In addition to accelerating demand for research, the tripling of a middle-aged mouse's remaining life span would bring in entirely new sources of funding. Because governments and drug companies tend to favor research that promises useful results in a relatively short time, de Grey is not counting on them as a source. He is relying on an infusion of private money to supply the funds (significantly more than the cost of reversing aging in mice) that it will take to successfully fight his war against aging in humans. De Grey believes that once aging has been reversed in mice, billionaires will come forward, intent on living as long as possible.
Is it likely that the photograph of a long-lived mouse on the front page of every newspaper in the world would be greeted with the unalloyed enthusiasm of a unanimous public? I doubt it. More probably, acclaim would be balanced by horror. Ethicists, economists, sociologists, members of the clergy, and many worried scientists could be counted on to join huge numbers of thoughtful citizens in a counterreaction. But of course, if we are to accept de Grey's first principle, that the desire to live forever trumps every other factor in human decision-making, then self-interest -- or what some might call narcissism -- will win out in the end.
De Grey projects that 15 years after we have rejuvenated mice we might begin to reverse aging in humans. Early, limited success in extending the human life span will be followed by successive, more dramatic breakthroughs, so that humans now living could reach what de Grey calls "life extension escape velocity." De Grey concedes that it might be 100 years before we begin to significantly extend human life. What he does not concede is that it is more likely not to happen at all. He cannot seem to imagine that the odds are heavily against him. And he cannot imagine that not only the odds but society itself may be against him. He will provide any listener or reader with a string of reasons that are really rationalizations to explain why most mainstream gerontologists remain so conspicuously absent from the ranks of those cheering him on. He has safeguarded himself against the informed criticism that should give him cause to rethink some of his proposals. He has accomplished this self-protection by constructing a personal worldview in which he is inviolate. He refuses to budge a millimeter; he will not give ground to the possibility that any of the barriers to his success may prove insuperable.
All this makes de Grey sound unlikable. But a major factor behind his success at attracting a following has less to do with his science than with himself. As I discovered during our two sessions at the Eagle, it is impossible not to like de Grey. Despite his unhesitant verbal trashing of those who disagree with him, there is a certain untouched sweetness in the man, which, combined with his lack of care for outward appearance and the sincerity of his commitment to the goals that animate his life, are so disarming that the entire picture is one of the disingenuousness of genius, rather than of the self-promotion of the remote, false messiah. His likability was pointed out even by his detractors. It is a quality not to be expected in such an obviously odd and driven duck.
But the most likable of eccentrics are sometimes the most dangerous. Many decades ago in my naïveté and ignorance, I thought that the ultimate destruction of our planet would be by the neutral power of celestial catastrophe: collision with a gigantic meteor, the burning out of the sun -- that sort of thing. In time, I came to believe that the end of days would be ushered in by the malevolence of a mad dictator who would unleash an arsenal of explosive or biological weaponry: nuclear bombs, engineered microörganisms -- that sort of thing. But my notion of "that sort of thing" has been changing. If we are to be destroyed, I am now convinced that it will not be a neutral or malevolent force that will do us in, but one that is benevolent in the extreme, one whose only motivation is to improve us and better our civilization. If we are ever immolated, it will be by the efforts of well-meaning scientists who are convinced that they have our best interests at heart. We already know who they are. They are the DNA tweakers who would enhance us by allowing parents to choose the genetic makeup of their descendants unto every succeeding generation ad infinitum, heedless of the possibility that breeding out variety may alter factors necessary for the survival of our species and the health of its relationship to every form of life on earth; they are the biogerontologists who study caloric restriction in mice and promise us the extension by 20 percent of a peculiarly nourished existence; they are those other biogerontologists who emerge from their laboratories of molecular science every evening optimistic that they have come just a bit closer to their goal of having us live much longer, downplaying the unanticipated havoc at both the cellular and societal level that might be wrought by their proposed manipulations. And finally, it is the unique and strangely alluring figure of Aubrey de Grey, who, orating, writing, and striding tirelessly through our midst with his less than fully convinced sympathizers, proclaims like the disheveled herald of a new-begotten future that our most inalienable right is to have the choice of living as long as we wish. With the passion of a single-minded zealot crusading against time, he has issued the ultimate challenge, I believe, to our entire concept of the meaning of humanness.
Paradoxically, his clarion call to action is the message neither of a madman nor a bad man, but of a brilliant, beneficent man of goodwill, who wants only for civilization to fulfill the highest hopes he has for its future. It is a good thing that his grand design will almost certainly not succeed. Were it otherwise, he would surely destroy us in attempting to preserve us.
Sherwin Nuland is clinical professor of surgery at Yale University's School of Medicine and teaches bioethics. He is the author of How We Die, which won the National Book Award in 1994, and Leonardo da Vinci. He has written for many magazines, including the New Yorker. Over three decades, he has cared for around 10,000 patients.
Comments
Guest (Eddie Zeng) on 11/22/2005 at 10:38 AM
1
Guest (gobbeldy BEEEEP!!!) on 07/05/2006 at 12:00 AM
1
Guest (Josh McNeil) on 12/06/2005 at 8:56 PM
1
My email adress is jhmc_07@hotmail.com
I hope to hear from yu soon regarding this topic.
Thank you, Sincerely yours
Josh McNeil
Guest (j keith) on 12/16/2005 at 10:47 PM
1
Guest (Peter Miller) on 01/19/2006 at 12:00 AM
1
Guest (Infinity) on 01/25/2006 at 12:00 AM
1
Guest (Joe) on 04/23/2006 at 12:00 AM
1
thewizard on 03/08/2008 at 1:37 PM
3
(NO INSULT INTENDED). I AM 78 AND HAVE BOTH TRAINING IN THEOLOGY (MINISTER FOR 41 YEARS) AS WELL AS IN QUANTUM PHYSICS. I AM CONDUCTING A FIVE
WEEK SEMINAR END OF MAY, WHERE I COACH PEOPLE HOW
TO BE 10-30 YEARS YOUNGER AND EXTEND THEIR LIFE FOR 10-30 YEARS. ALL BASED ON QUANTUM PHYSICS. THOSE MEDICAL SCIENTISTS DO RESEARCH ON ANIMALS,
I DO THE REAL THING - REJUVENATION AND LIFE EXTENSION IN YOUTHFUL EXUBERANCE NOT 20-30 YEARS
FROM TODAY, BUT IN MAY 0F 2008,
Karoly Fuevessy,
fountainofyouthwizard@gmail.com
tonyreno on 05/07/2008 at 5:13 AM
4
We do have a problem with people wanting things that they are unwilling to work hard enough to earn. But when people do decide to do the work there's plenty there for many more people, many many times as many people are there are there now.
It take a little more work to get better at living renewably, but we are already far better at it than our much vaunted ancestors.
Also keep in mind that not-dying does not add to the population. Not-dying only keeps the population the same.
It was a stupid ending to the article. You have to read way way way between the lines to find some reason why not dying is a bad thing. It's like calling up, down. Not-dying staying young is one of those things that only a person with no imagination at all could favor.
Now if you want to extend that argument to not having children (I don't, by the way) then you might have an argument. But there is no argument made anywhere in the article that made any sensible connection between staying young and the world somehow getting worse for that.
Guest (f.leblanc) on 01/01/2006 at 9:25 PM
1
Thanks for ur article. hope u followup on some of the ethical issues involved.
thewizard on 03/08/2008 at 1:54 PM
3
AND IN ADDITION I AM CONDUCTING A FIVE WEEK SEMINAR ON HOW TO EXTEND YOUR LIFE 10, 20, 30 YEARS THIS COMING MAY/2008. ETHICS? WHAT DO YOU KNOW OF ETHICS ANYWAY. UNETHICAL IS TO DIE. IF YOU REALLY UNDERSTAND THE BIBLE OR TORA, YOU WOULD NOT BRING UP ETHICS.
Karoly Fuevessy,
fountainofyouthwizard@gmail.com
Guest (N.B.) on 05/10/2006 at 12:00 AM
1
Anyway, not only that, but would the cells survive it? taking the simple exsample of trying to clean a stain out, sometimes it works, sometimes it doesn't, sometimes the stain spreads and sometimes you ruin the cloth...
so much more to say, but it would go too far... anyway, incase you want to reply, my adress is GothicDray@web.de
Guest (Dave) on 05/26/2006 at 12:00 AM
1
thewizard on 03/08/2008 at 1:47 PM
3
REPLY OF 03/08/08. I AM NOT A GERENTOLOGIST OR
MEDICAL PROFESSIONAL (THEY HOPE TO ETEND LIFE IN 20-30 YEARS). THE STORY OF "THE ELEPHANT AND THE
FIVE BLIND MEN", DESCRIBES THE MEDICAL SCIENTISTS
WELL. I AM CONDUCTING END OF MAY A FIVE WEEK
SEMINAR, WHERE I REJUVENATE PARTICIPANTS 10-30
YEARS IN REAL TIME NOW, NOT IN 20-30 YEARS.
Karoly Fuevessy,
fountainofyouthwizard@gmail.com
jiggaj on 08/04/2008 at 3:14 PM
1
tonyreno on 05/07/2008 at 5:18 AM
4
Unlike cloths, cells have 2 big advantages over everything else. With the exeception of brain cells, almost every other type of cell need only take an inventory, find the cells in the best shape, reproduce those, and kill off the others.
There's nothing scientifically impossible about reversing aging. In fact, if it were impossible people would be unable to have children, or your childred would all be born with all the age damage that we have.
It is a hard problem, but I don't think it is nearly as difficult for our technology, given de Grey's engineering approach, as it was for the 60s technology to make it to the moon.
Guest (J.c.) on 12/19/2005 at 4:26 AM
1
Guest (Josh McNeil) on 12/06/2005 at 8:56 PM
1
My email adress is jhmc_07@hotmail.com
I hope to hear from yu soon regarding this topic.
Thank you, Sincerely yours
Josh McNeil
Guest (Craig Bruce) on 01/18/2006 at 12:00 AM
1
Guest (Eric) on 01/31/2006 at 12:00 AM
1
Guest (Dr.keyvan Abasi , M.D. / Ph.D.) on 02/04/2006 at 12:00 AM
1
" Technology of Taught "
if you have please ?
i'm keen interested in this case
if you can help me to get more information then i'd appreciate you
yours faithfully Dr keiyvan
Guest ( Dr keiyvan) on 02/04/2006 at 12:00 AM
1
" Technology of Taught "
by email to :
NJ_SHAH14@YAHOO.COM
Guest (patrick) on 02/05/2006 at 12:00 AM
1
Guest (Mel) on 02/06/2006 at 12:00 AM
1
point out all potential risks and that is good, assume failure in managing such risks and that is ignorance or, in case of informed people, plain malvolance.
Guest (Jim G) on 04/15/2006 at 12:00 AM
1
Guest on 05/05/2006 at 12:00 AM
1
Guest (Jairo Barbosa) on 05/11/2006 at 12:00 AM
1
Guest (Kathy Rusniak) on 05/19/2006 at 12:00 AM
1
Guest (Markus) on 06/09/2006 at 12:00 AM
1
We have and always will create technological monsters with horrible potential, but they don't outweigh all the good solutions that we have created as well.
Progress will continue and indeed I believe one thing that makes us human is our hope that we can improve ourselves and our surroundings.
Guest (David J) on 06/13/2006 at 12:00 AM
1
Guest (Jeff) on 06/20/2006 at 12:00 AM
1
Guest (Frank Smith) on 06/10/2006 at 12:00 AM
1
Guest (Yossi) on 06/12/2006 at 12:00 AM
1
This is what G-d originally and always intended for all humankind: So that He could "dwell", so to say, in this physical world, together with us. We need to show Him (and also, perhaps mainly ourselves) that we are really, truly worthy of His wonderful GIFT of life, that He continually grants us and the entire Universe every instant. All that He wants from us that we should be eternally grateful and show a little respect for ourselves and creation.
Let all Creation please thank the Only One True G-d Almighty for every single breath...
Guest (me) on 07/05/2006 at 12:00 AM
1
Guest (Reaon) on 07/28/2006 at 12:00 AM
1
Email ReaonIam@hotmail.com for discussion, but not about religion.
thanx
Guest (jmviggi) on 08/07/2006 at 12:00 AM
1
PEACE
jak177 on 08/17/2006 at 9:03 AM
1
MKM
lazur on 10/31/2006 at 3:26 AM