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Monday, January 01, 2007

China's Energy Dilemma

In a few years, China will be the world's largest emitter of carbon dioxide. Don't look for any quick and easy solution to the problem.

By Richard Lester

Credit: Illustration by Marc Rosenthal

As evidence accumulates about the impact of fossil fuel use on the global climate, China's surge into the front ranks of the world's carbon emitters is an elephant in the room that we can no longer ignore. The numbers are sobering: the Chinese economy is growing by almost 10 percent annually, and its electricity demand by nearly 15 percent; roughly two big new coal-fired power plants are completed in China each week; new generating capacity equivalent to that of nearly the entire U.K. power grid was added last year alone; private car ownership is rising rapidly. In its latest projections, the International Energy Agency estimates that China will overtake the U.S. to become the world's largest carbon emitter within five years (see "China's Coal Future").

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