both ways. If the rods are placed in low power regions, they will not make much fissile material (U233 or PU239), but they will last a long time. If the rods are placed in high power regions, they will make plenty of fissile material, but they won’t last very long. Thorium Power’s reactor might work. However, I would need to know more about the design details before saying so.
           Comment on MakeSense’s second two paragraphs: The real question is not whether a reactor breeds or not. The distinction between breeder and non-breeder reactors is somewhat arbitrary. All reactors convert some sort of fertile material like TH232 or U238 into some sort of fissile material like U233 or PU239. A reasonably high gain converter reactor should stretch uranium resources sufficiently to buy plenty of time for developing future reactors that make better use of thorium and/or uranium resources. In fact, it may be best to increase nuclear electricity generation as rapidly as possible by replicating designs of reactors already operating or by considering only those new designs for which formal licensing applications already have been submitted and which need at most only minor changes to satisfy regulatory authorities. Reprocessing and recycling of fuel could be deferred since it would not be necessary in the short term. The world needs to reduce generation of greenhouse gases NOW! Also, burning oil to make electricity is CRAZY! Oil should be conserved for uses for which oil is uniquely suited such as plastics and lubricants. It is not necessary to invoke the funding of global terrorism by oil revenues to see that it is time to cut back oil consumption! It may very well turn out that the world needs to ramp up nuclear electricity production for only a few decades, after which time the world would move on to using some sort of renewable energy.
           Overall comment: Just because we CAN build a better nuclear reactor does not mean that we SHOULD build a better nuclear reactor. TIME IS OF THE ESSENCE. We should not impede deployment of nuclear reactors that we need NOW by studying-to-death nuclear reactor designs for the future - regardless of how attractive such designs might appear and how much fun people might have working on them. [I can’t believe I just said that.] Imagine how much better off the world would be if the energy mix in the United States were like it is in France (2006 electricity production - 88% nuclear and 95% without emitting carbon dioxide - http://www.edf.com/122168i/Accueil-fr/EDF-and-power-generation/generation/in-France.html)! If the United States had done what France did, wouldn’t the emerging dominant economies of this century - e.g. China - be bringing more nuclear and fewer coal-fired plants on line? Perhaps countries with large thorium reserves, like India, might push thorium technology. But the rest of the world? THIS IS MY MAIN CONCERN ABOUT THORIUM POWER.
      Rate this comment: 12345

      Capo
      01/30/2008
      Posts:6
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      • Re: What's the Bottom Line?
        I tried sending this in earlier, but it failed so here's another try:

        I agree wholeheartedly with Capo that: "The world needs to reduce generation of greenhouse gases NOW!".

        Capo has mentioned plenty of deadly objections to nuclear fission over sources such as wind or PV, many objections I am grateful to him for showing us, since I had not been aware of some. 

        Nicknirm claims wind's cleanliness is outweighed by aesthetic concerns from wind turbines’ occupying large tracts of land. He skirts the fact that each windmill actually uses only a small proportion of that land, permitting multiple use around it.

        Gabriel01reserves some time in the future for renewable energy, as though perhaps the technologies need more development(?), or some problem not mentioned but remains partial to his one favorite technology, some form of nuclear.  Wind’s technology happens to be safely ready now (and on a dollars per kwh basis, given nuclear's government-financed research costs). 

        Petergrynch commented that nuclear "doesn't ... chop up ... birds, like wind turbines do."; Sited carefully, wind energy's bird kills are rare.

        The Hudson River's estuary was once well known as a very polluted, nearly dead, watercourse.  Most of it has since been restored.  Some distance upstream and downstream from the Indian Point nuclear facility’s heated cooling water’s discharge zone, that restoration has succeeded.  Waters are lifeless though, around that outfall. This is a common consequence with steam-plants. 

        Capo shows that either Th232/U233 (with U233's half-life of 159,000-years) or U235/U238 (with its Pu239 byproduct’s 24,110-year half-life), make storage very impractical without eventually risking future human, and/or other, life.  Aging "containment" can leak radioactive water.  July, 2007, In France, that happened with some U, contaminating local water supplies.  Who knows how long that leaked until detected.  Before discovery, opportunity may have existed for the water's internal consumption. 

        Even one of these half-live's reaches a geologic time-scale.  Though Yucca Mountain is probably as reliably dry a place as available today, many naturally watered regions were once deserts. A lot of geological change, eroding down higher upwind mountain ranges, that now rob Yucca of precipitation, can let increasingly moist air bring rain. If this happens then, seeping in as groundwater, that can dissolve those stored wastes, letting them drain out, either above or below ground, breaking their isolation.

        Stand guard over it that long? A lot of social conflict has happened in just 5,000 years of recorded history. 24,000 yrs.? 48,000, ...? Keeping that much social control? Communicating its importance, especially over cultural gaps to, perhaps conquering, foreign cultures? Maybe to something like Al Quaida? The radiation is still there, firing, maybe from inside bodies, its neutrons that can collide with (yes, or miss) living molecules, including genes, which themselves include controllers of cell division, potentiating cancer, and others that are progenitors to traits in unborn life.  Yes, there is also background radiation; is more radiation better? 

        U233's 159,000 years is even worse. Yes, of course, U235's is longer, but it’s not manmade; we’ve always had that in the ground and can leave it there. We don’t have to extract more.  We don't have to make more radionuclides. 

        Some people declare cooling water's aquatic life-losses and future deaths from dissolved nuclear waste's proliferation to be "externalities". External to what?  To whatever's convenient?  Does this make them irrelevant?  Not to victims.  We may feel we have the power to ignore them, but ethically how can we claim the right to?  In the past, some other species’ may indeed have controlled the environment – even enough to extinguish other life – but no other species has apparently ever developed enough brainpower to grasp ethics, especially for future consequences.  We have begun to do that. Should we use such knowingly deadly power, just because we can, or carefully select energy for safety and low impact on life, future and present – both human and all other species?  If we end up with less energy than we now use, we know how to explore increased efficiency of use and alter infrastructure for it.  Why not do that?
        Rate this comment: 12345

        David E. Man...
        05/13/2009
        Posts:1
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